PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pato vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 85-81
22-18 16-23 22-19 25-21
Position#14
Record5-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game84.2
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#10
Record7-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game74.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pato v Sao Jose
18 Mar 2026
PATO72
SAO 81
19 Dec 2024
PATO85
SAO 81
05 Feb 2024
PATO80
SAO 88
17 Oct 2022
PATO61
SAO 71
04 Apr 2020
PATO v SAO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
70-93
70
93
-23
54avg 72
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
80-81
80
81
-1
74avg 72
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
64avg 72
A02/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
76-84
76
84
-8
64avg 72
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
66-65
66
65
+1
62avg 72
H17/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
98-78
98
78
+20
100avg 72
H28/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
88avg 72
H03/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
63avg 72
A05/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
85avg 72
A13/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 72
A16/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
14-27
14-26
21-21
16-15
26-19
19-28
19-19
22-22
19-21
19-19
10-19
13-22
12-20
29-25
22-17
15-15
21-20
12-9
18-21
27-20
20-11
25-14
26-33
28-29
23-26
25-24
22-19
19-30
19-22
14-23
18-22
18-16
29-26
20-26
24-29
22-21
24-19
26-27
22-31
170.2Avg total
81.8Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.984.2166.1-2.333%
Season at home (7)85.480.3165.7+5.157%
Season away (8)78.987.6166.5-8.812%
Last 10 (10)81.888.4170.2-6.620%
Last 5 (5)91.296.0187.2-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.990.6170.4-10.722%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.181.1159.2-3.131%
vs Weaker (5)88.075.0163.0+13.080%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 70
A04/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
62-75
62
75
-13
48avg 70
H08/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
79-68
79
68
+11
82avg 70
H11/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
89-79
89
79
+10
95avg 70
H15/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
88-66
88
66
+22
92avg 70
H27/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
98-82
98
82
+16
96avg 70
H29/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 70
H02/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
58-70
58
70
-12
49avg 70
A06/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-55
75
55
+20
73avg 70
A09/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
76-77
76
77
-1
82avg 70
H17/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
17-19
23-24
25-17
14-21
11-16
18-19
19-19
15-10
25-13
20-23
19-22
19-12
19-23
28-16
23-28
21-12
20-18
27-16
20-20
18-17
29-19
18-23
33-23
28-26
20-13
25-25
10-14
14-18
12-14
15-24
17-14
16-14
21-11
22-18
16-12
21-13
27-23
21-23
7-18
152.1Avg total
79.4Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.674.5149.1+0.144%
Season at home (10)76.774.5151.2+2.250%
Season away (6)71.074.5145.5-3.533%
Last 10 (10)79.472.7152.1+6.770%
Last 5 (5)78.072.4150.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.681.6151.1-12.014%
vs Similar ◀ (15)72.576.7149.2-4.140%
vs Weaker (8)83.075.4158.4+7.675%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
PatoSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H28/11
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H03/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A05/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A16/12
NBB
82.8Avg total
40.8Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.281.2+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.238.380.5+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.182.0-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.082.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.089.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.245.287.4-3.044%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.939.678.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker (5)46.032.878.8+13.2100%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A04/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H08/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H11/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H15/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H27/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H29/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H02/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A06/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A09/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H17/12
NBB
71.7Avg total
38.8Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.137.773.8-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.136.474.6+1.756%-
Last 30 away (14)33.839.172.9-5.421%-
Last 10 (10)38.832.971.7+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.233.674.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.340.072.3-7.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.536.773.2-0.347%-
vs Weaker (8)38.837.576.2+1.250%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.4
51.2%
50.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.5
38.9%
33.0%34.5
🏀 Free throws16.411.5
70.1%
72.7%11.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.3
53.9%
50.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.7
30.6%
33.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.517.1
79.5%
72.7%17.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLLLWWLLLL
Sao Jose
LWLWWWWWLW
#14
League position
#10
-9.6
Net rating
+10.2
107.3
Offensive rating
106.9
116.9
Defensive rating
96.8
54.5%
Effective FG%
50.6%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
18.4%
Turnover %
18.7%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.9%
3-point %
30.6%
54.7%
Assist %
71.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 106.9Defence116.9 · 96.8Shooting54.5% · 50.6%3-point %38.9% · 30.6%Ball care18.4% · 18.7%Off. rebounds26.7% · 30.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Pato   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pato wins
5
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
05/02/24Pato v Sao Jose80-88
06/11/23Sao Jose v Pato100-69
10/01/23Sao Jose v Pato96-69
17/10/22Pato v Sao Jose61-71
20/11/19Sao Jose v Pato81-71
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/24ABrasilia94-98
13/12/24ABauru91-97
05/12/24AMinas70-97
03/12/24HFlamengo103-110 OT
28/11/24HBotafogo98-78
17/11/24HPaulistano66-65
12/11/24HVasco76-84
02/11/24AUniao Corinthians70-81
31/10/24ACaxias do Sul80-81
28/10/24AFranca70-93
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HPinheiros76-77
09/12/24ACearense75-55
06/12/24AUnifacisa58-70
02/12/24HCorinthians Paulista83-78
29/11/24HUniao Corinthians98-82
27/11/24HCaxias do Sul88-66
15/11/24HMogi89-79
11/11/24HSao Paulo79-68
08/11/24HPaulistano62-75
04/11/24AFranca86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%57%12%
Points / game81.985.478.9
Allowed / game84.280.387.6
Point differential-2.3+5.1-8.8
Avg total166.1165.7166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Sao Jose
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %44%50%33%
Points / game74.676.771.0
Allowed / game74.574.574.5
Point differential+0.1+2.2-3.5
Avg total149.1151.2145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1513287%83.069.3+13.7
2 Flamengo1512380%83.271.0+12.2
3 Brasilia1611569%83.981.2+2.7
4 Bauru1510567%80.278.7+1.5
5 Franca159660%80.577.5+3.0
6 Vasco159660%74.571.7+2.9
7 Sao Paulo159660%79.578.1+1.5
8 Pinheiros159660%74.372.9+1.3
9 Uniao Corinthians158753%78.180.6-2.5
10 Paulistano157847%77.674.1+3.5
11 Sao Jose167944%74.674.5+0.1
12 Unifacisa167944%74.876.6-1.8
13 Corinthians Paulista156940%80.481.6-1.2
14 Pato1551033%81.984.2-2.3
15 Mogi1651131%70.277.9-7.6
16 Botafogo1651131%71.680.3-8.8
17 Caxias do Sul1531220%70.778.3-7.6
18 Cearense1631319%68.377.4-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2216222585
Sao Jose1823192181
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.