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Pau-Orthez vs Le Mans Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-77
23-19 21-20 16-20 27-18
Position#6
Record14-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game82.0
Pau-Orthez 🏆
France
vs
Le Mans
France
Position#9
Record15-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game79.2
FranceLNBRound 25
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Le Mans
30 Jan 2027
POR v LMA
upcoming
17 Dec 2022
POR89
LMA85
30 Mar 2022
POR87
LMA77
28 Oct 2020
POR90
LMA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Le Mans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Paris
#15
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
no box
H29/01
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
85avg 80
A05/02
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
70-72
70
72
-2
64avg 80
A11/02
LNB
Orleans
#45
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
A16/02
French Cup
Limoges
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
67avg 80
A20/02
LNB
Le Portel
#14
W
75-70
75
70
+5
no box
H07/03
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#18
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
A11/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#12
W
87-82
87
82
+5
87avg 80
H19/03
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#3
W
93-72
93
72
+21
no box
H26/03
French Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#2
W
88-85
88
85
+3
no box
H27/03
French Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
26-11
14-23
12-15
15-28
23-11
22-20
23-14
20-14
21-20
8-19
21-19
17-18
20-20
18-26
22-6
14-19
20-30
18-17
23-19
21-17
18-20
16-25
20-8
27-17
15-20
27-20
17-20
24-26
23-20
20-20
20-16
23-15
15-20
30-17
25-20
23-17
20-20
31-20
14-28
159.4Avg total
82.0Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.582.0164.5+0.561%
Season at home (11)84.278.5162.7+5.673%
Season away (12)80.985.2166.1-4.250%
Last 10 (10)82.077.4159.4+4.670%
Last 5 (5)85.877.2163.0+8.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.382.0151.3-12.733%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.882.8167.5+2.069%
vs Weaker (13)86.278.4164.5+7.877%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
66-57
66
57
+9
60avg 86
A22/01
LNB
Orleans
#17
W
79-60
79
60
+19
78avg 86
H29/01
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
69-82
69
82
-13
61avg 86
A06/02
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#18
W
79-64
79
64
+15
69avg 86
A11/02
LNB
Monaco
#11
L
76-92
76
92
-16
no box
A16/02
French Cup
Paris
#15
W
95-82
95
82
+13
110avg 86
H05/03
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
75-100
75
100
-25
65avg 86
A07/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#12
W
98-87
98
87
+11
98avg 86
A13/03
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
L
65-79
65
79
-14
58avg 86
A19/03
LNB
Roanne
#13
W
82-75
82
75
+7
93avg 86
H25/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
13-15
17-11
23-12
29-14
15-18
17-15
18-13
10-24
20-23
20-17
19-18
23-23
13-16
27-13
16-12
17-17
20-34
17-17
22-24
18-19
21-27
28-21
28-15
21-26
13-29
19-23
22-22
27-21
25-17
26-25
20-24
17-20
11-18
16-19
21-22
13-15
33-21
22-14
14-25
156.2Avg total
78.4Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.979.2162.1+3.762%
Season at home (12)85.677.2162.8+8.475%
Season away (12)80.281.2161.5-1.050%
Last 10 (10)78.477.8156.2+0.660%
Last 5 (5)83.084.6167.6-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.789.3171.0-7.70%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.683.3165.9-0.753%
vs Weaker (10)85.474.0159.4+11.490%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
Pau-OrthezLe Mans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#15
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H29/01
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A05/02
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A11/02
LNB
Orleans
#45
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A16/02
French Cup
Limoges
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A20/02
LNB
Le Portel
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H07/03
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#18
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A11/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H19/03
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H26/03
French Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H27/03
French Cup
79.9Avg total
40.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.380.6+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.239.182.3+4.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.339.578.9-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.079.9+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.480.2+3.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.336.074.3+2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.241.083.2+1.262%-
vs Weaker (13)41.338.579.8+2.869%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A22/01
LNB
Orleans
#17
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/01
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A06/02
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#18
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A11/02
LNB
Monaco
#11
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A16/02
French Cup
Paris
#15
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H05/03
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A07/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#12
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A13/03
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A19/03
LNB
Roanne
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H25/03
LNB
78.8Avg total
37.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.781.4-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.939.481.3+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)37.743.881.5-6.125%-
Last 10 (10)37.241.678.8-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.682.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.747.086.7-7.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.142.582.5-2.433%-
vs Weaker (10)39.738.578.2+1.260%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.515.5
54.4%
53.4%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.812.0
41.7%
35.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws22.216.9
76.1%
74.1%16.9
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.8
53.7%
53.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.5
31.6%
35.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.314.5
71.4%
74.1%14.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
WWWWWLWLWL
Le Mans
WLWLWLWLWW
#6
League position
#9
+0.9
Net rating
+2.3
112.7
Offensive rating
106.1
111.7
Defensive rating
103.8
58.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
20.7%
Turnover %
17.6%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
41.7%
3-point %
31.6%
73.1%
Assist %
68.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 106.1Defence111.7 · 103.8Shooting58.5% · 51.6%3-point %41.7% · 31.6%Ball care20.7% · 17.6%Off. rebounds26.8% · 28.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Le Mans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pau-Orthez wins
1
Le Mans wins
DateGameScore
16/10/21Le Mans v Pau-Orthez100-106 OT
01/05/21Le Mans v Pau-Orthez88-78
28/10/20Pau-Orthez v Le Mans90-81 OT
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22HGravelines-Dunkerque88-85
26/03/22HFos-sur-Mer93-72
19/03/22HGravelines-Dunkerque87-82
11/03/22AChalons-Reims86-77
07/03/22HLe Portel75-70
20/02/22ALimoges75-85
16/02/22AOrleans77-70
11/02/22AFos-sur-Mer70-72
05/02/22AJL Bourg83-73
29/01/22HParis86-88 OT
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/22HRoanne82-75
19/03/22AJL Bourg65-79
13/03/22AGravelines-Dunkerque98-87
07/03/22ADijon75-100
05/03/22HParis95-82
16/02/22AMonaco76-92
11/02/22AChalons-Reims79-64
06/02/22ALevallois69-82
29/01/22HOrleans79-60
22/01/22AFos-sur-Mer66-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
LNB 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game82.584.280.9
Allowed / game82.078.585.2
Point differential+0.5+5.6-4.2
Avg total164.5162.7166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)83% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %13%9%17%
Le Mans
LNB 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game82.985.680.2
Allowed / game79.277.281.2
Point differential+3.7+8.4-1.0
Avg total162.1162.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%42%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Levallois2417771%87.579.0+8.4
2 Monaco2417771%86.080.0+6.0
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne2416867%83.578.5+5.0
4 Le Mans2415962%82.979.2+3.7
5 Pau-Orthez2314961%82.582.0+0.5
6 Dijon25151060%80.280.5-0.3
7 Limoges25141156%78.574.0+4.5
8 Strasbourg25141156%84.581.1+3.4
9 Nanterre25131252%84.783.6+1.0
10 Cholet25121348%80.182.0-2.0
11 JL Bourg24111346%76.174.0+2.1
12 Gravelines-Dunkerque25111444%82.282.0+0.2
13 Roanne25101540%85.987.6-1.7
14 Paris25101540%81.085.6-4.7
15 Le Portel2591636%76.481.4-5.0
16 Orleans2481633%76.584.2-7.7
17 Fos-sur-Mer2471729%71.678.2-6.5
18 Chalons-Reims2471729%81.288.0-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez2321162787
Le Mans1920201877
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