PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Paulistano vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 77-66
26-13 14-16 20-13 17-24
Position#7
Record6-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#13
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game77.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paulistano v Caxias do Sul
27 Dec 2026
PAUL v CAXI
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
PAUL77
CAXI66
12 Dec 2024
PAUL82
CAXI72
05 Apr 2024
PAUL75
CAXI56
06 Mar 2023
PAUL83
CAXI58
12 Jan 2022
PAUL89
CAXI83
30 Jan 2021
PAUL71
CAXI64
16 Jan 2018
PAUL88
CAXI70
20 Dec 2016
PAUL82
CAXI49
16 Feb 2016
PAUL87
CAXI60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
51avg 71
H24/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
87-89
87
89
-2
77avg 71
A28/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
54-71
54
71
-17
46avg 71
A30/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
80-71
80
71
+9
69avg 71
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 71
H06/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
94-81
94
81
+13
92avg 71
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
101-65
101
65
+36
99avg 71
H13/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-82
80
82
-2
69avg 71
H15/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
63-94
63
94
-31
50avg 71
A18/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
106-86
106
86
+20
108avg 71
A20/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
20-19
18-13
13-18
32-21
20-18
10-26
25-24
13-20
18-20
14-14
9-17
18-15
19-13
17-26
26-17
18-12
23-18
26-22
14-24
23-17
24-29
19-18
28-17
28-17
23-19
19-17
31-12
15-21
19-23
29-25
17-13
18-28
24-25
13-23
8-18
29-11
23-18
28-26
26-31
160.1Avg total
81.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.176.8156.9+3.355%
Season at home (6)79.570.7150.2+8.867%
Season away (5)80.884.2165.0-3.440%
Last 10 (10)81.578.6160.1+2.950%
Last 5 (5)88.881.6170.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.875.0146.8-3.220%
vs Similar (18)72.476.1148.5-3.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)93.181.6174.7+11.657%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
77-80
77
80
-3
65avg 65
A30/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
63-86
63
86
-23
52avg 65
H02/05
NBB
Pato
#17
W
70-63
70
63
+7
73avg 65
H21/10
NBB
Franca
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
66avg 65
A28/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
64-75
64
75
-11
48avg 65
A30/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
92-79
92
79
+13
86avg 65
H03/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
64-96
64
96
-32
46avg 65
H05/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
59-82
59
82
-23
50avg 65
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
63avg 65
A17/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
79-75
79
75
+4
80avg 65
A21/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
14-26
19-13
25-19
15-20
13-20
21-23
14-23
16-18
15-12
23-14
16-19
25-25
14-14
17-17
19-17
15-22
13-13
20-21
16-19
24-18
23-29
18-9
27-23
16-26
23-24
19-24
6-22
15-15
14-21
16-21
14-25
17-15
23-17
20-20
8-16
28-26
15-14
19-23
17-12
150.4Avg total
71.8Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.277.5149.8-5.250%
Season at home (3)75.379.3154.7-4.067%
Season away (5)70.476.4146.8-6.040%
Last 10 (10)71.878.6150.4-6.840%
Last 5 (5)73.881.8155.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)73.284.6157.8-11.432%
vs Similar (5)74.472.8147.2+1.660%
vs Weaker (3)80.372.3152.7+8.0100%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
PaulistanoCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A28/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A30/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H06/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H13/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H15/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A18/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A20/11
NBB
81.0Avg total
42.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.776.9+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.138.377.4+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.437.176.5+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.581.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.686.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.037.075.0+1.060%-
vs Similar (18)37.437.875.2-0.439%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.037.982.9+7.171%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A30/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H02/05
NBB
Pato
#17
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H21/10
NBB
Franca
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A30/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H03/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H05/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A17/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/11
NBB
75.4Avg total
35.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.741.176.9-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.339.676.9-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)34.142.776.8-8.513%-
Last 10 (10)35.739.775.4-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)35.043.078.0-8.014%-
vs Similar (5)36.234.070.2+2.260%-
vs Weaker (3)40.339.079.3+1.367%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.716.8
45.8%
52.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.8
36.0%
32.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.514.5
78.4%
72.8%14.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.5
48.8%
52.2%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.4
30.7%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.912.8
71.5%
72.8%12.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WLLWWWWLLL
Caxias do Sul
WLLLWLWWLL
#7
League position
#13
+3.9
Net rating
-9.9
107.5
Offensive rating
97.9
103.7
Defensive rating
107.8
49.5%
Effective FG%
47.5%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.7%
Turnover %
20.9%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.0%
3-point %
30.7%
57.6%
Assist %
62.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 97.9Defence103.7 · 107.8Shooting49.5% · 47.5%3-point %36.0% · 30.7%Ball care16.7% · 20.9%Off. rebounds32.4% · 29.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Paulistano   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Paulistano wins
3
Caxias do Sul wins
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25ACruzeiro106-86
18/11/25AMinas63-94
15/11/25HFlamengo80-82
13/11/25HUniao Corinthians101-65
09/11/25AOsasco94-81
06/11/25HPinheiros81-76
04/11/25HSao Jose80-71
30/10/25ABrasilia54-71
28/10/25ARio Claro87-89
24/10/25HFranca69-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25AOsasco79-75
17/11/25AUniao Corinthians75-77 OT
09/11/25APinheiros59-82
05/11/25HBrasilia64-96
03/11/25HRio Claro92-79
30/10/25ABauru64-75
28/10/25AFranca75-73
21/10/25HPato70-63
02/05/25HFlamengo63-86
30/04/25AFlamengo77-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game80.179.580.8
Allowed / game76.870.784.2
Point differential+3.3+8.8-3.4
Avg total156.9150.2165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game72.275.370.4
Allowed / game77.579.376.4
Point differential-5.2-4.0-6.0
Avg total149.8154.7146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %12%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1211192%89.073.7+15.3
2 Minas119282%85.476.2+9.2
3 Mogi108280%84.365.7+18.6
4 Brasilia108280%83.470.9+12.5
5 Corinthians Paulista97278%86.475.4+11.0
6 Pinheiros97278%82.375.1+7.2
7 Franca118373%86.573.3+13.2
8 Sao Jose106460%77.575.0+2.5
9 Paulistano116555%80.176.8+3.3
10 Unifacisa105550%79.179.0+0.1
11 Caxias do Sul84450%72.277.5-5.2
12 Bauru115645%71.474.0-2.6
13 Uniao Corinthians94544%75.785.8-10.1
14 Cearense93633%80.184.8-4.7
15 Botafogo113827%70.880.1-9.3
16 Cruzeiro113827%76.586.1-9.6
17 Osasco112918%75.587.5-12.0
18 Rio Claro112918%76.089.6-13.6
19 Pato1221017%70.381.0-10.7
20 Vasco100100%65.279.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2614201777
Caxias do Sul1316132466
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.