Penarol vs Quimsa Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 97-85

20-12 23-15 35-29 19-29

Position#2

Record22-7

FormWWWWL

Points / game83.1

Allowed / game76.6

Penarol 🏆

Quimsa

Position#9

Record14-15

FormLWWLW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game78.8

Liga ARound 16

Other2013-14

Meetings · Penarol v Quimsa

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quimsa winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

82-76

A21/12

Super 4

Olimpico

#13

93-100

100

-7

A09/01

Liga A

Libertad

92-88

A11/01

Liga A

Sionista

#12

86-80

H15/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

80-62

+18

H18/01

Liga A

Argentino

108-86

108

+22

H20/01

Liga A

Argentino

78-75

A23/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

90-80

+10

A27/01

Liga A

Quilmes

85-82

A30/01

Liga A

Atenas

83-93

-10

H01/02

Liga A

20-20

27-19

18-11

17-26

25-24

16-21

16-34

36-21

17-20

24-13

21-23

30-32

29-23

14-19

21-17

22-21

24-20

11-20

22-14

23-8

23-16

28-32

26-25

31-13

32-17

24-16

12-23

10-19

20-27

16-19

30-18

24-16

20-20

12-21

29-20

24-21

29-26

17-15

22-23

15-29

169.9Avg total

87.7Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	83.1	76.6	159.7	+6.5	76%
Season at home (15)	84.5	72.9	157.5	+11.6	87%
Season away (14)	81.6	80.6	162.1	+1.0	64%
Last 10 (10)	87.7	82.2	169.9	+5.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	83.2	172.0	+5.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	61.0	88.0	149.0	-27.0	0%
vs Similar (8)	82.2	79.0	161.2	+3.2	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	83.3	75.3	158.6	+8.0	80%

This opponent (Quimsa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quimsa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

76-82

-6

H21/12

Super 4

Boca Juniors

65-84

-19

A08/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

77-78

-1

A10/01

Liga A

Lanus

#15

80-69

+11

A14/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

66-69

-3

A16/01

Liga A

Atenas

71-83

-12

A20/01

Liga A

Atenas

76-68

H22/01

Liga A

La Union

#16

94-82

+12

H27/01

Liga A

Regatas

74-90

-16

H29/01

Liga A

Argentino

79-77

A01/02

Liga A

20-20

19-27

11-18

26-17

13-20

22-16

18-20

12-28

8-23

28-15

20-15

21-25

24-21

20-6

23-19

13-23

21-14

11-14

16-20

18-21

18-19

14-9

19-30

20-25

21-15

19-19

21-17

15-17

24-19

19-21

25-24

26-18

16-26

25-20

14-23

19-21

17-18

26-12

14-24

22-23

154.0Avg total

75.8Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	77.5	78.8	156.3	-1.3	48%
Season at home (14)	85.6	79.8	165.4	+5.8	79%
Season away (15)	69.9	77.9	147.9	-8.0	20%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	78.2	154.0	-2.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	80.0	158.8	-1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	71.7	85.0	156.7	-13.3	0%
vs Similar (23)	77.2	78.5	155.7	-1.3	48%
vs Weaker (3)	78.7	72.3	151.0	+6.3	67%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolQuimsa

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	18.8	40.1	+2.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.1	41.4	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	21.3	45.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.2	46.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	19.2	41.0	+2.7	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.4	36.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.2	17.1	33.3	-0.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	13.3	19.0	32.3	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	48%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.4	37.6	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	15.9	35.9	+4.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	16.6	38.2	+5.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.5	17.4	36.9	+2.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	15.6	32.2	+1.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	15.9	36.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.2	36.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	67%	-
vs Similar (23)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	48%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	15.0	33.7	+3.7	33%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

47-39

A21/12

Super 4

Olimpico

#13

41-45

-4

A09/01

Liga A

Libertad

41-33

A11/01

Liga A

Sionista

#12

43-42

H15/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

35-40

-5

H18/01

Liga A

Argentino

51-48

H20/01

Liga A

Argentino

56-33

+23

A23/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

36-46

-10

A27/01

Liga A

Quilmes

32-41

-9

A30/01

Liga A

Atenas

46-41

H01/02

Liga A

83.6Avg total

42.8Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	36.8	78.3	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	34.7	75.9	+6.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.6	39.3	80.9	+2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	40.8	83.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	41.8	86.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	45.0	76.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.0	36.6	79.6	+6.4	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.4	36.5	77.9	+4.8	65%	-

This opponent (Quimsa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

39-47

-8

H21/12

Super 4

Boca Juniors

35-36

-1

A08/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

36-38

-2

A10/01

Liga A

Lanus

#15

44-27

+17

A14/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

32-28

A16/01

Liga A

Atenas

32-28

A20/01

Liga A

Atenas

40-34

H22/01

Liga A

La Union

#16

43-40

H27/01

Liga A

Regatas

41-46

-5

H29/01

Liga A

Argentino

43-30

+13

A01/02

Liga A

73.9Avg total

38.5Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	35.8	71.9	+0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.8	39.3	79.1	+0.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.9	32.7	65.6	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	35.4	73.9	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	35.6	75.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.3	39.0	75.3	-2.7	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	36.0	36.1	72.1	-0.1	35%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.0	34.0	73.0	+5.0	67%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.4	40.9	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.8	45.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.9	19.4	39.2	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.6	42.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (23)	19.8	20.4	40.3	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	18.0	41.7	+5.7	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	18.9	38.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.6	43.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.5	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	19.9	42.2	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	22.9	40.8	-4.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	16.3	24.0	40.3	-7.7	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	20.8	21.5	42.3	-0.7	39%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.0	20.3	36.3	-4.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	39.9	80.8	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	37.8	78.2	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.3	42.4	83.6	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	41.4	86.3	+3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	41.4	86.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	43.0	73.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.2	42.4	81.6	-3.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	42.0	38.8	80.8	+3.2	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	41.8	82.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	39.1	82.4	+4.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	44.2	81.6	-6.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	42.8	80.1	-5.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	44.4	83.4	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	35.3	46.0	81.3	-10.7	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	40.6	41.9	82.5	-1.3	52%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.7	38.3	78.0	+1.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Quimsa wins

Date	Game	Score
21/12/13	Quimsa v Penarol	76-82
07/04/13	Quimsa v Penarol	77-81
05/04/13	Quimsa v Penarol	88-77
01/04/13	Penarol v Quimsa	70-67
30/03/13	Penarol v Quimsa	92-80
26/01/13	Quimsa v Penarol	94-60
08/11/12	Penarol v Quimsa	66-74
03/11/12	Penarol v Quimsa	71-76
16/02/12	Quimsa v Penarol	65-62
12/12/11	Penarol v Quimsa	95-78

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/02/14	H	Atenas	83-93
30/01/14	A	Quilmes	85-82
27/01/14	A	Weber Bahia	90-80
23/01/14	A	Argentino	78-75
20/01/14	H	Argentino	108-86
18/01/14	H	Estudiantes	80-62
15/01/14	H	Sionista	86-80
11/01/14	A	Libertad	92-88
09/01/14	A	Olimpico	93-100
21/12/13	A	Quimsa	82-76

Quimsalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/02/14	A	Argentino	79-77
29/01/14	H	Regatas	74-90
27/01/14	H	La Union	94-82
22/01/14	H	Atenas	76-68
20/01/14	A	Atenas	71-83
16/01/14	A	Gimnasia	66-69
14/01/14	A	Lanus	80-69
10/01/14	A	Obras Sanitarias	77-78
08/01/14	A	Boca Juniors	65-84
21/12/13	H	Penarol	76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	76%
Home	WWWWL	87%
Away	LWWWW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	76%	87%	64%
Points / game	83.1	84.5	81.6
Allowed / game	76.6	72.9	80.6
Point differential	+6.5	+11.6	+1.0
Avg total	159.7	157.5	162.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	53%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	88% (8)	67% (3)	100% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Quimsa

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	48%
Home	WWWWL	79%
Away	LWLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	48%	79%	20%
Points / game	77.5	85.6	69.9
Allowed / game	78.8	79.8	77.9
Point differential	-1.3	+5.8	-8.0
Avg total	156.3	165.4	147.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	29%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	100% (4)	20% (5)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	29	26	3	90%	84.7	72.9	+11.8
2	Penarol	29	22	7	76%	83.1	76.6	+6.5
3	Boca Juniors	30	18	12	60%	75.2	70.2	+5.1
4	Gimnasia	30	18	12	60%	76.1	74.8	+1.2
5	Libertad	30	17	13	57%	78.4	76.6	+1.8
6	Quilmes	30	17	13	57%	79.2	80.5	-1.3
7	Atenas	29	16	13	55%	78.3	78.9	-0.6
8	Obras Sanitarias	29	15	14	52%	73.3	73.3	+0.0
9	Quimsa	29	14	15	48%	77.5	78.8	-1.3
10	Sionista	30	14	16	47%	74.3	73.9	+0.4
11	Olimpico	30	14	16	47%	76.5	76.8	-0.3
12	Estudiantes	29	11	18	38%	72.3	74.7	-2.3
13	Argentino	30	11	19	37%	72.8	76.7	-3.9
14	Weber Bahia	30	9	21	30%	74.4	78.5	-4.2
15	La Union	29	7	22	24%	75.2	83.0	-7.7
16	Lanus	27	6	21	22%	70.3	75.6	-5.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	20	23	35	19	97
Quimsa	12	15	29	29	85

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Quimsa Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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