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Penarol vs Libertad Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 28 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Postponed
Position#15
Record11-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#20
Record6-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game83.5
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2019-20
Meetings · Penarol v Libertad
06 Mar 2021
PENA68
LIBE72
27 Apr 2020
PENA v LIBE
upcoming
11 Jan 2019
PENA83
LIBE75
07 May 2017
PENA70
LIBE67
27 Feb 2016
PENA101
LIBE88
05 Mar 2015
PENA117
LIBE108
09 Mar 2014
PENA108
LIBE84
19 Dec 2013
PENA82
LIBE77
05 Feb 2013
PENA87
LIBE71
27 Apr 2012
PENA85
LIBE59
25 Apr 2012
PENA83
LIBE86
09 Dec 2011
PENA82
LIBE73
14 May 2011
PENA103
LIBE101
12 May 2011
PENA78
LIBE66
18 Feb 2011
PENA61
LIBE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Libertad win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A30/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
102-107
102
107
-5
A01/02
Liga A
San Martin
#7
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H06/02
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#12
L
97-115
97
115
-18
A13/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
87-98
87
98
-11
A15/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A16/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H28/02
Liga A
Libertad
#20
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A08/03
Liga A
Atenas
#17
L
71-90
71
90
-19
A11/03
Liga A
Regatas
#8
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H14/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
23-22
19-27
24-17
31-27
21-28
27-25
23-27
15-29
24-18
24-23
32-32
26-29
21-32
28-28
22-26
25-24
16-22
29-26
17-26
14-27
19-13
20-25
16-15
15-19
14-12
20-17
24-26
21-9
12-19
23-16
24-32
19-18
16-22
15-28
21-22
26-23
17-19
27-23
25-22
176.0Avg total
84.8Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.384.2167.4-0.941%
Season at home (13)88.581.9170.5+6.669%
Season away (14)78.486.3164.6-7.914%
Last 10 (10)84.891.2176.0-6.420%
Last 5 (5)77.681.4159.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.488.9173.3-4.510%
vs Similar (13)84.584.5169.1+0.054%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.376.7154.0+0.643%
This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A29/01
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H31/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H03/02
Liga A
Argentino
#14
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H06/02
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H12/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
58-106
58
106
-48
A15/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
80-99
80
99
-19
A17/02
Liga A
Regatas
#8
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H05/03
Liga A
Penarol
#15
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H08/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#19
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A14/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
19-16
15-20
11-25
17-19
17-19
14-19
22-23
23-22
21-18
15-20
13-19
19-16
19-29
11-8
18-17
24-12
11-22
25-20
21-26
15-16
13-33
11-26
19-31
12-23
27-28
22-21
19-27
6-26
16-20
20-21
29-20
9-21
19-12
16-23
32-24
16-10
16-10
14-17
18-18
151.8Avg total
70.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.083.5154.6-12.523%
Season at home (14)74.280.6154.9-6.436%
Season away (12)67.386.9154.2-19.68%
Last 10 (10)70.081.8151.8-11.820%
Last 5 (5)69.885.4155.2-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)71.184.1155.2-13.020%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
PenarolLibertad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A30/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A01/02
Liga A
San Martin
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H06/02
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#12
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A13/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A16/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H28/02
Liga A
Libertad
#20
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A08/03
Liga A
Atenas
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A11/03
Liga A
Regatas
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/03
Liga A
81.7Avg total
38.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.680.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.938.782.6+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)37.840.478.2-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.981.7-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.270.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.942.785.6+0.230%-
vs Similar (13)39.840.880.6-1.146%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.933.071.9+5.986%-
This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A29/01
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H31/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H03/02
Liga A
Argentino
#14
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H06/02
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H12/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A15/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A17/02
Liga A
Regatas
#8
L
22-46
22
46
-24
H05/03
Liga A
Penarol
#15
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H08/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#19
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A14/03
Liga A
72.8Avg total
33.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.440.472.8-8.020%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.538.872.3-5.229%-
Last 30 away (13)30.942.573.5-11.68%-
Last 10 (10)33.539.372.8-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.839.869.6-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)32.440.472.8-8.020%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Penarol wins
3
Libertad wins
DateGameScore
08/03/20Libertad v Penarol76-80
13/04/19Libertad v Penarol79-81
12/01/19Penarol v Libertad83-75
07/05/17Penarol v Libertad70-67
23/02/17Libertad v Penarol85-66
28/02/16Penarol v Libertad101-88
23/01/16Libertad v Penarol87-68
04/04/15Libertad v Penarol88-84
06/03/15Penarol v Libertad117-108 OT
10/03/14Penarol v Libertad108-84
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/20HRegatas95-87
11/03/20AAtenas71-90
08/03/20ALibertad80-76
28/02/20HSan Lorenzo73-74
16/02/20AFerro69-80
15/02/20ASan Lorenzo87-98
13/02/20AHispano Americano97-115
06/02/20HSan Martin95-102
01/02/20AQuimsa102-107
30/01/20AOlimpico79-83
Libertadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/20AEstudiantes64-55
08/03/20HPenarol76-80
05/03/20HRegatas71-87
17/02/20AGimnasia80-99
15/02/20AFerro58-106
12/02/20HLa Union81-80
06/02/20HArgentino67-70
03/02/20HComunicaciones Mercedes72-79
31/01/20HSan Lorenzo70-80
29/01/20AInstituto de Cordoba61-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW41%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%69%14%
Points / game83.388.578.4
Allowed / game84.281.986.3
Point differential-0.9+6.6-7.9
Avg total167.4170.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)75% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Libertad
Liga A 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW23%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLLLLW8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %23%36%8%
Points / game71.074.267.3
Allowed / game83.580.686.9
Point differential-12.5-6.4-19.6
Avg total154.6154.9154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)56% (9)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa2118386%90.183.4+6.8
2 San Lorenzo2117481%87.580.5+7.0
3 Gimnasia2519676%87.379.8+7.4
4 Instituto de Cordoba2215768%81.175.5+5.6
5 Comunicaciones Mercedes26161062%86.078.3+7.7
6 Ferro24141058%79.376.1+3.2
7 San Martin23131057%82.879.5+3.3
8 Regatas25131252%83.981.8+2.1
9 Olimpico24121250%82.981.0+1.9
10 Boca Juniors26131350%77.977.8+0.2
11 Weber Bahia26121446%90.895.3-4.4
12 Hispano Americano27121544%84.484.0+0.3
13 Obras Sanitarias26111542%84.383.2+1.1
14 Argentino26111542%77.483.3-5.9
15 Penarol27111641%83.384.2-0.9
16 La Union25101540%82.684.8-2.1
17 Atenas25101540%80.483.0-2.6
18 Platense2481633%75.882.5-6.7
19 Estudiantes2772026%69.977.3-7.3
20 Libertad2662023%71.083.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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