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Paulistano vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 93-77
27-27 21-16 25-18 20-16
Position#12
Record15-19
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#4
Record19-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game78.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paulistano v Bauru
30 Oct 2026
PAUL83
BAUR75
29 Apr 2026
PAUL71
BAUR62
21 Apr 2026
PAUL80
BAUR77
20 Oct 2025
PAUL66
BAUR59
30 Apr 2025
PAUL54
BAUR84
22 Apr 2025
PAUL93
BAUR77
28 Oct 2024
PAUL79
BAUR83
08 Jan 2024
PAUL55
BAUR66
19 Nov 2022
PAUL71
BAUR68
04 Mar 2022
PAUL53
BAUR65
02 May 2021
PAUL78
BAUR65
30 Apr 2021
PAUL77
BAUR87
06 Feb 2021
PAUL69
BAUR64
28 Feb 2020
PAUL88
BAUR93
21 Mar 2019
PAUL74
BAUR76
14 May 2018
PAUL80
BAUR77
08 May 2018
PAUL95
BAUR64
05 May 2018
PAUL59
BAUR70
20 Jan 2018
PAUL88
BAUR79
10 Jun 2017
PAUL64
BAUR81
27 May 2017
PAUL82
BAUR78
16 Nov 2016
PAUL90
BAUR66
19 Dec 2015
PAUL80
BAUR77
24 Jan 2015
PAUL89
BAUR90
23 Nov 2013
PAUL87
BAUR66
17 Jan 2013
PAUL76
BAUR73
16 Feb 2012
PAUL78
BAUR63
08 Apr 2011
PAUL62
BAUR86
21 Nov 2010
PAUL88
BAUR86
03 Apr 2009
PAUL93
BAUR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 70
H27/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
84-87
84
87
-3
74avg 70
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
82avg 70
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 70
A17/03
NBB
Pato
#14
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 70
H26/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 70
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
85-64
85
64
+21
89avg 70
A03/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
52avg 70
A06/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
66-76
66
76
-10
50avg 70
H14/04
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
81-69
81
69
+12
82avg 70
H17/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
16-26
9-17
31-21
12-25
20-23
26-10
26-29
17-18
20-22
20-18
20-19
16-20
27-20
18-23
17-20
14-26
23-20
20-23
20-25
19-14
12-24
16-20
19-20
16-12
28-15
20-19
21-18
17-16
22-19
13-21
11-14
17-13
21-23
13-21
15-19
27-13
21-18
15-27
18-11
156.7Avg total
77.0Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)77.876.2154.0+1.644%
Season at home (17)79.077.2156.2+1.847%
Season away (17)76.675.3151.9+1.341%
Last 10 (10)77.079.7156.7-2.720%
Last 5 (5)72.271.4143.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.481.0155.4-6.620%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.774.9152.6+2.750%
vs Weaker (7)79.974.4154.3+5.457%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
68avg 70
A27/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
84-81
84
81
+3
60avg 70
H05/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
74-66
74
66
+8
73avg 70
A11/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
69avg 70
A14/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
60avg 70
A18/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
84-67
84
67
+17
82avg 70
H29/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
95avg 70
H04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 70
H13/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 70
H17/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
84-85
84
85
-1
73avg 70
H19/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
19-15
23-15
19-25
18-21
23-16
27-24
16-20
19-18
24-18
17-13
14-17
22-20
17-19
17-15
18-23
22-17
15-30
18-21
16-25
28-17
23-16
17-19
16-15
22-16
24-16
19-11
24-26
17-21
24-30
16-19
27-18
28-11
18-17
13-18
16-23
12-21
28-20
20-18
24-26
157.5Avg total
79.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)78.878.5157.3+0.356%
Season at home (17)80.075.3155.3+4.776%
Season away (17)77.581.7159.2-4.235%
Last 10 (10)79.777.8157.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)83.275.6158.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.685.6162.2-9.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.577.1153.6-0.650%
vs Weaker (11)81.775.5157.3+6.282%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
PaulistanoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H27/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/03
NBB
Pato
#14
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H26/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A03/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A06/04
NBB
Minas
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H14/04
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H17/04
NBB
76.4Avg total
38.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.276.5+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.638.376.9+0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)39.936.376.2+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.076.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.473.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.440.882.2+0.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.437.176.5+2.444%-
vs Weaker (7)37.435.172.6+2.357%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H05/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A11/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A14/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A18/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H29/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H13/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H17/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H19/04
NBB
80.7Avg total
42.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.178.5+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.536.677.1+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.579.8-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.780.7+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.081.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.846.686.4-6.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.338.176.4+0.150%-
vs Weaker (11)40.636.877.5+3.845%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.6
48.2%
50.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.8
28.5%
33.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.816.6
79.8%
72.7%16.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.9
52.5%
50.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.4
29.6%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.015.9
79.5%
72.7%15.9
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WLLWLLLLLL
Bauru
LWLWWLLWWL
#12
League position
#4
-3.9
Net rating
+2.4
101.4
Offensive rating
101.4
105.3
Defensive rating
98.9
46.1%
Effective FG%
48.9%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
19.5%
Turnover %
20.2%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.5%
3-point %
29.6%
60.2%
Assist %
67.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 101.4Defence105.3 · 98.9Shooting46.1% · 48.9%3-point %28.5% · 29.6%Ball care19.5% · 20.2%Off. rebounds32.7% · 29.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Paulistano   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Paulistano wins
6
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
20/01/25Bauru v Paulistano73-85
28/10/24Paulistano v Bauru79-83
08/01/24Paulistano v Bauru55-66
26/10/23Bauru v Paulistano75-71
11/02/23Bauru v Paulistano80-70
19/11/22Paulistano v Bauru71-68 OT
04/03/22Paulistano v Bauru53-65
06/01/22Bauru v Paulistano97-98
02/05/21Paulistano v Bauru78-65
30/04/21Paulistano v Bauru77-87
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/25HBrasilia81-69
14/04/25HMinas66-76
06/04/25AFlamengo63-70
03/04/25ABotafogo85-64
01/04/25AVasco66-78
26/03/25HPato77-94
17/03/25AUniao Corinthians78-83
15/03/25ACaxias do Sul95-99 OT
06/03/25HCearense84-87
27/02/25HUnifacisa75-77
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25HBotafogo84-85
17/04/25HVasco75-69
13/04/25HFlamengo84-88
04/04/25HUniao Corinthians89-69
29/03/25HCaxias do Sul84-67
18/03/25AFranca71-93
14/03/25AUnifacisa74-77
11/03/25ACearense74-66
05/03/25HPinheiros84-81
27/02/25ASao Jose78-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeLLLLW47%
AwayLLLWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %44%47%41%
Points / game77.879.076.6
Allowed / game76.277.275.3
Point differential+1.6+1.8+1.3
Avg total154.0156.2151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%41%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)25% (4)14% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeWWLWL76%
AwayWLWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %56%76%35%
Points / game78.880.077.5
Allowed / game78.575.381.7
Point differential+0.3+4.7-4.2
Avg total157.3155.3159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)57% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3429585%82.270.9+11.3
2 Flamengo3426876%84.776.1+8.6
3 Franca3425974%84.675.6+9.0
4 Pinheiros35201557%76.674.0+2.6
5 Brasilia34191556%81.180.4+0.8
6 Bauru34191556%78.878.5+0.3
7 Vasco34181653%76.476.1+0.3
8 Uniao Corinthians34181653%78.180.4-2.4
9 Corinthians Paulista34171750%81.679.7+2.0
10 Sao Jose34171750%78.278.1+0.1
11 Unifacisa35161946%74.675.2-0.6
12 Paulistano34151944%77.876.2+1.6
13 Pato34132138%81.583.4-1.9
14 Sao Paulo34132138%76.479.7-3.4
15 Mogi34112332%74.581.2-6.7
16 Caxias do Sul34112332%74.481.1-6.8
17 Cearense34102429%72.178.0-5.9
18 Botafogo34102429%73.182.1-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2721252093
Bauru2716181677
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