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Paulistano vs Cruzeiro Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 88-89
26-27 14-23 19-23 29-16
Position#7
Record18-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#14
Record10-18
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game85.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paulistano v Cruzeiro
23 Dec 2026
PAUL v CRUZ
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
PAUL88
CRUZ89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cruzeiro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
67avg 71
A09/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
A15/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
no box
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 71
A03/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
86-73
86
73
+13
87avg 71
H07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 71
A11/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 71
A13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
53avg 71
A19/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
104-83
104
83
+21
94avg 71
H22/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
94avg 71
H06/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
22-23
20-22
22-20
26-11
23-26
21-18
19-32
16-16
25-14
18-21
13-21
25-27
18-18
22-26
26-18
18-19
20-18
25-20
23-16
17-21
22-11
18-14
17-17
22-20
13-18
20-19
18-23
11-26
25-15
14-20
18-19
29-17
30-24
31-19
14-23
27-28
25-15
15-27
23-20
168.4Avg total
85.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.077.8159.8+4.262%
Season at home (15)84.674.8159.4+9.880%
Season away (14)79.281.0160.2-1.843%
Last 10 (10)85.882.6168.4+3.270%
Last 5 (5)85.681.6167.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.879.6157.4-1.840%
vs Similar (13)80.580.8161.2-0.362%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.274.4159.7+10.867%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 73
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 73
A10/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A15/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
89avg 73
H19/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
66avg 73
A06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
53avg 73
A14/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
70-69
70
69
+1
61avg 73
A16/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
87-93
87
93
-6
82avg 73
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
95-79
95
79
+16
92avg 73
H21/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
92-84
92
84
+8
95avg 73
A07/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
21-12
16-19
30-23
17-23
21-17
27-19
18-36
27-26
22-18
24-22
18-32
27-20
26-19
17-25
19-17
19-25
17-17
16-18
25-20
9-26
19-29
20-24
19-16
15-20
18-14
20-17
17-18
26-24
23-20
22-24
16-25
18-24
22-21
30-17
25-17
17-17
23-17
24-26
28-24
168.9Avg total
83.7Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.785.1164.8-5.536%
Season at home (15)82.485.9168.3-3.540%
Season away (13)76.584.3160.8-7.831%
Last 10 (10)83.785.2168.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)82.284.0166.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.489.0166.4-11.612%
vs Similar (6)78.582.2160.7-3.750%
vs Weaker (5)88.875.6164.4+13.2100%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
PaulistanoCruzeiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A15/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A03/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A11/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H22/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H06/03
NBB
82.1Avg total
43.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.379.6+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.736.377.9+5.467%-
Last 30 away (15)41.040.381.3+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.082.1+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.083.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.440.078.4-1.620%-
vs Similar (13)41.238.980.2+2.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.736.979.6+5.875%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A15/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H19/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A14/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A16/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A07/03
NBB
81.9Avg total
40.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.243.381.5-5.129%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.744.183.7-4.427%-
Last 30 away (13)36.542.478.9-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.381.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.480.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.444.681.1-8.212%-
vs Similar (6)40.244.084.2-3.833%-
vs Weaker (5)42.037.879.8+4.280%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.3
49.6%
52.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.0
37.3%
32.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.213.7
71.4%
72.8%13.7
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.0
52.5%
52.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.6
35.4%
32.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.315.8
74.2%
72.8%15.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WWLLWWWWWL
Cruzeiro
WWLWLLWLLW
#7
League position
#14
+6.1
Net rating
-2.7
100.1
Offensive rating
95.9
94.0
Defensive rating
98.6
52.3%
Effective FG%
52.7%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
13.4%
Turnover %
17.0%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.3%
3-point %
35.4%
44.6%
Assist %
67.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 95.9Defence94.0 · 98.6Shooting52.3% · 52.7%3-point %37.3% · 35.4%Ball care13.4% · 17.0%Off. rebounds25.0% · 34.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Paulistano   ■ Cruzeiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paulistano wins
0
Cruzeiro wins
DateGameScore
20/11/25Cruzeiro v Paulistano86-106
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HUnifacisa109-102 OT
22/02/26HMinas104-83
19/02/26APinheiros68-80
13/02/26ACaxias do Sul73-80
11/02/26AUniao Corinthians74-63
07/02/26HOsasco86-73
03/02/26AFranca91-89
19/01/26HBrasilia83-81 OT
15/01/26ABauru89-87
09/01/26ASao Jose81-88
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AOsasco92-84
21/02/26HRio Claro95-79
19/02/26HBrasilia87-93
16/02/26AMogi70-69
14/02/26AFranca67-95
06/02/26ABauru77-80
19/01/26HPato89-81
15/01/26ASao Jose91-98
10/01/26ACorinthians Paulista83-95
29/12/25ACearense86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%80%43%
Points / game82.084.679.2
Allowed / game77.874.881.0
Point differential+4.2+9.8-1.8
Avg total159.8159.4160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %7%13%0%
Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW36%
HomeLWWLW40%
AwayLLLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %36%40%31%
Points / game79.782.476.5
Allowed / game85.185.984.3
Point differential-5.5-3.5-7.8
Avg total164.8168.3160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2924583%85.774.5+11.2
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2821775%87.082.2+4.7
5 Brasilia2921872%82.172.7+9.4
6 Corinthians Paulista2921872%84.078.0+6.0
7 Paulistano29181162%82.077.8+4.2
8 Sao Jose30181260%82.879.9+2.9
9 Bauru30181260%80.577.9+2.6
10 Uniao Corinthians29161355%79.480.9-1.4
11 Mogi30161453%75.670.0+5.6
12 Unifacisa29151452%80.980.1+0.8
13 Caxias do Sul29121741%72.677.1-4.5
14 Cruzeiro28101836%79.785.1-5.5
15 Rio Claro3092130%77.586.6-9.1
16 Pato2972224%73.579.8-6.2
17 Botafogo2962321%72.582.9-10.4
18 Cearense2962321%76.887.4-10.6
19 Osasco2942514%75.387.7-12.4
20 Vasco3042613%69.779.4-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano2614192988
Cruzeiro2723231689
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