Penarol vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jun 2015

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 63-74

22-18 9-19 15-18 17-19

Position#7

Record34-26

FormLWWLL

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game77.9

Penarol

Gimnasia 🏆

Position#4

Record37-23

FormWWLWW

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game74.3

Liga ALiga A - Quarter-finals

Other2014-15

Meetings · Penarol v Gimnasia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gimnasia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

84-83

A08/05

Liga A

Quilmes

82-73

A09/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

89-72

+17

H21/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

79-72

H23/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

79-88

-9

A27/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

71-84

-13

A29/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

69-67

H01/06

Liga A

Gimnasia

79-73

A05/06

Liga A

Gimnasia

60-77

-17

A07/06

Liga A

Gimnasia

86-89

-3

H10/06

Liga A

24-17

22-19

20-24

18-23

30-20

14-15

20-17

18-21

13-11

23-14

19-30

34-17

16-17

13-20

26-15

24-20

13-9

26-29

15-21

25-29

27-20

13-21

17-25

14-18

15-27

20-15

12-11

22-14

22-17

24-21

14-14

19-21

10-17

15-24

17-17

18-19

29-23

12-13

21-25

24-28

155.6Avg total

77.8Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (60)	80.4	77.9	158.3	+2.5	57%
Season at home (30)	82.1	74.3	156.4	+7.8	70%
Season away (30)	78.7	81.4	160.1	-2.8	43%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	77.8	155.6	+0.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	78.0	151.0	-5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.0	91.3	163.3	-19.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	77.2	78.6	155.8	-1.4	44%
vs Weaker (9)	83.8	81.8	165.6	+2.0	56%

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gimnasia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

91-93 OT

-2

A02/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

79-63

+16

H10/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

70-62

H22/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

62-64

-2

H24/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

68-77

-9

A26/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

92-73

+19

A28/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

98-82

+16

H01/06

Liga A

Penarol

73-79

-6

H05/06

Liga A

Penarol

77-60

+17

H07/06

Liga A

Penarol

89-86

A10/06

Liga A

22-12

22-25

13-32

28-16

13-6

24-25

21-10

21-22

18-10

18-14

16-20

18-18

18-26

14-16

10-7

20-15

22-13

13-22

17-17

16-25

17-13

20-18

18-23

37-19

24-25

27-13

23-22

24-22

17-22

21-24

14-14

21-19

17-10

24-15

17-17

19-18

23-29

13-12

25-21

28-24

153.8Avg total

79.9Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (60)	79.3	74.3	153.6	+5.0	62%
Season at home (31)	83.4	72.8	156.2	+10.6	84%
Season away (29)	74.9	75.9	150.7	-1.0	38%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	73.9	153.8	+6.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	76.0	161.8	+9.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	76.6	80.6	157.2	-4.0	38%
vs Weaker (22)	81.2	71.9	153.1	+9.4	77%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolGimnasia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	19.5	40.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	23.7	39.0	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.1	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.5	37.8	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	17.4	38.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.6	35.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.2	17.5	38.6	+3.7	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.7	37.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.6	18.0	35.6	-0.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.1	37.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.8	35.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	19.3	36.0	-2.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.3	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	17.4	39.4	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	17.7	33.4	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.4	37.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (22)	18.9	16.8	35.7	+2.0	64%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

46-36

+10

A08/05

Liga A

Quilmes

44-35

A09/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

36-25

+11

H21/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

29-37

-8

H23/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

39-38

A27/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

40-41

-1

A29/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

35-42

-7

H01/06

Liga A

Gimnasia

46-38

A05/06

Liga A

Gimnasia

25-41

-16

A07/06

Liga A

Gimnasia

41-36

H10/06

Liga A

75.0Avg total

38.1Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	38.7	77.1	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.7	36.2	73.9	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.1	40.5	79.6	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	36.9	75.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	39.6	77.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.0	43.0	75.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	37.7	37.9	75.7	-0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.1	38.7	80.8	+3.4	67%	-

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

44-37

A02/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

37-31

H10/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

36-24

+12

H22/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

32-42

-10

H24/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

35-35

A26/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

37-31

A28/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

51-38

+13

H01/06

Liga A

Penarol

38-46

-8

H05/06

Liga A

Penarol

41-25

+16

H07/06

Liga A

Penarol

36-41

-5

A10/06

Liga A

73.7Avg total

38.7Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	35.1	74.2	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	35.0	76.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	35.1	71.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	35.0	73.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	36.2	76.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	36.8	37.2	74.0	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (22)	40.0	34.3	74.3	+5.8	77%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.1	40.4	-1.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.8	21.9	41.7	-2.2	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.9	38.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.4	34.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	25.0	41.7	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	28%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.2	21.3	42.6	-0.1	44%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	16.9	35.7	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	18.3	35.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	12%	-
vs Weaker (22)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.0	19.9	42.9	+3.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.3	23.3	46.7	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.4	21.2	40.7	-1.8	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.0	41.6	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	18.9	41.5	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	19.8	43.0	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	20.4	46.2	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.1	19.6	40.8	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	42.0	81.9	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.5	40.0	81.5	+1.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.6	43.5	82.1	-4.9	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	40.9	80.6	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	38.4	74.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.0	48.3	88.3	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.4	40.7	80.1	-1.2	28%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.7	42.6	83.2	-1.9	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	38.9	79.5	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.6	37.9	77.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	39.9	81.5	+1.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	38.1	78.7	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	39.8	85.0	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	39.1	42.4	81.5	-3.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (22)	41.2	37.6	78.8	+3.6	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Gimnasia wins

Date	Game	Score
10/06/15	Penarol v Gimnasia	86-89
07/06/15	Gimnasia v Penarol	77-60
05/06/15	Gimnasia v Penarol	73-79
28/03/15	Penarol v Gimnasia	81-61
09/01/15	Gimnasia v Penarol	80-73
01/11/14	Penarol v Gimnasia	68-74
16/10/14	Gimnasia v Penarol	77-86
15/02/14	Penarol v Gimnasia	107-95
30/11/13	Gimnasia v Penarol	73-77
04/11/13	Penarol v Gimnasia	62-63

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/06/15	H	Gimnasia	86-89
07/06/15	A	Gimnasia	60-77
05/06/15	A	Gimnasia	79-73
01/06/15	H	Weber Bahia	69-67
29/05/15	A	Weber Bahia	71-84
27/05/15	A	Weber Bahia	79-88
23/05/15	H	Weber Bahia	79-72
21/05/15	H	Weber Bahia	89-72
09/05/15	A	Quilmes	82-73
08/05/15	A	Argentino	84-83

Gimnasialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/06/15	A	Penarol	89-86
07/06/15	H	Penarol	77-60
05/06/15	H	Penarol	73-79
01/06/15	H	Boca Juniors	98-82
28/05/15	A	Boca Juniors	92-73
26/05/15	A	Boca Juniors	68-77
24/05/15	H	Boca Juniors	62-64
22/05/15	H	Boca Juniors	70-62
10/05/15	H	Weber Bahia	79-63
02/05/15	A	Obras Sanitarias	91-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	57%
Home	WWWWL	70%
Away	WLLWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	60	30	30
Win %	57%	70%	43%
Points / game	80.4	82.1	78.7
Allowed / game	77.9	74.3	81.4
Point differential	+2.5	+7.8	-2.8
Avg total	158.3	156.4	160.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	47%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (15)	33% (6)	78% (9)
Overtime %	7%	3%	10%

Gimnasia

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	62%
Home	WLWLW	84%
Away	WLLWW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	60	31	29
Win %	62%	84%	38%
Points / game	79.3	83.4	74.9
Allowed / game	74.3	72.8	75.9
Point differential	+5.0	+10.6	-1.0
Avg total	153.6	156.2	150.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	55%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (14)	80% (5)	22% (9)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	59	49	10	83%	83.8	72.4	+11.4
2	Regatas	56	38	18	68%	79.9	74.3	+5.7
3	Obras Sanitarias	58	39	19	67%	81.0	75.7	+5.3
4	Gimnasia	60	37	23	62%	79.3	74.3	+5.0
5	San Martin	60	36	24	60%	80.4	80.3	+0.2
6	Atenas	60	35	25	58%	79.5	77.5	+2.0
7	Penarol	60	34	26	57%	80.4	77.9	+2.5
8	Quilmes	60	29	31	48%	79.5	80.1	-0.6
9	Argentino	57	27	30	47%	80.2	81.6	-1.4
10	Weber Bahia	57	26	31	46%	77.2	78.4	-1.2
11	La Union	60	27	33	45%	82.2	84.6	-2.4
12	Estudiantes	56	24	32	43%	75.2	76.2	-1.0
13	Olimpico	56	24	32	43%	80.4	82.3	-1.9
14	Boca Juniors	57	23	34	40%	76.8	79.1	-2.4
15	Libertad	55	20	35	36%	80.9	83.7	-2.9
16	Sionista	58	21	37	36%	74.1	78.3	-4.2
17	Lanus	55	18	37	33%	80.5	86.2	-5.7
18	Ciclista	58	14	44	24%	74.2	83.3	-9.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	22	9	15	17	63
Gimnasia	18	19	18	19	74

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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