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Pavlodar vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 55-81
24-28 7-11 15-24 9-18
Position#7
Record10-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#1
Record18-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game70.5
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Pavlodar v Shymkent
13 Mar 2023
PAVL82
SHYM88
15 Feb 2023
PAVL55
SHYM81
25 Dec 2022
PAVL81
SHYM98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
50-81
50
81
-31
A18/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H19/11
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A20/11
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A23/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A24/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H25/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A26/12
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
96-61
96
61
+35
A27/12
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
83-60
83
60
+23
A13/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A14/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-16
17-16
17-26
8-23
23-4
19-11
20-13
8-19
27-16
12-18
13-22
27-15
18-14
14-22
18-18
27-19
22-24
29-20
25-11
6-18
12-29
14-26
23-27
32-16
14-29
15-20
23-15
22-17
26-12
25-16
23-23
22-10
16-19
21-12
22-11
24-18
23-15
14-13
16-23
14-25
148.0Avg total
75.9Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.677.2151.8-2.553%
Season at home (7)75.680.1155.7-4.657%
Season away (12)74.175.4149.5-1.350%
Last 10 (10)75.972.1148.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)80.275.2155.4+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.984.6153.5-15.713%
vs Similar (8)75.672.9148.5+2.862%
vs Weaker (7)84.971.9156.7+13.086%
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
93-60
93
60
+33
A18/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H19/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A20/11
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
126-67
126
67
+59
H23/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A24/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#7
W
98-81
98
81
+17
A25/12
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
114-81
114
81
+33
H26/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
105-78
105
78
+27
A27/12
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H13/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
W
93-82
93
82
+11
A14/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
26-13
28-18
17-9
21-7
24-14
19-22
13-20
9-21
30-9
11-28
21-25
36-15
25-19
41-16
24-17
19-12
15-5
27-29
21-27
29-12
26-14
27-23
16-32
34-25
34-7
24-21
22-28
29-24
19-20
41-12
16-22
34-14
13-11
25-22
16-21
24-16
27-17
25-22
17-27
168.3Avg total
94.7Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)92.270.5162.7+21.795%
Season at home (9)94.269.9164.1+24.3100%
Season away (10)90.471.1161.5+19.390%
Last 10 (10)94.773.6168.3+21.190%
Last 5 (5)99.678.0177.6+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.587.5178.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (2)80.574.5155.0+6.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)94.067.7161.7+26.3100%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +9.1+9.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +11.0+11.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -4.5-4.5
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +9.1+9.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +11.0+11.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -4.5-4.5
PavlodarShymkent
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A18/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H19/11
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/11
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A23/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A24/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
26-55
26
55
-29
H25/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A26/12
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A27/12
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A13/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A14/02
Higher League
72.1Avg total
36.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.175.8-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.139.475.5-3.327%-
Last 30 away (19)38.737.376.1+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)36.935.272.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.274.2-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.742.676.3-8.97%-
vs Similar (8)41.434.175.5+7.275%-
vs Weaker (7)42.432.975.3+9.671%-
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A18/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H19/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A20/11
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H23/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
W
34-17
34
17
+17
A24/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#7
W
55-26
55
26
+29
A25/12
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
68-32
68
32
+36
H26/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A27/12
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H13/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A14/02
Higher League
79.1Avg total
49.6Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)49.331.480.7+17.9100%-
Last 30 at home (9)51.031.082.0+20.0100%-
Last 30 away (10)47.831.779.5+16.1100%-
Last 10 (10)49.629.579.1+20.1100%-
Last 5 (5)53.832.085.8+21.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.040.586.5+5.5100%-
vs Similar (2)42.535.077.5+7.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)50.729.780.3+21.0100%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
1
Shymkent wins
DateGameScore
25/12/22Pavlodar v Shymkent81-98
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23ATigers-KazATU67-76
13/02/23AAktobe 283-60
27/12/22AAltay96-61
26/12/22AKaraganda74-81
25/12/22HShymkent81-98
24/12/22ATigers-KazATU82-73
23/12/22AAktobe 277-73
20/11/22AGOTOBELES Astana79-71
19/11/22HKaspiy Aktau70-47
18/11/22ABars Petropavlovsk50-81
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23AKaraganda93-82
13/02/23HAltay88-68
27/12/22ATigers-KazATU105-78
26/12/22HAktobe 2114-81
25/12/22APavlodar98-81
24/12/22AKaraganda82-73
23/12/22HAltay126-67
20/11/22ABars Petropavlovsk71-83
19/11/22HAtyrau 277-63
18/11/22AChelSU Kostanay93-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL53%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game74.675.674.1
Allowed / game77.280.175.4
Point differential-2.5-4.6-1.3
Avg total151.8155.7149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%14%0%
Shymkent
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %95%100%90%
Points / game92.294.290.4
Allowed / game70.569.971.1
Point differential+21.7+24.3+19.3
Avg total162.7164.1161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%78%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shymkent1918195%92.270.5+21.7
2 Bars Petropavlovsk1716194%87.156.9+30.2
3 BC Almaty 21713476%94.269.4+24.8
4 Karaganda2013765%73.166.6+6.5
5 Pavlodar1910953%74.677.2-2.5
6 Tigers-KazATU20101050%74.878.4-3.6
7 Atyrau 21771041%78.371.8+6.5
8 GOTOBELES Astana1771041%75.776.6-0.9
9 Kaspiy Aktau1761135%63.972.2-8.3
10 ChelSU Kostanay1751229%68.578.8-10.4
11 Aktobe 22041620%64.178.6-14.5
12 Altay201195%53.595.8-42.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar24715955
Shymkent2811241881
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