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Pavlodar vs Karaganda Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 60-80
23-16 18-18 13-21 6-25
Position#14
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game46.2
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#7
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game78.0
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pavlodar v Karaganda
18 Nov 2025
PAVL60
KARA80
24 Mar 2021
PAVL v KARA
upcoming
25 Feb 2021
PAVL66
KARA70
31 Jan 2021
PAVL56
KARA86
18 Dec 2020
PAVL46
KARA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karaganda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
69avg 59
A08/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
75-96
75
96
-21
67avg 59
A09/03
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
59avg 59
A11/03
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
68-82
68
82
-14
57avg 59
A12/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
78-104
78
104
-26
62avg 59
A04/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
91-105
91
105
-14
85avg 59
H05/04
National League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
55-75
55
75
-20
42avg 59
A14/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
38-87
38
87
-49
18avg 59
H15/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
49-68
49
68
-19
25avg 59
A16/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
43-86
43
86
-43
23avg 59
H17/11
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
11-26
21-12
17-14
21-29
16-16
17-29
21-22
10-18
25-16
15-8
13-21
15-20
15-25
21-22
17-15
20-31
15-26
20-26
23-21
26-33
31-20
11-23
23-29
12-25
9-15
10-16
24-19
11-28
10-22
8-14
9-23
6-19
14-16
9-21
20-12
14-27
11-26
12-16
6-17
149.7Avg total
64.6Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)46.279.0125.2-32.80%
Season at home (2)40.586.5127.0-46.00%
Season away (2)52.071.5123.5-19.50%
Last 10 (10)64.685.1149.7-20.510%
Last 5 (5)55.284.2139.4-29.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)68.685.6154.2-17.013%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KaragandaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaraganda
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
44avg 51
A05/03
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
48-64
48
64
-16
35avg 51
H06/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#5
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A06/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#6
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H08/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#4
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A09/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#3
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H10/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
56-81
56
81
-25
43avg 51
A14/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 51
H15/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
59-84
59
84
-25
46avg 51
A16/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
83-64
83
64
+19
72avg 51
H17/11
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
8-19
19-26
22-21
12-24
9-14
10-20
17-6
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
18-10
10-22
13-28
15-21
21-19
20-28
29-14
11-22
15-29
12-18
13-30
19-7
34-10
14-15
13-14
22-25
93.8Avg total
39.0Scored
54.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.878.0147.8-8.225%
Season at home (2)82.073.5155.5+8.550%
Season away (2)57.582.5140.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)39.054.893.8-15.810%
Last 5 (5)55.866.4122.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)50.574.5125.0-24.08%
vs Similar (4)49.856.5106.2-6.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)82.073.5155.5+8.550%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.2-9.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -7.2-7.2Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.2-9.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -7.2-7.2Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
PavlodarKaraganda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A08/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A09/03
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A11/03
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A04/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H05/04
National League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A14/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
21-50
21
50
-29
H15/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A16/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
25-53
25
53
-28
H17/11
Higher League
77.7Avg total
31.7Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.644.978.4-11.317%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.046.479.4-13.423%-
Last 30 away (17)34.043.777.7-9.712%-
Last 10 (10)31.746.077.7-14.320%-
Last 5 (5)28.846.275.0-17.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)33.644.978.4-11.317%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A05/03
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
21-38
21
38
-17
H06/03
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A14/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H15/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A16/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H17/11
Higher League
70.2Avg total
31.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)29.240.569.7-11.215%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.241.871.0-12.523%-
Last 30 away (13)29.239.268.4-9.98%-
Last 10 (6)31.239.070.2-7.817%-
Last 5 (5)33.037.870.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)27.342.569.8-15.25%-
vs Similar (3)32.729.362.0+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)44.536.080.5+8.550%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
7
Karaganda wins
DateGameScore
14/03/23Karaganda v Pavlodar81-66
16/02/23Karaganda v Pavlodar100-75
26/12/22Karaganda v Pavlodar81-74
25/02/21Pavlodar v Karaganda66-70
31/01/21Pavlodar v Karaganda56-86
18/12/20Pavlodar v Karaganda46-75
24/11/20Karaganda v Pavlodar76-59
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/25HBars Petropavlovsk43-86
16/11/25ATigers-KazATU49-68
15/11/25HBars Petropavlovsk38-87
14/11/25ATigers-KazATU55-75
05/04/25HTobol Kostanay91-105
04/04/25ATobol Kostanay78-104
12/03/25AAstana 268-82
11/03/25AAstana 270-66 OT
09/03/25AKaspiy Aktau75-96
08/03/25AKaspiy Aktau79-82 OT
Karagandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/25HTigers-KazATU83-64
16/11/25ABars Petropavlovsk59-84
15/11/25HTigers-KazATU81-83
14/11/25ABars Petropavlovsk56-81
10/04/25HShymkent0-20
09/04/25ATigers-KazATU0-20
08/04/25HCHAMP1ON0-20
06/04/25AChelSU Kostanay0-20
06/03/25HBars Petropavlovsk48-64
05/03/25ATuran63-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game46.240.552.0
Allowed / game79.086.571.5
Point differential-32.8-46.0-19.5
Avg total125.2127.0123.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karaganda
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game69.882.057.5
Allowed / game78.073.582.5
Point differential-8.2+8.5-25.0
Avg total147.8155.5140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bars Petropavlovsk990100%91.056.3+34.7
2 Aktobe440100%95.266.8+28.5
3 Turan10100100%85.761.6+24.1
4 Shymkent108280%97.071.5+25.5
5 Atyrau 2108280%78.267.0+11.2
6 Arlans74357%75.071.6+3.4
7 Tigers-KazATU95456%74.873.2+1.6
8 BC Almaty 2104640%71.373.7-2.4
9 ChelSU Kostanay104640%72.186.9-14.8
10 CHAMP1ON103730%68.175.9-7.8
11 Karaganda41325%69.878.0-8.2
12 AiRom71614%66.483.9-17.4
13 Kaspiy Aktau 2101910%56.084.0-28.0
14 Tobol Kostanay 2100100%68.293.8-25.6
15 Pavlodar4040%46.279.0-32.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar231813660
Karaganda1618212580
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