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Paulistano vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 55-66
13-11 14-13 17-17 11-25
Position#7
Record13-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#5
Record11-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game78.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2023-24
Meetings · Paulistano v Bauru
30 Oct 2026
PAUL83
BAUR75
29 Apr 2026
PAUL71
BAUR62
21 Apr 2026
PAUL80
BAUR77
20 Oct 2025
PAUL66
BAUR59
30 Apr 2025
PAUL54
BAUR84
22 Apr 2025
PAUL93
BAUR77
28 Oct 2024
PAUL79
BAUR83
08 Jan 2024
PAUL55
BAUR66
19 Nov 2022
PAUL71
BAUR68
04 Mar 2022
PAUL53
BAUR65
02 May 2021
PAUL78
BAUR65
30 Apr 2021
PAUL77
BAUR87
06 Feb 2021
PAUL69
BAUR64
28 Feb 2020
PAUL88
BAUR93
21 Mar 2019
PAUL74
BAUR76
14 May 2018
PAUL80
BAUR77
08 May 2018
PAUL95
BAUR64
05 May 2018
PAUL59
BAUR70
20 Jan 2018
PAUL88
BAUR79
10 Jun 2017
PAUL64
BAUR81
27 May 2017
PAUL82
BAUR78
16 Nov 2016
PAUL90
BAUR66
19 Dec 2015
PAUL80
BAUR77
24 Jan 2015
PAUL89
BAUR90
23 Nov 2013
PAUL87
BAUR66
17 Jan 2013
PAUL76
BAUR73
16 Feb 2012
PAUL78
BAUR63
08 Apr 2011
PAUL62
BAUR86
21 Nov 2010
PAUL88
BAUR86
03 Apr 2009
PAUL93
BAUR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
58avg 68
H25/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
63-51
63
51
+12
52avg 68
A28/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
81-65
81
65
+16
76avg 68
A30/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
56avg 68
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 68
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
58avg 68
H11/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
91-69
91
69
+22
91avg 68
A16/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
68-64
68
64
+4
62avg 68
A18/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
78avg 68
H29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-24
21-19
21-17
20-26
18-11
8-8
20-14
17-18
22-15
19-15
16-22
24-13
19-23
17-22
22-18
14-14
16-9
26-21
23-19
20-28
20-20
17-18
24-20
9-18
17-14
21-21
32-14
21-20
15-14
20-23
14-12
19-15
27-15
24-7
22-27
19-29
18-21
27-19
29-14
18-25
150.7Avg total
78.5Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.270.7145.9+4.572%
Season at home (10)77.972.1150.0+5.870%
Season away (8)71.969.0140.9+2.975%
Last 10 (10)78.572.2150.7+6.370%
Last 5 (5)82.673.2155.8+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.883.8149.5-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.374.1150.4+2.250%
vs Weaker (14)82.868.5151.3+14.393%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
94-59
94
59
+35
94avg 70
H22/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
64avg 70
A27/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 70
A29/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
58-67
58
67
-9
46avg 70
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 70
H09/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 70
H11/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
no box
A18/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 70
A20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-97
75
97
-22
57avg 70
A28/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
no box
A06/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
29-6
17-16
29-19
19-16
18-24
14-31
22-18
14-22
32-22
14-22
20-17
16-15
9-15
17-13
16-24
16-21
17-23
19-21
30-8
27-20
20-25
24-19
19-17
22-20
18-16
20-21
17-20
29-18
19-20
16-15
18-21
14-27
21-23
19-20
21-27
23-21
24-17
21-33
16-13
161.4Avg total
81.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.578.3157.8+1.258%
Season at home (8)84.670.1154.8+14.5100%
Season away (11)75.884.3160.1-8.527%
Last 10 (10)81.579.9161.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)85.685.6171.2+0.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.789.4166.1-12.714%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.275.4151.6+0.860%
vs Weaker (13)84.572.8157.4+11.785%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
PaulistanoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H25/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A28/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A30/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A16/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H29/12
NBB
72.0Avg total
38.1Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.073.4+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.033.774.7+7.362%-
Last 30 away (14)35.436.471.9-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)38.133.972.0+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.234.475.6+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.845.277.0-13.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.235.974.1+2.233%-
vs Weaker (14)40.531.271.7+9.386%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H22/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A29/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H09/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H11/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A18/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A28/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A06/01
NBB
79.5Avg total
40.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.280.2+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.280.5+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)39.640.379.9-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.979.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.484.8+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.346.084.3-7.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.539.078.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (13)43.535.879.2+7.777%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.0
52.5%
51.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.5
31.1%
33.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.4
71.3%
72.6%13.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.8
53.3%
51.8%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.712.5
74.9%
72.6%12.5
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WWWWLWLWWL
Bauru
WLWWWWLLLW
#7
League position
#5
+9.1
Net rating
+1.4
107.5
Offensive rating
105.5
98.4
Defensive rating
104.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
38.2%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.1%
3-point %
33.9%
56.8%
Assist %
62.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 105.5Defence98.4 · 104.1Shooting50.3% · 52.3%3-point %31.1% · 33.9%Ball care19.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds38.2% · 25.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Paulistano   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Paulistano wins
5
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
26/10/23Bauru v Paulistano75-71
11/02/23Bauru v Paulistano80-70
19/11/22Paulistano v Bauru71-68 OT
04/03/22Paulistano v Bauru53-65
06/01/22Bauru v Paulistano97-98
02/05/21Paulistano v Bauru78-65
30/04/21Paulistano v Bauru77-87
28/04/21Bauru v Paulistano66-78
06/02/21Paulistano v Bauru69-64
08/12/20Bauru v Paulistano81-62
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HSao Jose92-79
27/12/23HMogi92-78
18/12/23ACerrado68-64
16/12/23ABrasilia91-69
11/12/23HVasco70-76
07/12/23HBotafogo85-77
05/12/23HFlamengo72-77
30/11/23ACaxias do Sul81-65
28/11/23AUniao Corinthians63-51
25/11/23HMinas71-86
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24ASao Paulo93-89 OT
28/12/23AFranca75-97
20/12/23ASao Jose82-74
18/12/23AMogi88-87 OT
11/12/23HCerrado90-81
09/12/23HBrasilia82-73
02/12/23AVasco58-67
29/11/23ABotafogo80-83
27/11/23AFlamengo73-89
22/11/23HCaxias do Sul94-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeLWLWW70%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %72%70%75%
Points / game75.277.971.9
Allowed / game70.772.169.0
Point differential+4.5+5.8+2.9
Avg total145.9150.0140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %58%100%27%
Points / game79.584.675.8
Allowed / game78.370.184.3
Point differential+1.2+14.5-8.5
Avg total157.8154.8160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %11%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1816289%84.573.3+11.2
2 Minas1815383%85.373.7+11.7
3 Franca1814478%86.375.4+10.9
4 Paulistano1813572%75.270.7+4.5
5 Vasco1813572%73.769.5+4.2
6 Unifacisa1812667%81.778.0+3.7
7 Bauru1911858%79.578.3+1.2
8 Sao Jose1810856%80.074.9+5.1
9 Cearense1810856%78.175.8+2.2
10 Corinthians Paulista1881044%80.482.0-1.6
11 Pato1981142%75.377.3-2.0
12 Sao Paulo1981142%76.578.9-2.4
13 Pinheiros1871139%76.479.1-2.7
14 Botafogo1861233%78.484.7-6.3
15 Caxias do Sul1861233%72.179.2-7.1
16 Cerrado1851328%73.775.4-1.7
17 Uniao Corinthians1851328%71.680.8-9.2
18 Mogi1831517%73.279.9-6.7
19 Brasilia1931616%70.784.8-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano1314171155
Bauru1113172566
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