Penarol vs Lanus Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	83.2	73.8	157.0	+9.5	100%
Season at home (2)	78.5	66.5	145.0	+12.0	100%
Season away (2)	88.0	81.0	169.0	+7.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	79.5	162.0	+3.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	75.8	156.0	+4.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	71.5	81.0	152.5	-9.5	50%
vs Similar (20)	83.0	81.3	164.4	+1.7	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	82.1	76.9	159.0	+5.2	62%

This opponent (Lanus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lanus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#20

83-79

A17/05

Liga A

Sionista

#20

73-67

A19/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

74-92

-18

H29/09

Liga A

Obera TC

#17

67-58

H09/10

Liga A

Penarol

77-84

-7

H14/10

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

93-108

108

-15

A20/10

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

73-75

-2

A22/10

Liga A

Atenas

69-80

-11

A24/10

Liga A

Regatas

#15

72-63

H26/10

Liga A

San Martin

#18

81-72

H30/10

Liga A

9-14

21-19

28-14

25-32

16-12

16-22

16-17

25-16

12-26

15-26

18-21

29-19

12-14

25-15

12-14

18-15

26-18

17-27

23-26

11-13

18-26

22-34

25-25

28-23

22-18

18-20

13-21

20-16

20-25

19-8

16-27

14-20

18-22

19-21

12-8

23-12

20-23

19-13

21-10

21-26

154.0Avg total

76.2Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	75.8	79.0	154.8	-3.2	38%
Season at home (5)	74.2	73.8	148.0	+0.4	60%
Season away (3)	78.3	87.7	166.0	-9.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	77.8	154.0	-1.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	79.6	157.2	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	81.4	87.8	169.1	-6.4	25%
vs Similar (15)	80.3	77.7	158.0	+2.5	53%
vs Weaker (7)	81.0	73.6	154.6	+7.4	86%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolLanus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.1	40.1	+0.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.6	44.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.9	20.9	41.8	-0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	38%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	18.2	39.1	+2.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	19.8	37.1	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.8	42.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-2.0	38%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.1	17.0	35.1	+1.1	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	22.3	43.0	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.4	17.2	35.6	+1.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.0	23.2	43.2	-3.2	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.7	57%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obera TC

35-47

-12

A17/04

Liga A

Ferro

47-47

H20/04

Liga A

Ferro

43-53

-10

A24/04

Liga A

Ferro

43-50

-7

A26/04

Liga A

Ferro

40-43

-3

H01/05

Liga A

Ferro

42-48

-6

H03/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

30-29

H30/09

Liga A

Lanus

#12

45-43

A14/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#16

45-44

A17/10

Liga A

San Martin

#18

48-32

+16

H28/10

Liga A

85.4Avg total

41.8Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	42.1	82.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.8	39.5	77.3	-1.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.1	44.4	86.5	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	43.6	85.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	39.2	81.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	40.4	43.1	83.5	-2.8	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	38.8	39.2	78.0	-0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Lanus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sionista

#20

30-33

-3

A17/05

Liga A

Sionista

#20

32-34

-2

A19/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

27-52

-25

H29/09

Liga A

Obera TC

#17

37-29

H09/10

Liga A

Penarol

43-45

-2

H14/10

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

40-60

-20

A20/10

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

40-38

A22/10

Liga A

Atenas

39-33

A24/10

Liga A

Regatas

#15

37-43

-6

H26/10

Liga A

San Martin

#18

39-36

H30/10

Liga A

76.7Avg total

36.4Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	39.4	78.6	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.5	38.0	78.5	+2.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.6	41.2	78.8	-3.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	40.3	76.7	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	42.0	81.0	-3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	39.9	45.1	85.0	-5.2	38%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.6	38.8	78.4	+0.8	53%	-
vs Weaker (7)	37.9	34.0	71.9	+3.9	57%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	17.5	38.3	+3.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.5	19.9	42.4	+2.6	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.7	38.7	+3.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	17.5	33.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	24.9	19.0	43.9	+5.9	88%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	19.5	40.4	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	21.5	42.2	-0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.3	36.7	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.2	35.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.4	23.8	44.1	-3.4	25%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.6	17.3	38.9	+4.3	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.9	38.7	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.5	20.5	33.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.6	22.3	43.9	-0.7	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	37.7	79.2	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	35.6	77.0	+5.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.5	39.6	81.1	+1.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	35.9	76.6	+4.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	36.6	74.8	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	28.5	38.0	66.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	42.0	37.8	79.7	+4.2	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	43.4	37.6	81.0	+5.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	39.8	80.9	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.2	37.5	78.8	+3.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.8	42.8	83.6	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	37.5	77.3	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	37.6	76.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	41.5	42.6	84.1	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.8	38.5	78.3	+1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.1	39.6	82.7	+3.6	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.9	56.2%	54.4%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.4	32.3%	32.6%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	25.6	17.5	68.4%	72.7%	17.5

They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Lanustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lanus: 75.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	16.9	49.5%	54.4%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.1	8.4	27.8%	32.6%	25.1
🏀 Free throws	24.4	16.9	69.2%	72.7%	16.9

They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	18.9	54.5%	54.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	9.4	31.6%	32.6%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.5	70.3%	72.7%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	21.8	60.6%	54.4%	43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	8.4	30.6%	32.6%	25.1
🏀 Free throws	14.5	10.4	71.6%	72.7%	10.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	18.9	55.2%	54.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.1	34.1%	32.6%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	23.8	17.1	71.6%	72.7%	17.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.2	54.1%	54.4%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	9.3	31.2%	32.6%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.9	13.8	69.4%	72.7%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	21.8	60.6%	54.4%	43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	8.4	30.6%	32.6%	25.1
🏀 Free throws	14.5	10.4	71.6%	72.7%	10.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Penarol

WWWWLWLLWL

Lanus

WWLLLLWLWW

League position

#12

+4.1

Net rating

-4.5

113.4

Offensive rating

104.8

109.3

Defensive rating

109.3

52.9%

Effective FG%

45.8%

51.2%

Opp. effective FG%

54.2%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.42

Free-throw rate

0.38

32.3%

3-point %

27.8%

48.4%

Assist %

48.0%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Penarol ■ Lanus

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Lanus wins

Date	Game	Score
14/10/26	Lanus v Penarol	77-84
25/02/16	Penarol v Lanus	100-87
13/12/15	Lanus v Penarol	89-81
05/11/15	Penarol v Lanus	80-72
31/10/15	Lanus v Penarol	81-67
09/03/15	Penarol v Lanus	85-78
11/01/15	Lanus v Penarol	77-78
18/10/14	Lanus v Penarol	82-69
10/10/14	Penarol v Lanus	96-63
17/02/14	Penarol v Lanus	93-88

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/26	H	San Martin	95-76
17/10/26	A	San Lorenzo	92-85
14/10/26	A	Lanus	84-77
30/09/26	H	Gimnasia	62-57
03/05/26	H	Ferro	68-84
01/05/26	H	Ferro	87-75
26/04/26	A	Ferro	78-80
24/04/26	A	Ferro	91-97
20/04/26	H	Ferro	87-80
17/04/26	A	Obera TC	81-84

Lanuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/26	H	San Martin	81-72
26/10/26	H	Regatas	72-63
24/10/26	A	Atenas	69-80
22/10/26	A	Instituto de Cordoba	73-75
20/10/26	A	Independiente de Oliva	93-108
14/10/26	H	Penarol	77-84
09/10/26	H	Obera TC	67-58
29/09/26	H	Gimnasia	74-92
19/05/16	A	Sionista	73-67
17/05/16	A	Sionista	83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	83.2	78.5	88.0
Allowed / game	73.8	66.5	81.0
Point differential	+9.5	+12.0	+7.0
Avg total	157.0	145.0	169.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lanus

Liga A 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	38%
Home	LWLWW	60%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	38%	60%	0%
Points / game	75.8	74.2	78.3
Allowed / game	79.0	73.8	87.7
Point differential	-3.2	+0.4	-9.3
Avg total	154.8	148.0	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	5	5	0	100%	85.6	74.0	+11.6
2	Penarol	4	4	0	100%	83.2	73.8	+9.5
3	Atenas	4	3	1	75%	84.8	81.2	+3.5
4	Instituto de Cordoba	4	3	1	75%	79.0	78.2	+0.8
5	Gimnasia	7	5	2	71%	78.9	75.1	+3.7
6	Olimpico	5	3	2	60%	88.6	83.8	+4.8
7	Argentino	5	3	2	60%	80.6	78.8	+1.8
8	Independiente de Oliva	2	1	1	50%	100.0	95.0	+5.0
9	Boca Juniors	6	3	3	50%	88.2	85.0	+3.2
10	Platense	6	3	3	50%	80.3	80.3	+0.0
11	Racing de Chivilcoy	6	3	3	50%	80.3	82.5	-2.2
12	Lanus	8	3	5	38%	75.8	79.0	-3.2
13	La Union	3	1	2	33%	81.3	84.0	-2.7
14	Ferro	6	2	4	33%	82.0	85.5	-3.5
15	Regatas	4	1	3	25%	74.8	78.2	-3.5
16	San Lorenzo	4	1	3	25%	76.2	80.8	-4.5
17	Obera TC	5	1	4	20%	73.4	81.2	-7.8
18	San Martin	6	0	6	0%	84.8	95.2	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Lanus Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature