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Paulistano vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 79-83
19-17 16-23 24-22 20-21
Position#12
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#4
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game83.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paulistano v Bauru
30 Oct 2026
PAUL83
BAUR75
29 Apr 2026
PAUL71
BAUR62
21 Apr 2026
PAUL80
BAUR77
20 Oct 2025
PAUL66
BAUR59
30 Apr 2025
PAUL54
BAUR84
22 Apr 2025
PAUL93
BAUR77
28 Oct 2024
PAUL79
BAUR83
08 Jan 2024
PAUL55
BAUR66
19 Nov 2022
PAUL71
BAUR68
04 Mar 2022
PAUL53
BAUR65
02 May 2021
PAUL78
BAUR65
30 Apr 2021
PAUL77
BAUR87
06 Feb 2021
PAUL69
BAUR64
28 Feb 2020
PAUL88
BAUR93
21 Mar 2019
PAUL74
BAUR76
14 May 2018
PAUL80
BAUR77
08 May 2018
PAUL95
BAUR64
05 May 2018
PAUL59
BAUR70
20 Jan 2018
PAUL88
BAUR79
10 Jun 2017
PAUL64
BAUR81
27 May 2017
PAUL82
BAUR78
16 Nov 2016
PAUL90
BAUR66
19 Dec 2015
PAUL80
BAUR77
24 Jan 2015
PAUL89
BAUR90
23 Nov 2013
PAUL87
BAUR66
17 Jan 2013
PAUL76
BAUR73
16 Feb 2012
PAUL78
BAUR63
08 Apr 2011
PAUL62
BAUR86
21 Nov 2010
PAUL88
BAUR86
03 Apr 2009
PAUL93
BAUR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
L
61-64
61
64
-3
49avg 69
A09/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
93-64
93
64
+29
96avg 69
A12/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 69
A18/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
77-68
77
68
+9
68avg 69
H22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-64
61
64
-3
45avg 69
A02/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
66avg 69
H06/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
62avg 69
H08/05
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
67-72
67
72
-5
62avg 69
A12/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
80-62
80
62
+18
76avg 69
H14/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
90-100
90
100
-10
84avg 69
H24/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
12-15
13-17
23-15
29-19
20-14
18-19
26-12
26-20
26-17
16-13
15-15
22-24
11-11
30-14
14-19
18-15
9-18
16-21
18-10
13-21
28-33
19-21
15-14
13-21
13-18
24-27
23-14
17-19
21-21
15-18
14-14
29-13
24-13
13-18
14-18
30-17
26-31
12-29
22-23
148.8Avg total
76.0Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.078.0157.0+1.033%
Season at home (2)85.081.0166.0+4.050%
Season away (1)67.072.0139.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)76.072.8148.8+3.240%
Last 5 (5)77.080.6157.6-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.383.4156.7-10.10%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.068.7141.7+4.356%
vs Weaker (13)82.569.1151.5+13.469%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 73
H07/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
67-59
67
59
+8
63avg 73
H09/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
74avg 73
A12/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
67avg 73
A14/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
61-92
61
92
-31
59avg 73
A18/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
65-88
65
88
-23
57avg 73
H21/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
72-110
72
110
-38
92avg 73
H23/05
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 73
H15/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
66avg 73
H17/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
68-78
68
78
-10
55avg 73
A26/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
22-14
25-13
15-22
25-17
11-10
17-18
14-14
22-20
23-17
16-27
20-17
16-20
16-11
24-26
20-16
20-28
13-19
17-22
11-23
17-19
17-26
8-24
23-19
21-37
14-37
19-13
18-23
28-19
22-20
20-24
23-28
12-9
14-23
13-22
32-17
22-19
21-17
16-23
9-19
158.4Avg total
75.0Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.783.7164.3-3.033%
Season at home (2)87.086.5173.5+0.550%
Season away (1)68.078.0146.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)75.083.4158.4-8.440%
Last 5 (5)75.889.8165.6-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.386.6158.9-14.329%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.678.8161.4+3.871%
vs Weaker (8)87.880.2168.0+7.575%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
PaulistanoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A09/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A12/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A18/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A02/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H06/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H08/05
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H14/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H24/10
NBB
77.7Avg total
40.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.375.5+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.335.577.8+6.767%-
Last 30 away (15)36.237.073.2-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.777.7+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.484.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.443.379.7-6.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.434.271.7+3.256%-
vs Weaker (13)41.634.576.1+7.269%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H07/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H09/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A12/05
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A14/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A18/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H21/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
35-74
35
74
-39
H23/05
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H15/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H17/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A26/10
NBB
77.3Avg total
37.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.081.0+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.139.481.5+2.776%-
Last 30 away (13)39.740.780.4-1.046%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.977.3-2.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.282.8-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.646.382.9-9.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.536.579.0+6.086%-
vs Weaker (8)43.838.682.4+5.162%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.5
50.0%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.111.3
66.1%
72.7%11.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.7
54.8%
50.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.07.1
24.5%
33.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.815.7
79.3%
72.7%15.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LWLLLLWWWL
Bauru
LLWLLLWLWW
#12
League position
#4
+4.5
Net rating
-10.4
106.1
Offensive rating
97.1
101.5
Defensive rating
107.5
49.7%
Effective FG%
46.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.0%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.8%
3-point %
24.5%
62.4%
Assist %
64.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 97.1Defence101.5 · 107.5Shooting49.7% · 46.5%3-point %32.8% · 24.5%Ball care17.0% · 18.0%Off. rebounds33.2% · 24.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Paulistano   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Paulistano wins
5
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
08/01/24Paulistano v Bauru55-66
26/10/23Bauru v Paulistano75-71
11/02/23Bauru v Paulistano80-70
19/11/22Paulistano v Bauru71-68 OT
04/03/22Paulistano v Bauru53-65
06/01/22Bauru v Paulistano97-98
02/05/21Paulistano v Bauru78-65
30/04/21Paulistano v Bauru77-87
28/04/21Bauru v Paulistano66-78
06/02/21Paulistano v Bauru69-64
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24HFranca90-100
14/10/24HPinheiros80-62
12/10/24AMogi67-72
08/05/24HFranca73-80
06/05/24HFranca75-89
02/05/24AFranca61-64
22/04/24HCorinthians Paulista77-68
18/04/24ACorinthians Paulista83-65
12/04/24ASao Jose93-64
09/04/24AMogi61-64
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24ASao Paulo68-78
17/10/24HMinas81-82 OT
15/10/24HBrasilia93-91
23/05/24HFlamengo72-110
21/05/24HFlamengo65-88
18/05/24AFlamengo61-92
14/05/24AVasco76-73
12/05/24AVasco87-95 OT
09/05/24HVasco67-59
07/05/24HVasco80-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game79.085.067.0
Allowed / game78.081.072.0
Point differential+1.0+4.0-5.0
Avg total157.0166.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game80.787.068.0
Allowed / game83.786.578.0
Point differential-3.0+0.5-10.0
Avg total164.3173.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sao Paulo440100%82.573.8+8.8
2 Minas54180%82.870.8+12.0
3 Flamengo54180%76.064.6+11.4
4 Franca43175%81.880.5+1.2
5 Uniao Corinthians32167%79.776.7+3.0
6 Pato53260%82.275.8+6.4
7 Botafogo53260%71.069.0+2.0
8 Pinheiros53260%67.268.4-1.2
9 Corinthians Paulista42250%80.574.8+5.8
10 Brasilia52340%79.680.4-0.8
11 Paulistano31233%79.078.0+1.0
12 Caxias do Sul31233%75.376.0-0.7
13 Bauru31233%80.783.7-3.0
14 Unifacisa31233%74.379.0-4.7
15 Mogi62433%69.282.5-13.3
16 Vasco41325%61.262.2-1.0
17 Cearense41325%64.578.2-13.8
18 Sao Jose5050%66.478.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano1916242079
Bauru1723222183
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