Penarol vs Quimsa Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 01 Apr 2013

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 70-67

18-19 20-8 16-12 16-28

Position#2

Record31-14

FormLLLWW

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game77.7

Penarol 🏆

Quimsa

Position#7

Record27-23

FormWLLWL

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game76.9

Liga ALiga A - Quarter-finals

Other2012-13

Meetings · Penarol v Quimsa

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quimsa winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

#10

72-58

+14

H11/02

Liga A

Progresista

#16

111-104 OT

111

104

A16/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

89-82

A18/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

73-66

H23/02

Liga A

Olimpico

92-86

H25/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

79-93

-14

A01/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

70-83

-13

A02/03

Liga A

Argentino

86-90

-4

A08/03

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

76-72

A11/03

Liga A

Quimsa

92-80

+12

H30/03

Liga A

18-15

13-13

20-8

21-22

31-19

32-22

14-26

21-31

12-20

22-27

29-10

26-25

15-14

26-19

17-12

15-21

22-20

15-17

35-24

20-25

17-26

13-26

30-29

19-12

16-23

17-16

20-19

17-25

21-23

17-22

24-17

24-28

27-21

17-17

12-11

20-23

27-16

26-27

25-14

14-23

165.4Avg total

84.0Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (45)	82.0	77.7	159.7	+4.3	69%
Season at home (23)	83.1	74.6	157.7	+8.5	74%
Season away (22)	80.9	81.0	161.8	-0.1	64%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	81.4	165.4	+2.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	83.6	164.2	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	71.0	77.0	148.0	-6.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	81.2	78.1	159.3	+3.2	62%
vs Weaker (11)	87.9	82.5	170.5	+5.4	73%

This opponent (Quimsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quimsa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

64-85

-21

A02/03

Liga A

Sionista

76-80 OT

-4

A04/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

59-72

-13

A09/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

82-79

A11/03

Liga A

Libertad

80-65

+15

H15/03

Liga A

Libertad

85-80

H17/03

Liga A

Libertad

67-69

-2

A20/03

Liga A

Libertad

64-83

-19

A22/03

Liga A

Libertad

91-81

+10

H25/03

Liga A

Penarol

80-92

-12

A30/03

Liga A

13-18

11-25

16-20

24-22

21-16

15-18

13-24

20-11

11-12

14-16

18-24

16-20

22-19

25-23

16-18

19-19

24-21

14-14

20-16

22-14

24-20

19-19

25-18

17-23

17-13

20-16

16-21

14-19

21-22

5-22

16-20

22-19

24-19

21-21

19-19

27-22

16-27

27-26

14-25

23-14

153.4Avg total

74.8Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (50)	78.3	76.9	155.1	+1.4	54%
Season at home (25)	82.8	75.8	158.6	+7.0	68%
Season away (25)	73.7	77.9	151.6	-4.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	74.8	78.6	153.4	-3.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	81.0	158.4	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	72.5	85.2	157.8	-12.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	79.3	77.1	156.4	+2.1	55%
vs Weaker (4)	84.5	82.2	166.8	+2.2	50%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolQuimsa

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	19.3	41.8	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.3	17.8	42.1	+6.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	22.7	45.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.2	18.3	40.6	+3.9	69%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.9	19.7	42.6	+3.2	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	18.4	40.4	+3.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	19.7	37.7	-1.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.1	37.8	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	17.4	35.5	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	16.7	36.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.3	18.6	35.9	-1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.4	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.7	21.4	38.1	-4.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	20.0	37.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	26.0	44.0	-8.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	41%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	19.8	39.5	+0.0	50%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

#10

31-28

H11/02

Liga A

Progresista

#16

63-41

+22

A16/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

34-47

-13

A18/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

41-33

H23/02

Liga A

Olimpico

37-37

H25/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

30-52

-22

A01/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

33-39

-6

A02/03

Liga A

Argentino

38-45

-7

A08/03

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

44-38

A11/03

Liga A

Quimsa

53-43

+10

H30/03

Liga A

80.7Avg total

40.4Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	38.3	79.6	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	35.2	77.6	+7.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	41.9	81.9	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	40.3	80.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	43.4	83.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.7	39.3	81.0	+2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.6	36.9	76.5	+2.6	69%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.6	40.1	83.7	+3.5	64%	-

This opponent (Quimsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

24-43

-19

A02/03

Liga A

Sionista

36-34

A04/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

25-28

-3

A09/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

47-42

A11/03

Liga A

Libertad

38-35

H15/03

Liga A

Libertad

43-39

H17/03

Liga A

Libertad

37-29

A20/03

Liga A

Libertad

26-44

-18

A22/03

Liga A

Libertad

45-40

H25/03

Liga A

Penarol

43-53

-10

A30/03

Liga A

75.1Avg total

36.4Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	38.9	77.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	36.9	79.1	+5.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.7	41.1	75.9	-6.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	38.7	75.1	-2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	41.0	79.8	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.5	45.0	81.5	-8.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	38.6	37.2	75.8	+1.4	59%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.5	42.0	83.5	-0.5	75%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	21.3	41.7	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	17.0	39.6	+5.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	20.3	37.0	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.4	19.9	41.4	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.7	19.2	40.9	+2.5	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	22.1	40.4	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.5	37.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	22.8	44.8	-0.8	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	23.5	43.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	12.7	17.3	30.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.4	22.7	44.1	-1.4	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	17.4	37.1	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.3	38.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.6	59%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	40.8	81.4	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	39.5	81.0	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	42.3	81.9	-2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	40.5	82.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.2	81.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	29.3	37.7	67.0	-8.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	41.1	40.6	81.7	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.1	41.9	85.0	+1.2	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	39.6	79.8	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	39.8	81.7	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	39.5	77.6	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	38.8	76.5	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	40.0	78.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.0	40.2	76.2	-4.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	40.4	39.4	79.8	+1.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.0	40.2	83.2	+2.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Quimsa wins

Date	Game	Score
30/03/13	Penarol v Quimsa	92-80
26/01/13	Quimsa v Penarol	94-60
08/11/12	Penarol v Quimsa	66-74
03/11/12	Penarol v Quimsa	71-76
16/02/12	Quimsa v Penarol	65-62
12/12/11	Penarol v Quimsa	95-78
10/03/11	Penarol v Quimsa	96-81
10/02/11	Quimsa v Penarol	98-88

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/03/13	H	Quimsa	92-80
11/03/13	A	de Julio de Morteros	76-72
08/03/13	A	Argentino	86-90
02/03/13	A	Boca Juniors	70-83
01/03/13	A	Obras Sanitarias	79-93
25/02/13	H	Olimpico	92-86
23/02/13	H	Atenas	73-66
18/02/13	A	La Union	89-82
16/02/13	A	Progresista	111-104 OT
11/02/13	H	Gimnasia	72-58

Quimsalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/03/13	A	Penarol	80-92
25/03/13	H	Libertad	91-81
22/03/13	A	Libertad	64-83
20/03/13	A	Libertad	67-69
17/03/13	H	Libertad	85-80
15/03/13	H	Libertad	80-65
11/03/13	A	Boca Juniors	82-79
09/03/13	A	Obras Sanitarias	59-72
04/03/13	A	Sionista	76-80 OT
02/03/13	A	Regatas	64-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	69%
Home	WWWWW	74%
Away	WLLLW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	45	23	22
Win %	69%	74%	64%
Points / game	82.0	83.1	80.9
Allowed / game	77.7	74.6	81.0
Point differential	+4.3	+8.5	-0.1
Avg total	159.7	157.7	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	52%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	25% (4)	50% (6)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

Quimsa

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	54%
Home	WWWWW	68%
Away	LWLLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	50	25	25
Win %	54%	68%	40%
Points / game	78.3	82.8	73.7
Allowed / game	76.9	75.8	77.9
Point differential	+1.4	+7.0	-4.2
Avg total	155.1	158.6	151.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	40%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	53% (15)	43% (7)	62% (8)
Overtime %	2%	0%	4%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	45	34	11	76%	79.1	72.4	+6.8
2	Lanus	46	32	14	70%	76.5	72.8	+3.7
3	Penarol	45	31	14	69%	82.0	77.7	+4.3
4	Boca Juniors	46	29	17	63%	81.2	74.5	+6.7
5	Olimpico	47	26	21	55%	74.7	75.4	-0.6
6	Argentino	51	28	23	55%	78.9	78.6	+0.2
7	Quimsa	50	27	23	54%	78.3	76.9	+1.4
8	Libertad	49	25	24	51%	77.7	77.3	+0.3
9	Atenas	51	25	26	49%	75.9	78.1	-2.2
10	Sionista	49	24	25	49%	77.9	79.1	-1.2
11	Gimnasia	48	23	25	48%	79.9	79.9	+0.0
12	Weber Bahia	49	22	27	45%	81.1	80.7	+0.4
13	Obras Sanitarias	47	20	27	43%	80.0	80.1	-0.1
14	de Julio de Morteros	48	14	34	29%	79.5	85.2	-5.6
15	La Union	48	13	35	27%	73.4	78.7	-5.3
16	Progresista	47	10	37	21%	74.2	82.1	-7.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	18	20	16	16	70
Quimsa	19	8	12	28	67

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Quimsa Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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