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Penarol vs Quimsa Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 19 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game75.8
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Penarol v Quimsa
19 Apr 2027
PENA v QUIM
upcoming
08 Oct 2025
PENA88
QUIM85
28 Mar 2025
PENA63
QUIM81
15 Jun 2024
PENA65
QUIM64
13 Jun 2024
PENA75
QUIM83
05 Dec 2023
PENA75
QUIM98
09 Jan 2023
PENA76
QUIM85
22 Dec 2021
PENA91
QUIM90
10 Mar 2021
PENA62
QUIM67
03 Apr 2020
PENA v QUIM
upcoming
05 Dec 2018
PENA105
QUIM115
28 Jan 2018
PENA90
QUIM97
17 Jan 2017
PENA80
QUIM77
29 Feb 2016
PENA89
QUIM95
10 Feb 2015
PENA62
QUIM87
03 Feb 2014
PENA97
QUIM85
31 Mar 2013
PENA70
QUIM67
29 Mar 2013
PENA92
QUIM80
08 Nov 2012
PENA66
QUIM74
02 Nov 2012
PENA71
QUIM76
11 Dec 2011
PENA95
QUIM78
09 Mar 2011
PENA96
QUIM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Quimsa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 76
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 76
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
62-57
62
57
+5
54avg 76
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 76
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 76
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
95-76
95
76
+19
86avg 76
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A13/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
18-23
25-21
22-11
19-22
23-26
10-22
16-14
17-14
13-15
14-6
18-22
18-26
27-17
26-23
13-11
28-22
17-22
26-18
21-23
23-11
25-21
24-25
23-19
19-15
11-23
20-21
23-19
20-17
23-18
24-23
20-16
19-17
29-24
16-15
15-19
22-20
13-19
15-18
35-19
156.9Avg total
81.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.174.8156.9+7.488%
Season at home (2)78.566.5145.0+12.0100%
Season away (6)83.377.5160.8+5.883%
Last 10 (10)81.275.7156.9+5.580%
Last 5 (5)83.875.8159.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.581.0152.5-9.550%
vs Similar ◀ (19)82.580.7163.2+1.847%
vs Weaker (9)82.076.6158.6+5.478%
This opponent (Quimsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuimsaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuimsa
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
W
88-60
88
60
+28
92avg 73
H18/06
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
56-68
56
68
-12
41avg 73
A21/06
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
94-67
94
67
+27
89avg 73
H04/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 73
H06/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
W
105-96
105
96
+9
98avg 73
H11/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
78-76
78
76
+2
65avg 73
A24/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
68-54
68
54
+14
63avg 73
A25/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H31/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
no box
H07/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
no box
H08/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-9
22-21
21-21
25-9
10-18
21-20
12-13
13-17
22-14
25-14
31-13
16-26
16-21
27-23
23-13
17-20
23-33
26-21
31-21
25-21
20-23
26-15
14-20
18-18
17-16
19-8
14-16
18-14
15-19
23-11
21-20
19-23
18-19
27-22
29-11
14-19
28-18
23-23
13-16
17-24
156.0Avg total
82.6Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.275.8161.0+9.588%
Season at home (6)89.379.3168.7+10.083%
Season away (2)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.673.4156.0+9.280%
Last 5 (5)80.073.2153.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.778.8160.4+2.958%
vs Weaker (18)83.575.2158.7+8.372%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
PenarolQuimsa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A11/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/11
Liga A
79.8Avg total
40.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.481.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.238.676.8-0.442%-
Last 30 away (18)42.143.285.3-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.279.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.342.182.4-1.737%-
vs Weaker (9)40.439.680.0+0.967%-
This opponent (Quimsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H18/06
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A21/06
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H06/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H11/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A24/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A25/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H31/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H07/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H08/11
Liga A
79.6Avg total
42.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.979.9+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.236.479.6+6.873%-
Last 30 away (15)38.941.380.2-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)42.836.879.6+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.234.878.0+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.239.880.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker (18)41.638.279.8+3.361%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.5
68.4%
72.7%17.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Quimsatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Quimsa: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.3
49.7%
54.4%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.1
38.3%
32.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.515.8
77.1%
72.7%15.8
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWLWWWWLW
Quimsa
LWWWWWWWLW
#2
League position
#1
+4.1
Net rating
+8.5
113.4
Offensive rating
113.1
109.3
Defensive rating
104.6
52.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.3%
3-point %
38.3%
48.4%
Assist %
47.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 113.1Defence109.3 · 104.6Shooting52.9% · 53.1%3-point %32.3% · 38.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Penarol   ■ Quimsa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Penarol wins
6
Quimsa wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Quimsa v Penarol78-73
03/02/26Quimsa v Penarol89-66
08/10/25Penarol v Quimsa88-85
29/03/25Penarol v Quimsa63-81
25/01/25Quimsa v Penarol79-84
19/06/24Quimsa v Penarol91-60
16/06/24Penarol v Quimsa65-64
14/06/24Penarol v Quimsa75-83
11/06/24Quimsa v Penarol70-85
09/06/24Quimsa v Penarol79-47
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AFerro85-76
11/11/26APlatense79-75
03/11/26AOlimpico87-74
31/10/26AQuimsa73-78
28/10/26HSan Martin95-76
17/10/26ASan Lorenzo92-85
14/10/26ALanus84-77
30/09/26HGimnasia62-57
03/05/26HFerro68-84
01/05/26HFerro87-75
Quimsalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HInstituto de Cordoba88-92 OT
07/11/26HLanus88-71
31/10/26HPenarol78-73
25/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy68-54
24/10/26AArgentino78-76
11/10/26HBoca Juniors105-96
06/10/26HAtenas83-77
04/10/26HPlatense94-67
21/06/26AGimnasia56-68
18/06/26HGimnasia88-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %88%100%83%
Points / game82.178.583.3
Allowed / game74.866.577.5
Point differential+7.4+12.0+5.8
Avg total156.9145.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Quimsa
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %88%83%100%
Points / game85.289.373.0
Allowed / game75.879.365.0
Point differential+9.5+10.0+8.0
Avg total161.0168.7138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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