Penarol vs Quimsa Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2020

Tip-off: 00:00

Scheduled

Position#15

Record11-16

FormLLWLW

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game84.2

Penarol

Quimsa

Position#1

Record18-3

FormLWWWW

Points / game90.1

Allowed / game83.4

Liga A

Other2019-20

Meetings · Penarol v Quimsa

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Quimsa win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

79-83

-4

A30/01

Liga A

Quimsa

102-107

102

107

-5

A01/02

Liga A

San Martin

95-102

102

-7

H06/02

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

97-115

115

-18

A13/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

87-98

-11

A15/02

Liga A

Ferro

69-80

-11

A16/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

73-74

-1

H28/02

Liga A

Libertad

#20

80-76

A08/03

Liga A

Atenas

#17

71-90

-19

A11/03

Liga A

Regatas

95-87

H14/03

Liga A

13-17

23-22

19-27

24-17

31-27

21-28

27-25

23-27

15-29

24-18

24-23

32-32

26-29

21-32

28-28

22-26

25-24

16-22

29-26

17-26

14-27

19-13

20-25

16-15

15-19

14-12

20-17

24-26

21-9

12-19

23-16

24-32

19-18

16-22

15-28

21-22

26-23

17-19

27-23

25-22

176.0Avg total

84.8Scored

91.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	83.3	84.2	167.4	-0.9	41%
Season at home (13)	88.5	81.9	170.5	+6.6	69%
Season away (14)	78.4	86.3	164.6	-7.9	14%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	91.2	176.0	-6.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	81.4	159.0	-3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	84.4	88.9	173.3	-4.5	10%
vs Similar (13)	84.5	84.5	169.1	+0.0	54%
vs Weaker (7)	77.3	76.7	154.0	+0.6	43%

This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quimsa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

91-87

A28/01

Liga A

Penarol

#15

107-102

107

102

H01/02

Liga A

Argentino

#14

102-92

102

+10

H04/02

Liga A

Platense

#18

102-77

102

+25

H10/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

#19

97-86

+11

A13/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

63-89

-26

A15/02

Liga A

Regatas

98-84

+14

A17/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

107-81

107

+26

H27/02

Liga A

Atenas

#17

90-67

+23

H02/03

Liga A

Ferro

96-92

H05/03

Liga A

25-19

20-19

21-17

25-32

27-31

28-21

25-27

27-23

20-20

29-18

32-27

21-27

19-12

26-22

32-23

25-20

26-16

21-22

30-25

20-23

9-27

10-29

17-20

27-13

27-21

27-13

29-24

15-26

28-15

28-16

18-25

33-25

21-21

25-10

22-17

22-19

24-21

28-15

21-30

23-26

181.0Avg total

95.3Scored

85.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	90.1	83.4	173.5	+6.8	86%
Season at home (12)	92.9	80.8	173.7	+12.2	100%
Season away (9)	86.4	86.9	173.3	-0.4	67%
Last 10 (10)	95.3	85.7	181.0	+9.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	82.6	173.4	+8.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	85.4	88.6	174.0	-3.2	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	93.3	80.1	173.4	+13.2	95%

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolQuimsa

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.2	42.7	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.4	60%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.2	22.2	42.5	-2.0	23%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.3	14.7	36.0	+6.6	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	20.1	43.4	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.8	19.2	43.0	+4.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.7	21.2	43.9	+1.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.3	42.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	21.2	22.2	43.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.1	19.3	43.4	+4.8	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	17.0	32.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.5	18.6	38.2	+0.9	54%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.6	18.3	35.9	-0.7	29%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.6	39.4	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.1	16.6	38.6	+5.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	18.5	42.7	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	16.6	40.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.5	18.3	39.8	+3.2	59%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

36-39

-3

A30/01

Liga A

Quimsa

52-55

-3

A01/02

Liga A

San Martin

39-47

-8

H06/02

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

47-61

-14

A13/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

41-46

-5

A15/02

Liga A

Ferro

33-40

-7

A16/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

29-31

-2

H28/02

Liga A

Libertad

#20

33-28

A08/03

Liga A

Atenas

#17

35-40

-5

A11/03

Liga A

Regatas

43-42

H14/03

Liga A

81.7Avg total

38.8Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	39.6	80.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.9	38.7	82.6	+5.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	40.4	78.2	-2.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	42.9	81.7	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	36.2	70.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	42.9	42.7	85.6	+0.2	30%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.8	40.8	80.6	-1.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	38.9	33.0	71.9	+5.9	86%	-

This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

45-38

A28/01

Liga A

Penarol

#15

55-52

H01/02

Liga A

Argentino

#14

49-38

+11

H04/02

Liga A

Platense

#18

45-34

+11

H10/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

#19

47-38

A13/02

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

19-56

-37

A15/02

Liga A

Regatas

54-34

+20

A17/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

56-31

+25

H27/02

Liga A

Atenas

#17

46-31

+15

H02/03

Liga A

Ferro

52-36

+16

H05/03

Liga A

85.6Avg total

46.8Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	38.7	82.8	+5.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.9	35.8	81.6	+10.1	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.7	42.5	84.2	-0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.8	38.8	85.6	+8.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	37.6	83.0	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	39.9	41.9	81.8	-2.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	45.6	37.5	83.1	+8.0	73%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	23.1	43.9	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	23.8	47.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	21.1	22.6	43.7	-1.5	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.9	21.9	41.7	-2.0	29%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.6	21.6	46.2	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.9	21.9	46.8	+3.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.2	21.2	45.4	+3.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	23.5	48.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.2	44.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	22.4	24.5	46.9	-2.1	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	25.4	20.5	45.9	+4.9	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.5	44.1	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.3	23.0	47.3	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	22.1	41.2	-3.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	24.5	47.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.4	45.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.4	23.6	44.0	-3.2	30%	-
vs Similar (13)	24.0	22.1	46.1	+1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.6	21.9	40.4	-3.3	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	22.4	45.0	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	20.9	42.2	+0.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	23.4	47.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.8	45.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.2	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	44.5	86.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.7	43.8	88.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.0	45.2	85.2	-5.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	48.3	94.3	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	45.2	88.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	41.5	46.2	87.7	-4.7	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	44.8	43.7	88.5	+1.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (7)	38.4	43.7	82.1	-5.3	14%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.6	43.3	89.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	47.5	44.3	91.8	+3.2	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	45.5	42.1	87.5	+3.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.5	46.9	95.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	45.0	90.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	43.6	45.5	89.1	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	47.7	42.5	90.2	+5.1	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Quimsa wins

Date	Game	Score
01/02/20	Quimsa v Penarol	107-102
06/01/19	Quimsa v Penarol	94-68
06/12/18	Penarol v Quimsa	105-115 OT
29/01/18	Penarol v Quimsa	90-97
16/01/18	Quimsa v Penarol	85-74
27/03/17	Quimsa v Penarol	65-64
18/01/17	Penarol v Quimsa	80-77
18/04/16	Quimsa v Penarol	92-97
01/03/16	Penarol v Quimsa	89-95
23/04/15	Quimsa v Penarol	97-74

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/03/20	H	Regatas	95-87
11/03/20	A	Atenas	71-90
08/03/20	A	Libertad	80-76
28/02/20	H	San Lorenzo	73-74
16/02/20	A	Ferro	69-80
15/02/20	A	San Lorenzo	87-98
13/02/20	A	Hispano Americano	97-115
06/02/20	H	San Martin	95-102
01/02/20	A	Quimsa	102-107
30/01/20	A	Olimpico	79-83

Quimsalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/20	H	Ferro	96-92
02/03/20	H	Atenas	90-67
27/02/20	H	Obras Sanitarias	107-81
17/02/20	A	Regatas	98-84
15/02/20	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	63-89
13/02/20	A	Estudiantes	97-86
10/02/20	H	Platense	102-77
04/02/20	H	Argentino	102-92
01/02/20	H	Penarol	107-102
28/01/20	A	Gimnasia	91-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	41%
Home	WWLLW	69%
Away	LLLWL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	41%	69%	14%
Points / game	83.3	88.5	78.4
Allowed / game	84.2	81.9	86.3
Point differential	-0.9	+6.6	-7.9
Avg total	167.4	170.5	164.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	38%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	75% (4)	33% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Quimsa

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	86%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	12	9
Win %	86%	100%	67%
Points / game	90.1	92.9	86.4
Allowed / game	83.4	80.8	86.9
Point differential	+6.8	+12.2	-0.4
Avg total	173.5	173.7	173.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (8)	100% (5)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	21	18	3	86%	90.1	83.4	+6.8
2	San Lorenzo	21	17	4	81%	87.5	80.5	+7.0
3	Gimnasia	25	19	6	76%	87.3	79.8	+7.4
4	Instituto de Cordoba	22	15	7	68%	81.1	75.5	+5.6
5	Comunicaciones Mercedes	26	16	10	62%	86.0	78.3	+7.7
6	Ferro	24	14	10	58%	79.3	76.1	+3.2
7	San Martin	23	13	10	57%	82.8	79.5	+3.3
8	Regatas	25	13	12	52%	83.9	81.8	+2.1
9	Olimpico	24	12	12	50%	82.9	81.0	+1.9
10	Boca Juniors	26	13	13	50%	77.9	77.8	+0.2
11	Weber Bahia	26	12	14	46%	90.8	95.3	-4.4
12	Hispano Americano	27	12	15	44%	84.4	84.0	+0.3
13	Obras Sanitarias	26	11	15	42%	84.3	83.2	+1.1
14	Argentino	26	11	15	42%	77.4	83.3	-5.9
15	Penarol	27	11	16	41%	83.3	84.2	-0.9
16	La Union	25	10	15	40%	82.6	84.8	-2.1
17	Atenas	25	10	15	40%	80.4	83.0	-2.6
18	Platense	24	8	16	33%	75.8	82.5	-6.7
19	Estudiantes	27	7	20	26%	69.9	77.3	-7.3
20	Libertad	26	6	20	23%	71.0	83.5	-12.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Quimsa Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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