PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Paulistano vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Scheduled
Position#13
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game78.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2026-27
Meetings · Paulistano v Cruzeiro
23 Dec 2026
PAUL v CRUZ
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
PAUL88
CRUZ89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cruzeiro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
77avg 73
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 73
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
59avg 73
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
70avg 73
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
73-91
73
91
-18
50avg 73
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
65-62
65
62
+3
48avg 73
H28/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H30/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
63-71
63
71
-8
no box
A04/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
58-65
58
65
-7
no box
A07/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
A13/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
24-26
22-24
20-23
24-20
14-16
24-28
6-12
23-18
12-24
18-18
21-24
13-10
20-18
30-13
17-33
22-29
16-25
16-18
19-19
20-14
16-12
22-21
7-15
26-23
26-12
16-21
15-19
19-22
16-18
15-20
13-11
15-18
14-10
16-25
13-12
22-26
20-16
7-17
16-20
149.9Avg total
72.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.673.9143.4-4.343%
Season at home (2)74.068.5142.5+5.5100%
Season away (5)67.876.0143.8-8.220%
Last 10 (10)72.177.8149.9-5.730%
Last 5 (5)66.870.4137.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.882.0156.8-7.222%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.681.0164.6+2.670%
vs Weaker (11)84.074.5158.5+9.573%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
94-99
94
99
-5
92avg 75
A21/04
NBB
Minas
#3
W
97-81
97
81
+16
94avg 75
H24/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
63avg 75
H26/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
93-103
93
103
-10
83avg 75
A29/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
72-61
72
61
+11
71avg 75
A17/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 75
A19/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
80-89
80
89
-9
40avg 75
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
60avg 75
H29/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
no box
A03/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
no box
A05/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
38-33
22-24
18-19
31-21
12-29
22-18
32-13
9-25
28-27
16-29
21-20
16-24
27-19
15-27
35-33
21-20
12-19
19-9
20-13
22-20
18-14
13-29
21-20
21-16
28-16
11-30
20-27
17-17
21-18
19-10
19-23
16-24
23-21
13-15
26-14
14-23
21-22
17-27
25-26
167.2Avg total
81.5Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.278.8155.0-2.750%
Season at home (2)78.078.5156.5-0.550%
Season away (4)75.279.0154.2-3.850%
Last 10 (10)81.585.7167.2-4.240%
Last 5 (5)77.082.4159.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)83.893.3177.1-9.519%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.779.7159.4+0.043%
vs Weaker (7)81.674.3155.9+7.386%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
PaulistanoCruzeiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#15
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H28/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H30/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A04/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A07/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A13/11
NBB
75.8Avg total
38.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.679.8+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.237.882.1+6.477%-
Last 30 away (17)38.839.278.0-0.541%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.375.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.273.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.940.979.8-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.038.381.3+4.760%-
vs Weaker (11)41.337.178.4+4.273%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A21/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H24/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H26/04
NBB
Minas
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A29/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A17/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A19/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A03/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A05/11
NBB
84.2Avg total
41.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.683.0-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.941.184.0+1.864%-
Last 30 away (19)38.843.582.4-4.732%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.184.2-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.278.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.746.787.4-6.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.637.379.9+5.371%-
vs Weaker (7)37.338.776.0-1.457%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.9
49.1%
49.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.2
33.7%
31.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.111.9
73.9%
71.3%11.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.4
50.6%
49.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
31.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.713.1
74.0%
71.3%13.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LLLWWLWLLL
Cruzeiro
LWWLLWLLWL
#13
League position
#9
+2.1
Net rating
+1.2
89.1
Offensive rating
92.4
87.0
Defensive rating
91.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.7%
3-point %
33.9%
49.4%
Assist %
73.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence89.1 · 92.4Defence87.0 · 91.2Shooting49.8% · 50.7%3-point %33.7% · 33.9%Ball care17.5% · 15.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Paulistano   ■ Cruzeiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paulistano wins
1
Cruzeiro wins
DateGameScore
10/03/26Paulistano v Cruzeiro88-89
20/11/25Cruzeiro v Paulistano86-106
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ASao Jose65-79
07/11/26ACearense58-65
04/11/26AUnifacisa63-71
30/10/26HBauru83-75
28/10/26HFranca65-62
24/10/26ABrasilia73-91
21/10/26APato80-74
09/05/26HPinheiros74-84
07/05/26HPinheiros68-76
04/05/26APinheiros92-101 OT
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26AFranca77-98
03/11/26ABauru78-74
29/10/26HPato76-68
27/10/26HBrasilia80-89
19/10/26AUniao Corinthians74-83
17/10/26ACaxias do Sul72-61
29/04/26AMinas93-103
26/04/26HMinas74-101
24/04/26HMinas97-81
21/04/26AMinas94-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game69.674.067.8
Allowed / game73.968.576.0
Point differential-4.3+5.5-8.2
Avg total143.4142.5143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cruzeiro
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.278.075.2
Allowed / game78.878.579.0
Point differential-2.7-0.5-3.8
Avg total155.0156.5154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.