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Penarol vs Lanus Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record4-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game79.3
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Penarol v Lanus
05 Mar 2027
PENA v LANU
upcoming
24 Feb 2016
PENA100
LANU87
04 Nov 2015
PENA80
LANU72
08 Mar 2015
PENA85
LANU78
09 Oct 2014
PENA96
LANU63
16 Feb 2014
PENA93
LANU88
01 Nov 2013
PENA76
LANU69
26 Apr 2013
PENA76
LANU68
24 Apr 2013
PENA73
LANU79
08 Feb 2013
PENA78
LANU62
28 Oct 2012
PENA84
LANU65
11 Mar 2012
PENA98
LANU79
23 Sep 2011
PENA76
LANU73
09 Jan 2011
PENA85
LANU68
31 Oct 2010
PENA64
LANU73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lanus win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 77
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 77
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
62-57
62
57
+5
54avg 77
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 77
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 77
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
95-76
95
76
+19
86avg 77
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A13/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
18-23
25-21
22-11
19-22
23-26
10-22
16-14
17-14
13-15
14-6
18-22
18-26
27-17
26-23
13-11
28-22
17-22
26-18
21-23
23-11
25-21
24-25
23-19
19-15
11-23
20-21
23-19
20-17
23-18
24-23
20-16
19-17
29-24
16-15
15-19
22-20
13-19
15-18
35-19
156.9Avg total
81.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.174.8156.9+7.488%
Season at home (2)78.566.5145.0+12.0100%
Season away (6)83.377.5160.8+5.883%
Last 10 (10)81.275.7156.9+5.580%
Last 5 (5)83.875.8159.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.581.0152.5-9.550%
vs Similar (19)82.580.7163.2+1.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.076.6158.6+5.478%
This opponent (Lanus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LanusArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLanus
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#10
W
67-58
67
58
+9
51avg 63
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
67avg 63
H14/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
93-108
93
108
-15
89avg 63
A20/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
50avg 63
A22/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
69-80
69
80
-11
52avg 63
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
61avg 63
H26/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
81-72
81
72
+9
67avg 63
H30/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
94-95
94
95
-1
no box
A05/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
A07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
93-57
93
57
+36
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
25-15
12-14
18-15
26-18
17-27
23-26
11-13
18-26
22-34
25-25
28-23
22-18
18-20
13-21
20-16
20-25
19-8
16-27
14-20
18-22
19-21
12-8
23-12
20-23
19-13
21-10
21-26
22-21
30-22
16-21
26-31
19-18
22-27
11-29
19-14
29-13
26-14
24-13
14-17
157.0Avg total
79.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.579.3157.8-0.736%
Season at home (6)77.371.0148.3+6.367%
Season away (5)80.089.2169.2-9.20%
Last 10 (10)79.078.0157.0+1.040%
Last 5 (5)82.275.0157.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.087.2168.2-6.225%
vs Similar (15)78.376.7155.0+1.747%
vs Weaker (7)84.773.4158.1+11.386%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
PenarolLanus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A11/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/11
Liga A
79.8Avg total
40.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.481.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.238.676.8-0.442%-
Last 30 away (18)42.143.285.3-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.279.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (19)40.342.182.4-1.737%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.439.680.0+0.967%-
This opponent (Lanus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#10
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H14/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A20/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H26/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H30/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A05/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H11/11
Liga A
82.2Avg total
42.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.079.2+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.637.479.1+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.979.3-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.982.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.883.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.644.285.9-2.638%-
vs Similar (15)39.238.777.9+0.553%-
vs Weaker (7)40.433.774.1+6.757%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.5
68.4%
72.7%17.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lanustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lanus: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.9
49.5%
54.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.18.4
27.8%
32.6%25.1
🏀 Free throws24.416.9
69.2%
72.7%16.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWLWWWWLW
Lanus
WLLWWLLLLW
#2
League position
#12
+4.1
Net rating
-4.5
113.4
Offensive rating
104.8
109.3
Defensive rating
109.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
45.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.3%
3-point %
27.8%
48.4%
Assist %
48.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 104.8Defence109.3 · 109.3Shooting52.9% · 45.8%3-point %32.3% · 27.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Penarol   ■ Lanus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Penarol wins
3
Lanus wins
DateGameScore
14/10/26Lanus v Penarol77-84
25/02/16Penarol v Lanus100-87
13/12/15Lanus v Penarol89-81
05/11/15Penarol v Lanus80-72
31/10/15Lanus v Penarol81-67
09/03/15Penarol v Lanus85-78
11/01/15Lanus v Penarol77-78
18/10/14Lanus v Penarol82-69
10/10/14Penarol v Lanus96-63
17/02/14Penarol v Lanus93-88
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AFerro85-76
11/11/26APlatense79-75
03/11/26AOlimpico87-74
31/10/26AQuimsa73-78
28/10/26HSan Martin95-76
17/10/26ASan Lorenzo92-85
14/10/26ALanus84-77
30/09/26HGimnasia62-57
03/05/26HFerro68-84
01/05/26HFerro87-75
Lanuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLa Union93-57
07/11/26AQuimsa71-88
05/11/26AOlimpico94-95
30/10/26HSan Martin81-72
26/10/26HRegatas72-63
24/10/26AAtenas69-80
22/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba73-75
20/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva93-108
14/10/26HPenarol77-84
09/10/26HObera TC67-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %88%100%83%
Points / game82.178.583.3
Allowed / game74.866.577.5
Point differential+7.4+12.0+5.8
Avg total156.9145.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lanus
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW36%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%67%0%
Points / game78.577.380.0
Allowed / game79.371.089.2
Point differential-0.7+6.3-9.2
Avg total157.8148.3169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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