PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rio Claro vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 89-87
21-32 18-20 26-10 24-25
Position#15
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game98.5
vs
Position#7
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game65.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Felipe Karam
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rio Claro v Paulistano
28 Oct 2025
RIO 89
PAUL87
15 Oct 2022
RIO 93
PAUL88
20 Apr 2022
RIO 67
PAUL65
18 Nov 2021
RIO 85
PAUL79
31 Mar 2020
RIO v PAUL
upcoming
05 Nov 2015
RIO 67
PAUL74
20 Feb 2015
RIO 87
PAUL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rio Claro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rio ClaroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormClaro
Date
Competition
Bauru
#7
W
84-69
84
69
+15
no box
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
53-76
53
76
-23
no box
A11/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
83-95 OT
83
95
-12
no box
A13/03
NBB
Minas
#4
L
79-97
79
97
-18
no box
H23/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
84-109
84
109
-25
no box
A28/03
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
A30/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
53-100
53
100
-47
no box
H08/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
80-92
80
92
-12
no box
H12/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
86-88
86
88
-2
82avg 62
H18/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
57-109
57
109
-52
43avg 62
A25/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
24-20
16-15
22-20
20-21
9-23
13-18
11-14
16-17
22-18
15-19
20-19
20-18
18-31
24-22
17-26
20-37
17-20
21-30
26-22
24-9
26-26
22-19
20-20
19-22
11-18
10-27
13-33
25-24
18-20
17-16
20-32
21-21
17-27
31-22
17-18
21-31
14-22
12-27
10-29
166.0Avg total
75.1Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.598.5170.0-27.00%
Season at home (1)86.088.0174.0-2.00%
Season away (1)57.0109.0166.0-52.00%
Last 10 (10)75.190.9166.0-15.820%
Last 5 (5)73.692.6166.2-19.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)72.689.3161.9-16.712%
vs Similar (6)85.084.5169.5+0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
52avg 68
A06/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
66-76
66
76
-10
50avg 68
H14/04
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
81-69
81
69
+12
82avg 68
H17/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
93-77
93
77
+16
90avg 68
H22/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
63-81
63
81
-18
57avg 68
A25/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
62-60
62
60
+2
52avg 68
A27/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
54-84
54
84
-30
47avg 68
H30/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
65avg 68
A03/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
66-59
66
59
+7
63avg 68
H20/10
NBB
Franca
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
51avg 68
H24/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
22-19
13-21
11-14
17-13
21-23
13-21
15-19
27-13
21-18
15-27
18-11
27-27
21-16
25-18
20-16
12-18
18-20
16-21
17-22
21-16
10-21
14-13
17-10
12-23
14-20
12-21
16-20
28-25
8-15
14-17
19-12
13-13
17-19
21-16
15-11
18-21
20-19
18-13
13-18
142.9Avg total
69.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)67.565.0132.5+2.550%
Season at home (2)67.565.0132.5+2.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.773.2142.9-3.540%
Last 5 (5)66.271.8138.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.579.3152.8-5.817%
vs Similar (19)75.675.6151.3+0.053%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.477.0161.4+7.460%
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
Rio ClaroPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rio ClaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A11/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A13/03
NBB
Minas
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H23/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A28/03
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A30/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H08/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H12/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H18/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A25/10
NBB
82.3Avg total
38.4Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.642.179.7-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.241.782.9-0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)34.442.476.8-7.925%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.982.3-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.083.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.742.579.1-5.825%-
vs Similar (6)41.340.581.8+0.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A06/04
NBB
Minas
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H14/04
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H17/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H22/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A25/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H30/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H20/10
NBB
Franca
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/10
NBB
73.9Avg total
36.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.876.2+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.938.476.3-0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)38.937.176.1+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.573.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.238.470.6-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.840.781.5+0.250%-
vs Similar (19)37.837.575.3+0.337%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.835.473.2+2.460%-
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rio Clarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rio Claro: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.515.0
46.2%
52.2%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.5
36.2%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.015.0
68.2%
72.8%15.0
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.516.6
45.5%
52.2%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.7
30.7%
32.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.112.6
73.7%
72.8%12.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rio Claro
LLLLWLLLLW
Paulistano
LWLLWLWWLL
#15
League position
#7
-33.5
Net rating
-5.0
87.5
Offensive rating
98.2
121.0
Defensive rating
103.2
49.6%
Effective FG%
45.7%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
23.1%
Turnover %
20.4%
12.1%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.2%
3-point %
30.7%
57.4%
Assist %
60.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence87.5 · 98.2Defence121.0 · 103.2Shooting49.6% · 45.7%3-point %36.2% · 30.7%Ball care23.1% · 20.4%Off. rebounds12.1% · 34.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Rio Claro   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Rio Claro wins
5
Paulistano wins
Rio Clarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25ABrasilia57-109
18/10/25HPinheiros86-88
12/04/23HSao Jose80-92
08/04/23HFlamengo53-100
30/03/23ABrasilia92-74
28/03/23ACerrado84-109
23/03/23HMinas79-97
13/03/23AUniao Corinthians83-95 OT
11/03/23ACaxias do Sul53-76
06/03/23HBauru84-69
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/25HFranca69-71
20/10/25HBauru66-59
03/05/25ABauru80-85 OT
30/04/25HBauru54-84
27/04/25ABauru62-60
25/04/25ABauru63-81
22/04/25HBauru93-77
17/04/25HBrasilia81-69
14/04/25HMinas66-76
06/04/25AFlamengo63-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rio Claro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.586.057.0
Allowed / game98.588.0109.0
Point differential-27.0-2.0-52.0
Avg total170.0174.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game67.567.5-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+2.5+2.5-
Avg total132.5132.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brasilia220100%93.065.5+27.5
2 Flamengo330100%94.776.3+18.3
3 Caxias do Sul220100%72.568.0+4.5
4 Minas440100%81.578.2+3.2
5 Franca43175%84.068.2+15.8
6 Sao Jose32167%77.369.0+8.3
7 Pinheiros32167%80.077.7+2.3
8 Unifacisa32167%79.777.3+2.3
9 Cearense32167%81.786.7-5.0
10 Corinthians Paulista21150%81.074.0+7.0
11 Mogi21150%87.081.5+5.5
12 Paulistano21150%67.565.0+2.5
13 Uniao Corinthians21150%72.074.0-2.0
14 Bauru52340%69.474.4-5.0
15 Botafogo31233%79.081.7-2.7
16 Pato3030%75.379.3-4.0
17 Vasco4040%72.879.5-6.8
18 Cruzeiro3030%70.389.7-19.3
19 Osasco3030%67.788.0-20.3
20 Rio Claro2020%71.598.5-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rio Claro2118262489
Paulistano3220102587
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.