Pavlodar vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Oct 2024

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 74-107

24-33 20-24 22-21 8-29

Position#8

Record0-2

FormLLLLL

Points / game68.5

Allowed / game85.5

Pavlodar

Tobol Kostanay 🏆

Position#2

Record0-2

FormWLLLL

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game83.5

National League· Scysor No

Other2024-25

Meetings · Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tobol Kostanay winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pavlodar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPavlodar

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

88-94 OT

-6

no box

A08/02

National League

Aktobe

67-81

-14

63avg 60

A12/02

National League

Aktobe

77-96

-19

74avg 60

A13/02

National League

Irbis Almaty

74-108

108

-34

60avg 60

H10/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

74-106

106

-32

61avg 60

H11/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

65-94

-29

60avg 60

A25/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

59-88

-29

52avg 60

A26/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

54-93

-39

40avg 60

H27/03

National League

Almaty

68-89

-21

54avg 60

H08/10

National League

Almaty

69-82

-13

57avg 60

H09/10

National League

31-25

19-13

9-25

26-22

15-21

18-18

16-19

18-23

17-23

21-28

10-30

29-15

20-33

19-27

12-28

23-20

16-34

18-25

23-32

17-15

15-27

14-20

15-31

21-16

19-32

6-21

12-19

22-16

15-26

18-27

14-25

7-15

12-19

17-17

19-32

20-21

15-19

17-17

16-28

21-18

162.6Avg total

69.5Scored

93.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	68.5	85.5	154.0	-17.0	0%
Season at home (2)	68.5	85.5	154.0	-17.0	0%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	69.5	93.1	162.6	-23.6	0%
Last 5 (5)	63.0	89.2	152.2	-26.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	73.1	92.9	166.0	-19.8	4%
vs Similar (4)	77.0	88.2	165.2	-11.2	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Atyrau

86-81

93avg 90

A21/04

National League

Atyrau

87-91

-4

92avg 90

H30/04

National League

Atyrau

67-78

-11

63avg 90

H01/05

National League

Atyrau

71-75

-4

66avg 90

A06/05

National League

Aktobe

89-105

105

-16

90avg 90

H14/05

National League

Aktobe

109-97

109

+12

111avg 90

H15/05

National League

Aktobe

86-90

-4

86avg 90

A21/05

National League

Aktobe

73-74

-1

74avg 90

A22/05

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

74-83

-9

70avg 90

H08/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

81-84

-3

70avg 90

H09/10

National League

30-19

24-15

19-24

13-23

22-19

24-27

22-17

19-28

16-25

12-14

22-14

17-25

25-21

12-22

21-20

13-12

24-16

23-31

23-27

19-31

26-19

27-24

21-24

35-30

25-18

18-29

23-25

20-18

22-21

12-21

22-12

17-20

20-23

26-19

11-23

17-18

23-22

18-14

18-18

22-30

168.1Avg total

82.3Scored

85.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	77.5	83.5	161.0	-6.0	0%
Season at home (2)	77.5	83.5	161.0	-6.0	0%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	82.3	85.8	168.1	-3.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	85.6	170.2	-1.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	76.0	88.0	164.0	-12.0	0%
vs Similar (15)	84.5	85.7	170.2	-1.3	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	100.7	81.8	182.5	+18.8	85%

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PavlodarTobol Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	24.6	42.3	-6.8	3%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.5	24.4	41.9	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.0	24.8	42.8	-6.8	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	25.9	43.4	-8.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	24.6	39.8	-9.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.2	24.8	42.0	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	23.2	44.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	20.9	44.9	+3.1	80%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	24.4	20.8	45.1	+3.6	85%	-
Last 30 away (10)	23.1	21.2	44.3	+1.9	70%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.3	43.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.6	43.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	23.2	20.3	43.5	+2.9	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	25.6	21.6	47.2	+4.0	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	22.9	41.5	-4.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	23.7	43.8	-3.6	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.7	21.8	38.5	-5.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	21.3	38.0	-4.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	20.4	34.8	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.4	23.5	41.9	-5.1	15%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.5	44.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	24.6	21.1	45.8	+3.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	22.5	45.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.7	22.8	42.5	-3.1	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	26.1	19.8	45.9	+6.2	77%	-

PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

50-38

+12

A08/02

National League

Aktobe

33-39

-6

A12/02

National League

Aktobe

38-51

-13

A13/02

National League

Irbis Almaty

39-60

-21

H10/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

34-59

-25

H11/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

29-47

-18

A25/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

25-53

-28

A26/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

33-53

-20

H27/03

National League

Almaty

29-36

-7

H08/10

National League

Almaty

32-36

-4

H09/10

National League

81.4Avg total

34.2Scored

47.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	47.5	83.8	-11.1	10%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.6	48.1	85.6	-10.5	12%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.7	46.7	81.4	-12.0	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	47.2	81.4	-13.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	45.0	74.6	-15.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	35.6	48.3	83.9	-12.7	4%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.0	42.2	83.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

54-34

+20

A21/04

National League

Atyrau

46-46

H30/04

National League

Atyrau

28-39

-11

H01/05

National League

Atyrau

37-43

-6

A06/05

National League

Aktobe

47-47

H14/05

National League

Aktobe

53-43

+10

H15/05

National League

Aktobe

43-47

-4

A21/05

National League

Aktobe

34-42

-8

A22/05

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

46-42

H08/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

41-36

H09/10

National League

84.8Avg total

42.9Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.6	42.4	89.0	+4.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	49.0	41.9	90.9	+7.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (10)	41.9	43.4	85.3	-1.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	41.9	84.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	42.0	85.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	43.5	85.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	42.9	43.1	85.9	-0.2	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	51.7	41.5	93.2	+10.2	92%	-

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	23.9	41.9	-5.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.5	24.6	43.2	-6.1	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	22.8	40.3	-5.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	26.9	41.5	-12.3	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	27.0	42.2	-11.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.3	24.0	42.3	-5.7	23%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.8	23.0	39.8	-6.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.6	43.5	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	22.9	20.4	43.2	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	21.5	37.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.2	21.1	43.3	+1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	24.7	20.0	44.7	+4.7	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.7	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	46%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	20.8	39.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	22.8	23.1	45.9	-0.2	45%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.7	17.4	36.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	23.5	42.7	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	24.3	20.4	44.7	+3.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	44.5	81.7	-7.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.4	44.2	80.6	-7.8	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.2	44.8	83.0	-6.7	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	45.0	80.0	-10.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	44.2	77.6	-10.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	37.5	44.6	82.1	-7.2	23%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.2	43.8	79.0	-8.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	41.8	86.1	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	45.7	43.4	89.1	+2.3	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	41.5	38.6	80.1	+2.9	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	43.9	83.3	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	43.6	84.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	44.5	78.5	-10.5	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	41.6	42.7	84.3	-1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	49.0	40.4	89.4	+8.6	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pavlodar wins

Tobol Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
10/01/24	Tobol Kostanay v Pavlodar	111-82
09/01/24	Tobol Kostanay v Pavlodar	101-83
23/10/23	Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay	71-98
22/10/23	Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay	68-86
21/11/16	Tobol Kostanay v Pavlodar	95-53
21/03/16	Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay	43-83
17/02/16	Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay	43-102
10/12/15	Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay	57-114

Pavlodarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/10/24	H	Almaty	69-82
08/10/24	H	Almaty	68-89
27/03/24	H	Irbis Almaty	54-93
26/03/24	A	Irbis Almaty	59-88
25/03/24	A	Irbis Almaty	65-94
11/03/24	H	Irbis Almaty	74-106
10/03/24	H	Irbis Almaty	74-108
13/02/24	A	Aktobe	77-96
12/02/24	A	Aktobe	67-81
08/02/24	A	Kaspiy Aktau	88-94 OT

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/10/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	81-84
08/10/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	74-83
22/05/24	A	Aktobe	73-74
21/05/24	A	Aktobe	86-90
15/05/24	H	Aktobe	109-97
14/05/24	H	Aktobe	89-105
06/05/24	A	Atyrau	71-75
01/05/24	H	Atyrau	67-78
30/04/24	H	Atyrau	87-91
21/04/24	A	Atyrau	86-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar

National League 2024-25

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	2	-
Win %	0%	0%	-
Points / game	68.5	68.5	-
Allowed / game	85.5	85.5	-
Point differential	-17.0	-17.0	-
Avg total	154.0	154.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2024-25

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	2	-
Win %	0%	0%	-
Points / game	77.5	77.5	-
Allowed / game	83.5	83.5	-
Point differential	-6.0	-6.0	-
Avg total	161.0	161.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kaspiy Aktau	4	4	0	100%	80.0	73.0	+7.0
2	Almaty	4	3	1	75%	83.8	75.0	+8.8
3	Irbis Almaty	4	2	2	50%	75.2	73.0	+2.2
4	Atyrau	4	2	2	50%	83.0	83.2	-0.2
5	Aktobe	4	2	2	50%	82.0	84.0	-2.0
6	Astana 2	4	1	3	25%	75.0	79.2	-4.2
7	Tobol Kostanay	2	0	2	0%	77.5	83.5	-6.0
8	Pavlodar	2	0	2	0%	68.5	85.5	-17.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pavlodar	24	20	22	8	74
Tobol Kostanay	33	24	21	29	107

← all games of the day

Pavlodar vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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