Libertad vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2015

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 88-84

20-26 16-18 26-21 26-19

Position#15

Record15-27

FormWLLLW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game83.0

Libertad 🏆

Penarol

Position#7

Record25-14

FormLLWLW

Points / game80.3

Allowed / game75.2

Liga A

Other2014-15

Meetings · Libertad v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

88-85

H28/02

Liga A

Quilmes

89-99

-10

A04/03

Liga A

Penarol

108-117 OT

108

117

-9

A06/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

69-71

-2

A08/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

74-82

-8

H18/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

79-75

H21/03

Liga A

Quimsa

76-83

-7

A24/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

68-92

-24

A26/03

Liga A

Atenas

91-97

-6

A27/03

Liga A

Sionista

#16

84-75

H31/03

Liga A

21-18

20-20

24-21

23-26

20-27

25-27

22-23

22-22

22-23

11-24

25-29

39-21

19-25

16-12

15-13

19-21

8-19

15-19

27-20

24-24

26-20

11-9

23-21

19-25

18-20

15-15

15-26

28-22

17-23

23-24

20-27

8-18

20-25

22-18

28-28

21-26

19-24

19-13

20-17

26-21

170.2Avg total

82.6Scored

87.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (42)	79.7	83.0	162.7	-3.3	36%
Season at home (19)	82.1	78.2	160.2	+3.9	63%
Season away (23)	77.7	87.0	164.7	-9.2	13%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	87.6	170.2	-5.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	84.4	164.0	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	85.0	88.2	173.2	-3.2	22%
vs Similar (19)	79.5	82.9	162.5	-3.4	42%
vs Weaker (2)	89.0	79.0	168.0	+10.0	50%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertad

#15

117-108 OT

117

108

H06/03

Liga A

Lanus

#17

85-78

H09/03

Liga A

Bauru

61-80

-19

A14/03

Americas League

Flamengo

81-97

-16

H15/03

Americas League

San Martin

81-74

H19/03

Liga A

Quilmes

68-76

-8

H23/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

68-70

-2

H25/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

81-61

+20

H28/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

65-75

-10

A31/03

Liga A

Sionista

#16

79-75 OT

A02/04

Liga A

23-22

24-11

29-25

21-39

21-17

16-24

24-18

24-19

8-22

21-19

16-20

16-19

23-31

20-19

14-24

24-23

22-14

22-19

15-20

22-21

14-13

17-30

14-20

23-13

22-12

12-18

22-22

19-17

18-13

25-18

19-13

20-11

14-22

18-23

13-19

23-14

21-21

14-18

12-17

158.0Avg total

78.6Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	80.3	75.2	155.6	+5.1	64%
Season at home (23)	82.5	73.7	156.2	+8.8	70%
Season away (16)	77.2	77.4	154.7	-0.2	56%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	79.4	158.0	-0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	71.4	143.6	+0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	71.2	86.6	157.8	-15.4	0%
vs Similar (15)	78.1	70.3	148.5	+7.8	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	84.9	77.6	162.5	+7.3	80%

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.4	40.7	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.8	21.9	40.7	-3.2	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.7	20.8	38.4	-3.1	11%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.8	22.1	41.8	-2.3	32%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.6	17.6	39.1	+4.0	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.7	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.3	36.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	13.4	33.0	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.4	22.0	37.4	-6.6	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.3	16.3	36.7	+4.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.7	18.4	42.1	+5.3	90%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.1	36.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.8	16.9	35.8	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.3	18.8	36.2	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.1	35.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	15.8	33.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	16.6	17.3	33.9	-0.8	56%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.8	37%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	11.0	31.5	+9.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.3	36.1	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.3	18.4	36.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.2	18.0	35.2	-0.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.8	37.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.8	20.0	35.8	-4.2	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.1	17.7	35.7	+0.4	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.3	40%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

41-38

H28/02

Liga A

Quilmes

45-54

-9

A04/03

Liga A

Penarol

33-47

-14

A06/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

35-37

-2

A08/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

23-38

-15

H18/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

37-29

H21/03

Liga A

Quimsa

33-35

-2

A24/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

40-47

-7

A26/03

Liga A

Atenas

42-43

-1

A27/03

Liga A

Sionista

#16

38-37

H31/03

Liga A

77.2Avg total

36.7Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	39.5	76.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.8	37.6	76.3	+1.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	36.1	40.8	76.9	-4.7	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	40.5	77.2	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	38.2	76.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	34.2	38.1	72.3	-3.9	11%	-
vs Similar (19)	38.1	41.2	79.3	-3.1	37%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.5	29.5	71.0	+12.0	50%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertad

#15

47-33

+14

H06/03

Liga A

Lanus

#17

37-41

-4

H09/03

Liga A

Bauru

29-41

-12

A14/03

Americas League

Flamengo

43-50

-7

H15/03

Americas League

San Martin

44-33

+11

H19/03

Liga A

Quilmes

31-43

-12

H23/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

34-30

H25/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

37-30

H28/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

34-33

A31/03

Liga A

Sionista

#16

44-35

A02/04

Liga A

74.9Avg total

38.0Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	36.2	74.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.9	36.0	75.9	+3.9	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.4	36.6	73.0	-0.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	36.9	74.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	34.2	70.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	31.2	42.0	73.2	-10.8	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.4	34.0	72.4	+4.4	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	42.3	36.7	79.0	+5.6	70%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.1	19.1	42.2	+4.0	83%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.6	23.9	44.5	-3.3	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	22.5	44.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.8	45.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	23.9	25.8	49.7	-1.9	33%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	21.5	44.5	+1.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.4	19.3	39.8	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.4	36.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	22.6	38.8	-6.4	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.9	44.3	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.9	22.1	46.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	22.6	45.5	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	25.7	22.1	47.8	+3.6	56%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	37%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	28.0	52.5	-3.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.7	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.7	19.2	36.9	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.8	34.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.8	22.0	45.8	+1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.3	18.5	37.9	+0.8	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	43.9	87.9	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	47.0	41.2	88.2	+5.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	42.0	45.7	87.7	-3.7	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	45.1	89.9	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	46.2	87.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	49.6	47.9	97.4	+1.7	44%	-
vs Similar (19)	41.0	41.4	82.4	-0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	49.5	97.0	-2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	38.7	78.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.8	39.0	80.8	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.7	38.2	74.9	-1.6	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	40.9	78.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	36.2	70.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.0	44.6	84.6	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.7	36.3	76.1	+3.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	39.7	39.3	79.0	+0.4	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
06/03/15	Penarol v Libertad	117-108 OT
10/03/14	Penarol v Libertad	108-84
11/01/14	Libertad v Penarol	88-92
20/12/13	Penarol v Libertad	82-77
06/02/13	Penarol v Libertad	87-71
28/01/13	Libertad v Penarol	65-76
21/11/12	Libertad v Penarol	80-78
05/05/12	Libertad v Penarol	85-88
03/05/12	Libertad v Penarol	76-90
28/04/12	Penarol v Libertad	85-59

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/03/15	H	Sionista	84-75
27/03/15	A	Atenas	91-97
26/03/15	A	Olimpico	68-92
24/03/15	A	Quimsa	76-83
21/03/15	H	Weber Bahia	79-75
18/03/15	H	Estudiantes	74-82
08/03/15	A	Weber Bahia	69-71
06/03/15	A	Penarol	108-117 OT
04/03/15	A	Quilmes	89-99
28/02/15	H	San Martin	88-85

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/04/15	A	Sionista	79-75 OT
31/03/15	A	Estudiantes	65-75
28/03/15	H	Gimnasia	81-61
25/03/15	H	Obras Sanitarias	68-70
23/03/15	H	Quilmes	68-76
19/03/15	H	San Martin	81-74
15/03/15	H	Flamengo	81-97
14/03/15	A	Bauru	61-80
09/03/15	H	Lanus	85-78
06/03/15	H	Libertad	117-108 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	36%
Home	LWLWW	63%
Away	LLLLL	13%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	42	19	23
Win %	36%	63%	13%
Points / game	79.7	82.1	77.7
Allowed / game	83.0	78.2	87.0
Point differential	-3.3	+3.9	-9.2
Avg total	162.7	160.2	164.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	21%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (16)	62% (8)	38% (8)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

Penarol

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	64%
Home	WWLLW	70%
Away	WWWLW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	23	16
Win %	64%	70%	56%
Points / game	80.3	82.5	77.2
Allowed / game	75.2	73.7	77.4
Point differential	+5.1	+8.8	-0.2
Avg total	155.6	156.2	154.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	52%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	0% (3)	86% (7)
Overtime %	10%	4%	19%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	43	37	6	86%	83.9	71.5	+12.5
2	Obras Sanitarias	45	31	14	69%	80.2	74.1	+6.2
3	Regatas	44	30	14	68%	81.4	74.6	+6.8
4	Penarol	39	25	14	64%	80.3	75.2	+5.1
5	Gimnasia	42	26	16	62%	78.6	73.5	+5.1
6	San Martin	43	25	18	58%	78.9	79.6	-0.7
7	Quilmes	41	23	18	56%	77.1	77.6	-0.5
8	Atenas	44	23	21	52%	77.9	77.9	-0.0
9	Olimpico	44	21	23	48%	79.8	80.9	-1.2
10	Argentino	40	19	21	48%	78.0	80.2	-2.2
11	Estudiantes	43	18	25	42%	74.6	75.8	-1.2
12	Boca Juniors	44	18	26	41%	77.7	78.8	-1.1
13	Weber Bahia	44	18	26	41%	75.2	79.4	-4.2
14	La Union	41	15	26	37%	80.5	84.3	-3.8
15	Libertad	42	15	27	36%	79.7	83.0	-3.3
16	Sionista	42	15	27	36%	72.8	76.2	-3.5
17	Lanus	43	15	28	35%	79.8	84.1	-4.3
18	Ciclista	42	9	33	21%	73.4	83.4	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	20	16	26	26	88
Penarol	26	18	21	19	84

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature