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Penarol vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 62-57
17-14 13-15 14-6 18-22
Position#2
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Gimnasia
Argentina
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game74.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Penarol v Gimnasia
30 Sep 2026
PENA62
GIMN57
21 Jan 2026
PENA77
GIMN73
12 Jan 2025
PENA100
GIMN86
16 Dec 2023
PENA87
GIMN85
04 Apr 2023
PENA76
GIMN91
22 Mar 2022
PENA72
GIMN65
24 Jan 2021
PENA59
GIMN64
17 Jan 2020
PENA109
GIMN83
10 Oct 2019
PENA76
GIMN69
21 Jan 2019
PENA75
GIMN68
04 Oct 2018
PENA73
GIMN70
17 Mar 2018
PENA69
GIMN80
07 Oct 2017
PENA88
GIMN99
20 Jan 2017
PENA73
GIMN69
23 Nov 2016
PENA75
GIMN70
28 Apr 2016
PENA100
GIMN89
04 Oct 2015
PENA66
GIMN80
11 Jun 2015
PENA63
GIMN74
09 Jun 2015
PENA86
GIMN89
27 Mar 2015
PENA81
GIMN61
31 Oct 2014
PENA68
GIMN74
14 Feb 2014
PENA107
GIMN95
03 Nov 2013
PENA62
GIMN63
10 Feb 2013
PENA72
GIMN58
09 Oct 2012
PENA76
GIMN65
18 Jan 2012
PENA89
GIMN80
11 Oct 2011
PENA103
GIMN74
21 Jan 2011
PENA94
GIMN82
24 Oct 2010
PENA78
GIMN62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gimnasia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A29/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A01/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H05/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A15/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A17/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A24/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A26/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H03/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
31-14
18-14
21-21
22-31
14-23
27-17
22-24
15-6
14-26
29-17
27-34
22-22
20-22
29-27
14-20
18-26
17-21
21-15
25-22
25-25
22-22
23-18
17-15
30-29
13-24
21-17
27-27
25-21
18-29
20-12
15-18
22-20
18-23
25-21
22-11
19-22
23-26
10-22
16-14
166.7Avg total
83.0Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.083.7166.7-0.740%
Last 5 (5)82.283.2165.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.085.0155.0-15.033%
vs Similar (23)82.682.0164.6+0.748%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.080.0161.0+1.025%
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GimnasiaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A28/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A30/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H03/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A06/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A09/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H12/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
H14/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
60-88
60
88
-28
A18/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H21/06
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A29/09
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
14-23
25-11
10-18
19-10
17-26
20-26
17-19
21-19
30-14
20-13
17-8
26-14
20-16
19-21
17-22
15-22
19-22
28-17
18-18
14-18
25-14
16-12
21-15
19-16
22-17
14-18
11-15
9-20
21-22
21-21
9-25
18-10
20-21
13-12
17-13
26-12
26-15
21-18
19-29
147.8Avg total
76.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.074.0166.0+18.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)92.074.0166.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.371.5147.8+4.860%
Last 5 (5)74.070.8144.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (21)77.374.1151.4+3.267%
vs Weaker (9)88.477.8166.2+10.789%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.6-2.6
PenarolGimnasia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A29/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A01/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H05/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A15/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A17/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/05
Liga A
85.2Avg total
40.1Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.383.5-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.641.378.9-3.621%-
Last 30 away (16)42.545.187.6-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.145.185.2-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)43.048.291.2-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.045.789.7-1.733%-
vs Similar (23)40.643.383.9-2.735%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)35.541.577.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A28/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A30/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H03/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A06/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A09/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H12/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A18/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H21/06
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A29/09
Liga A
75.5Avg total
40.2Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.436.477.8+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.836.878.6+4.981%-
Last 30 away (14)41.035.976.9+5.157%-
Last 10 (10)40.235.375.5+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.073.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (21)38.736.675.3+2.162%-
vs Weaker (9)47.736.083.7+11.789%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.9
56.7%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.2
32.7%
32.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws27.518.6
67.6%
72.7%18.6
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gimnasiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gimnasia: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.4
51.8%
54.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.4
32.1%
32.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
72.7%13.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
LWLLWLLWLW
Gimnasia
WWLLWWWWLL
#2
League position
#5
-1.0
Net rating
+6.9
113.2
Offensive rating
109.6
114.1
Defensive rating
102.7
53.5%
Effective FG%
50.1%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.7%
3-point %
32.1%
50.2%
Assist %
57.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 109.6Defence114.1 · 102.7Shooting53.5% · 50.1%3-point %32.7% · 32.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.46 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Penarol   ■ Gimnasia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Penarol wins
4
Gimnasia wins
DateGameScore
22/01/26Penarol v Gimnasia77-73
06/12/25Gimnasia v Penarol93-67
02/04/25Gimnasia v Penarol88-86
12/01/25Penarol v Gimnasia100-86
27/04/24Gimnasia v Penarol79-86
17/12/23Penarol v Gimnasia87-85
15/04/23Gimnasia v Penarol96-90
05/04/23Penarol v Gimnasia76-91
23/03/22Penarol v Gimnasia72-65
16/01/22Gimnasia v Penarol87-100
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/26HFerro68-84
01/05/26HFerro87-75
26/04/26AFerro78-80
24/04/26AFerro91-97
20/04/26HFerro87-80
17/04/26AObera TC81-84
15/04/26ALa Union85-91
05/04/26HUnion De Santa Fe85-83
01/04/26AAtenas85-95
29/03/26AInstituto de Cordoba83-68
Gimnasialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26ALanus92-74
21/06/26HQuimsa68-56
18/06/26AQuimsa60-88
14/06/26HQuimsa74-77 OT
12/06/26HQuimsa76-59
09/06/26AQuimsa80-79
06/06/26AQuimsa82-73
03/06/26HFerro88-54
30/05/26AFerro73-81
28/05/26AFerro70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Gimnasia
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game92.0-92.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+18.0-+18.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gimnasia110100%92.074.0+18.0
2 Lanus1010%74.092.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol1713141862
Gimnasia141562257
← all games of the day
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