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Pato vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 72-81
15-13 19-17 24-28 14-23
Position#17
Record7-23
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game79.8
Pato
Brazil
vs
Sao Jose 🏆
Brazil
Position#9
Record18-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game80.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pato v Sao Jose
18 Mar 2026
PATO72
SAO 81
19 Dec 2024
PATO85
SAO 81
05 Feb 2024
PATO80
SAO 88
17 Oct 2022
PATO61
SAO 71
04 Apr 2020
PATO v SAO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 65
H12/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
81-89
81
89
-8
78avg 65
A19/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-75
67
75
-8
54avg 65
A21/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 65
H02/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
84-53
84
53
+31
81avg 65
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
93-67
93
67
+26
89avg 65
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
59-64
59
64
-5
50avg 65
A18/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-82
67
82
-15
56avg 65
A21/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
67avg 65
H07/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 65
H13/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
17-19
19-22
17-17
20-27
19-26
25-17
17-19
27-17
18-23
4-17
18-18
24-19
21-13
20-23
10-29
17-22
25-14
25-7
17-10
27-19
22-13
18-20
26-15
16-21
24-14
8-10
11-19
14-21
18-21
23-24
12-16
19-21
18-17
19-26
23-25
13-26
22-19
17-19
20-16
151.2Avg total
74.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.579.8153.2-6.323%
Season at home (16)74.876.8151.6-2.131%
Season away (14)72.083.1155.1-11.114%
Last 10 (10)74.976.3151.2-1.420%
Last 5 (5)74.076.4150.4-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.581.2151.7-10.810%
vs Similar (10)79.576.9156.4+2.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
91-95
91
95
-4
no box
H19/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
80-89
80
89
-9
73avg 73
A21/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
97-82
97
82
+15
78avg 73
H04/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
76avg 73
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
74-72
74
72
+2
68avg 73
A11/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
70-79
70
79
-9
58avg 73
A13/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
95-103
95
103
-8
57avg 73
H20/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 73
A22/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
98-81
98
81
+17
101avg 73
H05/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
71-96
71
96
-25
58avg 73
H11/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
17-29
21-17
26-21
18-26
20-18
30-23
12-22
25-28
25-13
25-22
22-19
29-27
17-16
17-16
24-19
21-18
20-15
17-17
16-22
17-31
21-19
16-14
16-15
6-28
31-27
31-18
27-30
15-31
19-15
25-15
9-17
27-23
23-17
25-24
23-17
24-27
18-18
18-31
11-20
168.4Avg total
83.1Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.480.4162.8+2.058%
Season at home (17)84.279.2163.4+5.171%
Season away (14)80.181.9162.1-1.843%
Last 10 (10)83.185.3168.4-2.240%
Last 5 (5)80.487.4167.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.089.3171.3-7.314%
vs Similar (11)78.481.6160.0-3.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.175.7161.8+10.492%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
PatoSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H12/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/01
NBB
Minas
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A21/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H02/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A18/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/03
NBB
79.4Avg total
40.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.040.277.3-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.338.476.7-0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)35.642.477.9-6.829%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.479.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.477.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.640.676.2-5.030%-
vs Similar (10)39.939.479.3+0.560%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H19/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H04/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A11/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H20/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H05/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H11/03
NBB
87.4Avg total
42.0Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.183.4-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.141.384.4+1.853%-
Last 30 away (13)39.143.282.2-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)42.045.487.4-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.247.287.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.446.987.3-6.429%-
vs Similar (11)38.942.781.6-3.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.138.882.8+5.358%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.8
50.7%
52.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.59.4
29.8%
32.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.911.4
63.7%
72.8%11.4
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.3
55.5%
52.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.2
28.9%
32.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.415.3
75.0%
72.8%15.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLLLWWLLLL
Sao Jose
LWLLLWWWLL
#17
League position
#9
-0.9
Net rating
-6.8
84.8
Offensive rating
89.4
85.7
Defensive rating
96.2
47.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.8%
3-point %
28.9%
55.9%
Assist %
66.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence84.8 · 89.4Defence85.7 · 96.2Shooting47.9% · 50.6%3-point %29.8% · 28.9%Ball care17.1% · 15.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Pato   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pato wins
6
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Sao Jose v Pato86-71
18/04/25Sao Jose v Pato77-89
19/12/24Pato v Sao Jose85-81
05/02/24Pato v Sao Jose80-88
06/11/23Sao Jose v Pato100-69
10/01/23Sao Jose v Pato96-69
17/10/22Pato v Sao Jose61-71
20/11/19Sao Jose v Pato81-71
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HMogi72-80
07/03/26HCorinthians Paulista79-89
21/02/26AUnifacisa67-82
18/02/26ACearense59-64
12/02/26HBotafogo93-67
05/02/26HFlamengo84-53
02/02/26HVasco75-84
21/01/26AMinas67-75
19/01/26ACruzeiro81-89
12/01/26HUniao Corinthians72-80
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HBauru71-96
05/03/26HOsasco98-81
22/02/26AMogi68-78
20/02/26HCorinthians Paulista95-103
13/02/26AFlamengo70-79
11/02/26AVasco74-72
06/02/26HUnifacisa87-78
04/02/26HCearense97-82
21/01/26ABotafogo80-89
19/01/26HMinas91-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeLWWLL31%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %23%31%14%
Points / game73.574.872.0
Allowed / game79.876.883.1
Point differential-6.3-2.1-11.1
Avg total153.2151.6155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%6%7%
Sao Jose
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL58%
HomeWWLWL71%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %58%71%43%
Points / game82.484.280.1
Allowed / game80.479.281.9
Point differential+2.0+5.1-1.8
Avg total162.8163.4162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%41%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3126584%86.474.2+12.2
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2922776%87.182.2+4.9
5 Corinthians Paulista3022873%84.778.1+6.5
6 Brasilia3122971%81.471.6+9.7
7 Paulistano31191261%82.878.5+4.3
8 Bauru32191359%81.078.5+2.5
9 Sao Jose31181358%82.480.4+2.0
10 Mogi31171455%75.870.1+5.7
11 Unifacisa30161453%80.479.4+0.9
12 Uniao Corinthians30161453%79.581.2-1.7
13 Caxias do Sul31141745%73.076.8-3.8
14 Cruzeiro31112035%79.885.7-5.9
15 Rio Claro32102231%78.386.6-8.3
16 Pato3072323%73.579.8-6.3
17 Botafogo3172423%72.583.1-10.6
18 Cearense3262619%76.287.5-11.3
19 Vasco3252716%70.279.3-9.1
20 Osasco3252716%76.287.7-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1519241472
Sao Jose1317282381
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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