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Pato vs Sao Jose Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 15:50
Postponed
Position#16
Record4-21
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#14
Record7-20
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game92.1
BrazilNBBRound 22
Other2019-20
Meetings · Pato v Sao Jose
18 Mar 2026
PATO72
SAO 81
19 Dec 2024
PATO85
SAO 81
05 Feb 2024
PATO80
SAO 88
17 Oct 2022
PATO61
SAO 71
04 Apr 2020
PATO v SAO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#13
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A13/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A15/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
86-106
86
106
-20
H03/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#9
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H26/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H28/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A04/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A08/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
14-20
22-23
17-19
18-21
19-15
19-31
20-19
17-19
23-27
22-30
24-30
19-22
17-19
16-26
19-19
23-8
18-19
11-26
17-22
13-10
21-21
24-17
26-24
12-17
17-15
21-17
21-12
15-19
13-20
14-24
15-14
12-25
23-28
26-19
20-21
20-27
13-19
20-14
30-27
157.0Avg total
75.1Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.080.2151.2-9.216%
Season at home (12)71.279.7150.8-8.525%
Season away (13)70.880.7151.5-9.98%
Last 10 (10)75.181.9157.0-6.820%
Last 5 (5)75.278.0153.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)70.880.5151.3-9.818%
vs Similar ◀ (3)72.377.7150.0-5.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#3
L
97-99
97
99
-2
H21/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A24/01
NBB
Cearense
#15
L
83-104
83
104
-21
H30/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H04/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
A12/02
NBB
Minas
#4
L
119-124 OT
119
124
-5
A27/02
NBB
Botafogo
#9
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H02/03
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
H05/03
NBB
Brasilia
#13
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A09/03
NBB
Mogi
#5
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H12/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-16
25-22
20-38
15-23
15-22
20-20
19-23
24-27
27-23
20-31
21-19
15-31
32-18
17-13
20-19
22-21
20-24
23-24
14-19
35-16
21-30
25-20
17-31
44-26
18-20
13-17
28-27
22-23
27-24
14-23
21-28
24-11
17-18
34-17
19-19
22-23
23-19
20-19
23-21
31-30
185.5Avg total
92.7Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.392.1178.4-5.826%
Season at home (13)87.292.5179.7-5.423%
Season away (14)85.591.6177.1-6.129%
Last 10 (10)92.792.8185.5-0.140%
Last 5 (5)97.295.8193.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)86.693.1179.7-6.521%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.785.8164.4-7.122%
vs Weaker (2)92.085.5177.5+6.550%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
PatoSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#13
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A13/01
NBB
Minas
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A15/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#9
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H26/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H28/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A04/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A08/03
NBB
73.2Avg total
34.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)32.338.670.9-6.220%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.338.070.3-5.725%-
Last 30 away (13)32.339.171.4-6.815%-
Last 10 (10)34.738.573.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)31.840.272.0-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)32.539.071.5-6.523%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)31.035.366.3-4.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#3
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H21/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A24/01
NBB
Cearense
#15
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H30/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#10
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H04/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A12/02
NBB
Minas
#4
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A27/02
NBB
Botafogo
#9
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H02/03
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H05/03
NBB
Brasilia
#13
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A09/03
NBB
Mogi
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H12/03
NBB
86.8Avg total
44.8Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.081.9-0.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.281.1+2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.982.7-3.027%-
Last 10 (10)44.842.086.8+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.483.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)42.242.184.3+0.137%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.039.375.3-3.311%-
vs Weaker (2)50.538.589.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pato wins
1
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
20/11/19Sao Jose v Pato81-71
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20APinheiros83-87
07/03/20ACorinthians Paulista81-93
04/03/20ARio Claro57-77
28/02/20HUnifacisa71-61
26/02/20HCearense84-72
12/02/20HBotafogo69-75
05/02/20HFlamengo71-86
03/02/20HSao Paulo86-106
15/01/20AMinas76-86
13/01/20ABrasilia73-76
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/20HMogi97-89
09/03/20ABrasilia92-77
05/03/20HFlamengo97-102 OT
02/03/20HBotafogo81-87
27/02/20AMinas119-124 OT
12/02/20APinheiros92-83
04/02/20HUnifacisa91-71
30/01/20HCearense83-104
24/01/20ARio Claro78-92
21/01/20HSao Paulo97-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL16%
HomeLLLWW25%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %16%25%8%
Points / game71.071.270.8
Allowed / game80.279.780.7
Point differential-9.2-8.5-9.9
Avg total151.2150.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Sao Jose
NBB 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW26%
HomeLWLLW23%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %26%23%29%
Points / game86.387.285.5
Allowed / game92.192.591.6
Point differential-5.8-5.4-6.1
Avg total178.4179.7177.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %19%23%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2421388%85.077.1+7.9
2 Franca2520580%87.479.0+8.4
3 Sao Paulo2620677%88.581.6+6.9
4 Minas2617965%86.681.4+5.2
5 Mogi26161062%82.881.4+1.3
6 Pinheiros27151256%81.679.9+1.7
7 Corinthians Paulista26131350%82.378.9+3.4
8 Rio Claro26131350%84.486.7-2.2
9 Botafogo26131350%78.480.7-2.3
10 Unifacisa27131448%83.281.0+2.2
11 Paulistano25111444%81.783.1-1.4
12 Bauru26111542%80.281.0-0.8
13 Brasilia2681831%76.085.9-10.0
14 Sao Jose2772026%86.392.1-5.8
15 Cearense2652119%76.381.0-4.7
16 Pato2542116%71.080.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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