Paulistano vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 May 2018

Tip-off: 22:30

Final 80-77

14-10 24-13 21-23 21-31

Position#2

Record29-7

FormWWLWL

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game72.1

Paulistano 🏆

Bauru

Position#5

Record24-15

FormWLWLW

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game77.1

NBBNBB - Semi-finals

Other2017-18

Meetings · Paulistano v Bauru

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bauru winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joinville

#12

86-66

+20

A25/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

80-81

-1

A27/03

NBB

Cearense

#10

67-72

-5

A17/04

NBB

Cearense

#10

93-89

H20/04

NBB

Cearense

#10

79-68

+11

H22/04

NBB

Cearense

#10

98-57

+41

A25/04

NBB

Bauru

78-72

A30/04

NBB

Bauru

59-70

-11

H05/05

NBB

Bauru

95-64

+31

H08/05

NBB

Bauru

75-82

-7

A11/05

NBB

21-19

18-12

23-21

24-14

18-21

22-22

21-15

19-23

15-20

15-15

15-18

22-19

18-19

22-21

36-22

17-27

20-6

22-21

20-14

18-9

29-8

24-24

27-16

22-22

21-14

16-15

19-21

14-18

19-16

17-20

9-16

30-8

19-20

26-23

20-13

16-18

24-21

19-25

153.1Avg total

81.0Scored

72.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	84.0	72.1	156.1	+11.9	81%
Season at home (18)	86.5	70.5	157.0	+16.0	94%
Season away (18)	81.5	73.6	155.1	+7.9	67%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	72.1	153.1	+8.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	69.0	150.0	+12.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	82.0	87.0	169.0	-5.0	0%
vs Similar (3)	82.0	77.3	159.3	+4.7	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	85.9	70.3	156.2	+15.5	85%

This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bauru

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vasco

#11

89-92

-3

H06/04

NBB

Vasco

#11

83-79

H07/04

NBB

Vasco

#11

104-103 OT

104

103

A10/04

NBB

Franca

81-76

H16/04

NBB

Franca

83-77

A20/04

NBB

Franca

69-61

A21/04

NBB

Paulistano

72-78

-6

H30/04

NBB

Paulistano

70-59

+11

A05/05

NBB

Paulistano

64-95

-31

A08/05

NBB

Paulistano

82-75

H11/05

NBB

16-20

26-22

24-26

23-24

20-21

18-23

19-9

26-26

15-22

23-26

27-22

26-21

20-15

22-19

22-18

17-24

22-15

25-16

19-19

17-27

12-12

13-16

24-9

20-24

22-22

14-21

15-16

21-19

18-14

16-19

20-17

16-9

8-30

20-19

23-26

13-20

18-16

21-24

25-19

159.2Avg total

79.7Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	81.3	77.1	158.3	+4.2	62%
Season at home (19)	81.4	77.5	158.9	+3.9	63%
Season away (20)	81.1	76.7	157.8	+4.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	79.5	159.2	+0.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	73.6	145.0	-2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	72.6	76.9	149.5	-4.3	50%
vs Similar (6)	79.8	82.8	162.7	-3.0	33%
vs Weaker (14)	88.6	75.3	163.9	+13.4	71%

This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PaulistanoBauru

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	17.2	38.1	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	16.9	38.5	+4.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	17.5	37.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	15.0	35.0	+5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	16.7	36.3	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.2	16.9	38.1	+4.2	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.4	17.9	38.2	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	17.7	34.8	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.7	35.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	18.8	34.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.4	17.7	34.1	-1.3	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	20.8	40.2	-1.5	17%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.6	16.6	37.2	+4.1	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	16.4	38.4	+5.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	16.4	38.9	+6.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	16.3	37.7	+5.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	15.2	35.3	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.2	36.0	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	23.0	53.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	18.7	40.3	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.7	15.8	37.6	+5.9	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	20.5	40.2	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	18.2	35.8	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.2	34.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.7	18.4	36.1	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	50%	-

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joinville

#12

39-31

A25/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

40-43

-3

A27/03

NBB

Cearense

#10

30-35

-5

A17/04

NBB

Cearense

#10

40-40

H20/04

NBB

Cearense

#10

37-33

H22/04

NBB

Cearense

#10

47-17

+30

A25/04

NBB

Bauru

43-36

A30/04

NBB

Bauru

33-34

-1

H05/05

NBB

Bauru

49-28

+21

H08/05

NBB

Bauru

32-36

-4

A11/05

NBB

72.3Avg total

39.0Scored

33.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	33.5	76.5	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.1	33.3	77.4	+10.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.6	33.8	75.4	+7.8	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	33.3	72.3	+5.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	30.2	71.0	+10.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	49.0	48.0	97.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.3	35.3	76.7	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	42.9	32.8	75.7	+10.1	77%	-

This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vasco

#11

42-42

H06/04

NBB

Vasco

#11

38-44

-6

H07/04

NBB

Vasco

#11

38-48

-10

A10/04

NBB

Franca

42-34

H16/04

NBB

Franca

47-31

+16

A20/04

NBB

Franca

25-28

-3

A21/04

NBB

Paulistano

36-43

-7

H30/04

NBB

Paulistano

34-33

A05/05

NBB

Paulistano

28-49

-21

A08/05

NBB

Paulistano

36-32

H11/05

NBB

75.0Avg total

36.6Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	37.3	75.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.1	38.4	78.5	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.7	35.9	70.6	-1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	38.4	75.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	37.0	68.8	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	34.1	36.1	70.2	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.3	43.2	81.5	-4.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (14)	40.1	35.6	75.8	+4.5	57%	-

This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	18.7	41.3	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	18.9	41.6	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	18.6	40.9	+3.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.3	17.3	39.7	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.9	18.9	41.8	+4.0	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.5	40.2	+3.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	19.4	40.1	+1.2	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.0	17.3	40.3	+5.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.4	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.3	16.2	36.5	+4.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.6	18.4	42.0	+5.3	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.1	38.4	+0.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	19.6	40.1	+0.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.3	24.7	43.0	-6.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	20.4	42.1	+1.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.3	41.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	22.3	42.2	-2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.9	20.4	44.4	+3.5	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	38.1	80.5	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	37.9	80.1	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.8	38.2	81.0	+4.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	38.8	80.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.8	79.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	33.0	39.0	72.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.7	42.0	82.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.0	37.6	80.6	+5.4	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	39.4	82.5	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.3	39.8	82.1	+2.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	44.1	38.8	82.9	+5.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	39.9	81.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	36.6	76.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	38.5	40.8	79.3	-2.3	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.2	38.5	78.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (14)	47.6	38.8	86.4	+8.8	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Paulistano wins

Bauru wins

Date	Game	Score
11/05/18	Bauru v Paulistano	82-75
08/05/18	Paulistano v Bauru	95-64
05/05/18	Paulistano v Bauru	59-70
30/04/18	Bauru v Paulistano	72-78
20/01/18	Paulistano v Bauru	88-79
04/11/17	Bauru v Paulistano	72-71
17/06/17	Bauru v Paulistano	92-73
10/06/17	Paulistano v Bauru	64-81
04/06/17	Bauru v Paulistano	90-79
02/06/17	Bauru v Paulistano	74-78

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/05/18	A	Bauru	75-82
08/05/18	H	Bauru	95-64
05/05/18	H	Bauru	59-70
30/04/18	A	Bauru	78-72
25/04/18	A	Cearense	98-57
22/04/18	H	Cearense	79-68
20/04/18	H	Cearense	93-89
17/04/18	A	Cearense	67-72
27/03/18	A	Caxias do Sul	80-81
25/03/18	A	Joinville	86-66

Baurulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/05/18	H	Paulistano	82-75
08/05/18	A	Paulistano	64-95
05/05/18	A	Paulistano	70-59
30/04/18	H	Paulistano	72-78
21/04/18	A	Franca	69-61
20/04/18	A	Franca	83-77
16/04/18	H	Franca	81-76
10/04/18	A	Vasco	104-103 OT
07/04/18	H	Vasco	83-79
06/04/18	H	Vasco	89-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano

NBB 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	81%
Home	WWWLW	94%
Away	LLWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	81%	94%	67%
Points / game	84.0	86.5	81.5
Allowed / game	72.1	70.5	73.6
Point differential	+11.9	+16.0	+7.9
Avg total	156.1	157.0	155.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	67%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	100% (3)	50% (6)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Bauru

NBB 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	62%
Home	LWWLW	63%
Away	WWWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	19	20
Win %	62%	63%	60%
Points / game	81.3	81.4	81.1
Allowed / game	77.1	77.5	76.7
Point differential	+4.2	+3.9	+4.4
Avg total	158.3	158.9	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	26%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (16)	67% (9)	29% (7)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	35	29	6	83%	83.6	74.7	+8.9
2	Paulistano	36	29	7	81%	84.0	72.1	+11.9
3	Franca	31	22	9	71%	80.0	71.5	+8.5
4	Mogi	36	25	11	69%	75.4	70.3	+5.2
5	Bauru	39	24	15	62%	81.3	77.1	+4.2
6	Caxias do Sul	35	20	15	57%	74.7	73.5	+1.2
7	Pinheiros	32	16	16	50%	76.9	73.3	+3.6
8	Universo/Vitoria	33	16	17	48%	77.1	76.8	+0.3
9	Minas	36	17	19	47%	73.3	76.5	-3.2
10	Cearense	36	16	20	44%	72.2	76.4	-4.1
11	Vasco	32	13	19	41%	79.4	81.5	-2.1
12	Joinville	28	7	21	25%	66.9	78.1	-11.2
13	Botafogo	31	7	24	23%	69.8	80.0	-10.1
14	Campo Mourao	28	4	24	14%	68.8	80.2	-11.4
15	Sorocabana	28	3	25	11%	69.5	78.0	-8.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Paulistano	14	24	21	21	80
Bauru	10	13	23	31	77

← all games of the day

Paulistano vs Bauru Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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