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Penarol vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 100-86
24-24 24-23 27-16 25-23
Position#12
Record7-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game80.1
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#9
Record7-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game76.9
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penarol v Gimnasia
30 Sep 2026
PENA62
GIMN57
21 Jan 2026
PENA77
GIMN73
12 Jan 2025
PENA100
GIMN86
16 Dec 2023
PENA87
GIMN85
04 Apr 2023
PENA76
GIMN91
22 Mar 2022
PENA72
GIMN65
24 Jan 2021
PENA59
GIMN64
17 Jan 2020
PENA109
GIMN83
10 Oct 2019
PENA76
GIMN69
21 Jan 2019
PENA75
GIMN68
04 Oct 2018
PENA73
GIMN70
17 Mar 2018
PENA69
GIMN80
07 Oct 2017
PENA88
GIMN99
20 Jan 2017
PENA73
GIMN69
23 Nov 2016
PENA75
GIMN70
28 Apr 2016
PENA100
GIMN89
04 Oct 2015
PENA66
GIMN80
11 Jun 2015
PENA63
GIMN74
09 Jun 2015
PENA86
GIMN89
27 Mar 2015
PENA81
GIMN61
31 Oct 2014
PENA68
GIMN74
14 Feb 2014
PENA107
GIMN95
03 Nov 2013
PENA62
GIMN63
10 Feb 2013
PENA72
GIMN58
09 Oct 2012
PENA76
GIMN65
18 Jan 2012
PENA89
GIMN80
11 Oct 2011
PENA103
GIMN74
21 Jan 2011
PENA94
GIMN82
24 Oct 2010
PENA78
GIMN62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gimnasia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Argentino
#20
W
85-83
85
83
+2
75avg 68
A22/10
Liga A
Zarate
#19
L
82-87
82
87
-5
73avg 68
A24/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
66avg 68
A26/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
82-71
82
71
+11
-38avg 68
H12/11
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
87-61
87
61
+26
82avg 68
H27/11
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
84-65
84
65
+19
81avg 68
H14/12
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
107-93
107
93
+14
103avg 68
A19/12
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
71-82
71
82
-11
61avg 68
A21/12
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
64-86
64
86
-22
55avg 68
A23/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 68
H10/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
14-23
22-18
29-20
23-21
20-25
17-17
22-24
15-24
26-20
20-20
20-19
22-19
16-16
19-26
25-10
21-9
21-17
17-15
28-20
32-18
19-19
12-11
21-17
27-21
20-24
29-21
31-27
27-19
15-31
14-16
15-16
26-22
11-23
9-17
18-24
21-18
22-23
21-16
16-20
161.1Avg total
82.3Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.480.1161.5+1.354%
Season at home (5)82.274.2156.4+8.080%
Season away (8)80.983.8164.6-2.938%
Last 10 (10)82.378.8161.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)81.280.6161.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.874.5145.4-3.755%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.777.5160.2+5.262%
vs Weaker (6)83.382.3165.7+1.067%
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GimnasiaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGimnasia
Date
Competition
Riachuelo
#6
W
76-65
76
65
+11
62avg 70
H03/11
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
67-83
67
83
-16
52avg 70
H14/11
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
81-76
81
76
+5
73avg 70
A01/12
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
80-83
80
83
-3
75avg 70
A03/12
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
62-66
62
66
-4
53avg 70
A05/12
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
W
91-79
91
79
+12
85avg 70
H08/12
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
66-70
66
70
-4
-59avg 70
H13/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
105-71
105
71
+34
105avg 70
H20/12
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
80-61
80
61
+19
72avg 70
A09/01
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
84-88
84
88
-4
76avg 70
A11/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
16-20
16-8
21-14
22-24
14-21
10-19
21-19
17-27
23-20
25-21
16-8
16-32
21-20
19-14
24-17
18-15
22-13
11-16
11-22
21-23
25-14
22-14
23-28
10-16
24-17
15-19
17-18
26-22
33-16
22-21
24-12
22-21
18-17
24-14
16-9
21-23
20-27
21-19
22-19
153.4Avg total
79.2Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.876.9157.7+3.947%
Season at home (8)84.978.2163.1+6.662%
Season away (7)76.175.4151.6+0.729%
Last 10 (10)79.274.2153.4+5.050%
Last 5 (5)85.273.8159.0+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.091.0179.0-3.033%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.076.3156.3+3.747%
vs Weaker (12)83.577.7161.2+5.858%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.9+2.9
PenarolGimnasia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#20
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A22/10
Liga A
Zarate
#19
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A24/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A26/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H12/11
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H27/11
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H14/12
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A19/12
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A21/12
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A23/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H10/01
Liga A
83.2Avg total
41.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.779.9+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.637.177.7+3.471%-
Last 30 away (16)39.941.981.8-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)41.841.483.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.687.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.138.274.3-2.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.739.583.2+4.269%-
vs Weaker (6)40.242.883.0-2.750%-
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Riachuelo
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H03/11
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/11
Liga A
La Union
#18
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A01/12
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A03/12
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A05/12
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H08/12
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H13/12
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H20/12
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A09/01
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A11/01
Liga A
82.3Avg total
41.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.978.6+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.637.978.5+2.659%-
Last 30 away (13)38.540.278.7-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.182.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.283.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.040.383.3+2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.138.276.3-0.147%-
vs Weaker (12)40.839.580.3+1.358%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Penarol wins
4
Gimnasia wins
DateGameScore
27/04/24Gimnasia v Penarol79-86
17/12/23Penarol v Gimnasia87-85
15/04/23Gimnasia v Penarol96-90
05/04/23Penarol v Gimnasia76-91
23/03/22Penarol v Gimnasia72-65
16/01/22Gimnasia v Penarol87-100
12/10/21Gimnasia v Penarol83-89
25/01/21Penarol v Gimnasia59-64
11/01/21Gimnasia v Penarol79-61
18/01/20Penarol v Gimnasia109-83
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25HSan Lorenzo80-77
23/12/24AInstituto de Cordoba64-86
21/12/24AAtenas71-82
19/12/24AIndependiente de Oliva107-93
14/12/24HRegatas84-65
27/11/24HSan Martin87-61
12/11/24HObras Sanitarias82-71
26/10/24ABoca Juniors81-83
24/10/24AZarate82-87
22/10/24AArgentino85-83
Gimnasialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AFerro84-88
09/01/25AArgentino80-61
20/12/24HPlatense105-71
13/12/24HAtenas66-70
08/12/24HUnion De Santa Fe91-79
05/12/24ASan Martin62-66
03/12/24ARegatas80-83
01/12/24ALa Union81-76
14/11/24HBoca Juniors67-83
03/11/24HRiachuelo76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW54%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %54%80%38%
Points / game81.482.280.9
Allowed / game80.174.283.8
Point differential+1.3+8.0-2.9
Avg total161.5156.4164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%60%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %8%0%12%
Gimnasia
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL47%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%62%29%
Points / game80.884.976.1
Allowed / game76.978.275.4
Point differential+3.9+6.6+0.7
Avg total157.7163.1151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Instituto de Cordoba1411379%84.972.6+12.4
2 Riachuelo1511473%83.374.5+8.8
3 Boca Juniors1511473%80.174.5+5.6
4 Obera TC1410471%84.479.8+4.6
5 Quimsa1510567%85.175.7+9.4
6 Obras Sanitarias149564%84.579.6+4.9
7 Olimpico138562%81.281.3-0.1
8 Atenas1710759%79.078.6+0.4
9 Penarol137654%81.480.1+1.3
10 Regatas137654%79.982.2-2.2
11 Gimnasia157847%80.876.9+3.9
12 Union De Santa Fe157847%76.282.1-5.9
13 Ferro167944%80.684.9-4.3
14 San Martin145936%72.175.8-3.6
15 La Union145936%83.087.1-4.1
16 Zarate145936%74.684.6-9.9
17 San Lorenzo1551033%74.378.9-4.6
18 Platense1441029%80.482.1-1.6
19 Independiente de Oliva1441029%86.088.8-2.8
20 Argentino141137%71.484.3-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol24242725100
Gimnasia2423162386
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