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Libertad vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 85-66
22-16 29-9 18-18 16-23
Position#9
Record17-17
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#15
Record14-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game78.8
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2016-17
Meetings · Libertad v Penarol
11 Mar 2021
LIBE72
PENA76
08 Mar 2020
LIBE76
PENA80
12 Apr 2019
LIBE79
PENA81
22 Feb 2017
LIBE85
PENA66
23 Jan 2016
LIBE87
PENA68
03 Apr 2015
LIBE88
PENA84
10 Jan 2014
LIBE88
PENA92
27 Jan 2013
LIBE65
PENA76
21 Nov 2012
LIBE80
PENA78
04 May 2012
LIBE85
PENA88
02 May 2012
LIBE76
PENA90
17 Feb 2012
LIBE80
PENA75
18 May 2011
LIBE86
PENA95
06 Dec 2010
LIBE61
PENA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertadArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hispano Americano
#17
W
94-80
94
80
+14
A21/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A23/01
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
73-104
73
104
-31
A26/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H29/01
Liga A
Quilmes
#14
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H07/02
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H09/02
Liga A
San Martin
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H11/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A14/02
Liga A
Atletico Echague Parana
#20
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A16/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
W
84-53
84
53
+31
H20/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
26-23
18-22
28-20
18-18
11-25
15-20
23-19
15-22
14-37
21-26
23-19
25-19
23-22
16-20
20-12
21-22
17-12
16-18
24-21
18-19
21-22
28-10
17-11
23-25
16-14
18-26
15-15
20-35
14-12
22-14
17-24
23-21
23-21
23-15
26-33
26-14
16-12
22-15
20-12
158.6Avg total
80.4Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)80.779.1159.8+1.750%
Season at home (17)83.076.1159.1+6.971%
Season away (17)78.582.1160.5-3.629%
Last 10 (10)80.478.2158.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)81.674.0155.6+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.684.0165.6-2.420%
vs Similar (17)80.179.2159.4+0.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.275.1161.4+11.188%
This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#12
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H18/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H21/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H25/01
Liga A
Atenas
#16
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A28/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A30/01
Liga A
Ferro
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H02/02
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#17
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H08/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#7
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H16/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#3
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A19/02
Liga A
Atletico Echague Parana
#20
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A21/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
17-21
27-18
25-22
15-11
20-18
13-20
25-20
25-16
17-17
20-23
26-26
22-17
18-25
10-10
27-33
24-22
20-31
21-19
20-24
24-23
21-16
14-15
14-21
21-16
21-17
19-22
15-26
8-23
9-18
24-19
17-20
23-21
13-23
15-27
20-18
15-17
16-23
19-18
19-13
155.5Avg total
75.0Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)74.678.8153.4-4.239%
Season at home (18)79.176.4155.6+2.761%
Season away (18)70.181.1151.2-11.017%
Last 10 (10)75.080.5155.5-5.530%
Last 5 (5)69.479.2148.6-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.289.0162.2-15.820%
vs Similar (24)73.878.7152.4-4.933%
vs Weaker (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
LibertadPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hispano Americano
#17
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A21/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#13
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A23/01
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
29-59
29
59
-30
A26/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#19
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H29/01
Liga A
Quilmes
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/02
Liga A
La Union
#18
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/02
Liga A
San Martin
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H11/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A14/02
Liga A
Atletico Echague Parana
#20
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A16/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H20/02
Liga A
80.2Avg total
39.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.079.5+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.237.679.8+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)38.640.679.1-2.057%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.080.2-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.079.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.840.077.8-2.240%-
vs Similar (17)39.739.579.2+0.253%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.937.481.2+6.588%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H18/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#11
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H21/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H25/01
Liga A
Atenas
#16
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A28/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A30/01
Liga A
Ferro
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H02/02
Liga A
Hispano Americano
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H08/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#7
L
17-41
17
41
-24
H16/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A19/02
Liga A
Atletico Echague Parana
#20
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/02
Liga A
75.1Avg total
36.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.338.573.8-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.736.872.5-1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)34.940.275.1-5.313%-
Last 10 (10)36.039.175.1-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.473.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.442.476.8-8.020%-
vs Similar (24)35.737.673.3-2.042%-
vs Weaker (1)31.040.071.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Libertad wins
7
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
28/02/16Penarol v Libertad101-88
23/01/16Libertad v Penarol87-68
04/04/15Libertad v Penarol88-84
06/03/15Penarol v Libertad117-108 OT
10/03/14Penarol v Libertad108-84
11/01/14Libertad v Penarol88-92
20/12/13Penarol v Libertad82-77
06/02/13Penarol v Libertad87-71
28/01/13Libertad v Penarol65-76
21/11/12Libertad v Penarol80-78
Libertadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/17HSan Lorenzo84-53
16/02/17AAtletico Echague Parana95-90
14/02/17AEstudiantes73-85
11/02/17HSan Martin72-80
09/02/17HLa Union84-62
07/02/17HQuilmes78-73
29/01/17HBoca Juniors84-73
26/01/17ASan Lorenzo73-104
23/01/17AObras Sanitarias67-82
21/01/17AHispano Americano94-80
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/17AAtletico Echague Parana69-71
19/02/17AEstudiantes71-89
16/02/17HWeber Bahia58-80
08/02/17HHispano Americano76-81
02/02/17HFerro73-75
30/01/17AInstituto de Cordoba85-96
28/01/17AAtenas77-85
25/01/17HInstituto de Cordoba88-82
21/01/17HGimnasia73-69
18/01/17HQuimsa80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad
Liga A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game80.783.078.5
Allowed / game79.176.182.1
Point differential+1.7+6.9-3.6
Avg total159.8159.1160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%53%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Penarol
Liga A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL39%
HomeWWLLL61%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %39%61%17%
Points / game74.679.170.1
Allowed / game78.876.481.1
Point differential-4.2+2.7-11.0
Avg total153.4155.6151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%22%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)60% (10)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Lorenzo3425974%83.672.6+11.0
2 San Martin3425974%82.875.4+7.4
3 Estudiantes36241267%81.976.8+5.0
4 Ferro33221167%80.076.6+3.4
5 Regatas32201262%86.582.1+4.5
6 Weber Bahia33201361%77.376.1+1.2
7 Instituto de Cordoba35211460%80.580.1+0.5
8 Quimsa33191458%81.877.7+4.1
9 Olimpico34171750%80.378.1+2.2
10 Libertad34171750%80.779.1+1.7
11 Obras Sanitarias36171947%82.281.1+1.1
12 Gimnasia34161847%80.681.1-0.5
13 La Union35161946%75.379.2-3.9
14 Argentino33151845%73.475.7-2.3
15 Quilmes34151944%77.879.4-1.6
16 Penarol36142239%74.678.8-4.2
17 Atenas33112233%78.981.5-2.7
18 Boca Juniors35112431%75.181.3-6.2
19 Hispano Americano36112531%78.184.9-6.8
20 Atletico Echague Parana3462818%76.489.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Libertad2229181685
Penarol169182366
← all games of the day
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