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Paulistano vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Scheduled
Position#6
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#9
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2026-27
Meetings · Paulistano v Cruzeiro
23 Dec 2026
PAUL v CRUZ
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
PAUL88
CRUZ89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cruzeiro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
95-80
95
80
+15
105avg 73
A24/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
75-88
75
88
-13
66avg 73
A26/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
71-62
71
62
+9
67avg 73
H29/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
77avg 73
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 73
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
59avg 73
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
70avg 73
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
73-91
73
91
-18
50avg 73
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#8
W
65-62
65
62
+3
48avg 73
H28/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H30/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
20-22
25-15
19-26
14-24
17-29
26-16
18-19
15-16
20-16
20-18
16-12
23-16
24-26
22-24
20-23
24-20
14-16
24-28
6-12
23-18
12-24
18-18
21-24
13-10
20-18
30-13
17-33
22-29
16-25
16-18
19-19
20-14
16-12
22-21
7-15
26-23
26-12
16-21
15-19
156.9Avg total
77.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.275.5150.8-0.275%
Season at home (2)74.068.5142.5+5.5100%
Season away (2)76.582.5159.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)77.679.3156.9-1.750%
Last 5 (5)75.077.2152.2-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.785.7164.3-7.017%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.081.4164.4+1.671%
vs Weaker (10)86.675.5162.1+11.180%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 75
H14/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
86-77
86
77
+9
86avg 75
H16/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
94-99
94
99
-5
92avg 75
A21/04
NBB
Minas
#3
W
97-81
97
81
+16
94avg 75
H24/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
63avg 75
H26/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
93-103
93
103
-10
83avg 75
A29/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#16
W
72-61
72
61
+11
71avg 75
A17/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#11
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 75
A19/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
80-89
80
89
-9
40avg 75
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
60avg 75
H29/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
22-16
19-26
29-28
20-23
23-19
18-23
25-12
16-23
38-33
22-24
18-19
31-21
12-29
22-18
32-13
9-25
28-27
16-29
21-20
16-24
27-19
15-27
35-33
21-20
12-19
19-9
20-13
22-20
18-14
13-29
21-20
21-16
28-16
11-30
20-27
17-17
21-18
19-10
19-23
170.0Avg total
83.7Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.575.2150.8+0.250%
Season at home (2)78.078.5156.5-0.550%
Season away (2)73.072.0145.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)83.786.3170.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)79.080.8159.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)83.892.5176.3-8.719%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.080.7160.7-0.733%
vs Weaker (8)81.274.4155.6+6.988%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
PaulistanoCruzeiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A24/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A26/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H29/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#15
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#8
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H28/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H30/10
NBB
78.3Avg total
39.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.780.6+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.037.381.3+6.779%-
Last 30 away (16)40.140.080.1+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.778.3+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.075.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.241.381.5-1.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.238.180.4+4.164%-
vs Weaker (10)42.538.080.5+4.570%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H14/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A21/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H24/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H26/04
NBB
Minas
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A29/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A17/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A19/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/10
NBB
85.3Avg total
42.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.282.5-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.341.083.3+1.358%-
Last 30 away (18)38.843.181.9-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.085.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.677.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.746.286.9-5.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.236.079.2+7.283%-
vs Weaker (8)37.138.976.0-1.850%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.9
49.1%
49.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.2
33.7%
31.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.111.9
73.9%
71.2%11.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.4
50.6%
49.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
31.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.713.1
74.0%
71.2%13.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WWLWLLLWLW
Cruzeiro
WLLWLLWLWL
#6
League position
#9
+2.1
Net rating
+1.2
89.1
Offensive rating
92.4
87.0
Defensive rating
91.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.7%
3-point %
33.9%
49.4%
Assist %
73.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence89.1 · 92.4Defence87.0 · 91.2Shooting49.8% · 50.7%3-point %33.7% · 33.9%Ball care17.5% · 15.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Paulistano   ■ Cruzeiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paulistano wins
1
Cruzeiro wins
DateGameScore
10/03/26Paulistano v Cruzeiro88-89
20/11/25Cruzeiro v Paulistano86-106
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HBauru83-75
28/10/26HFranca65-62
24/10/26ABrasilia73-91
21/10/26APato80-74
09/05/26HPinheiros74-84
07/05/26HPinheiros68-76
04/05/26APinheiros92-101 OT
29/04/26HBauru71-62
26/04/26ABauru75-88
24/04/26ABauru95-80
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HPato76-68
27/10/26HBrasilia80-89
19/10/26AUniao Corinthians74-83
17/10/26ACaxias do Sul72-61
29/04/26AMinas93-103
26/04/26HMinas74-101
24/04/26HMinas97-81
21/04/26AMinas94-99
16/04/26HCearense86-77
14/04/26HUnifacisa91-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game75.274.076.5
Allowed / game75.568.582.5
Point differential-0.2+5.5-6.0
Avg total150.8142.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cruzeiro
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.578.073.0
Allowed / game75.278.572.0
Point differential+0.2-0.5+1.0
Avg total150.8156.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas440100%88.065.8+22.2
2 Unifacisa43175%86.074.0+12.0
3 Pinheiros43175%81.870.2+11.5
4 Mogi43175%78.873.5+5.2
5 Brasilia43175%86.286.2+0.0
6 Paulistano43175%75.275.5-0.2
7 Flamengo32167%79.770.7+9.0
8 Franca42250%72.569.0+3.5
9 Cruzeiro42250%75.575.2+0.2
10 Bauru42250%75.277.8-2.5
11 Uniao Corinthians42250%76.079.2-3.2
12 Corinthians Paulista31233%81.078.7+2.3
13 Osasco31233%79.084.7-5.7
14 Botafogo41325%80.884.8-4.0
15 Pato41325%74.082.5-8.5
16 Caxias do Sul4040%67.077.8-10.8
17 Sao Jose3030%70.090.0-20.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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