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Penarol vs Racing de Chivilcoy Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#11
Record3-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game82.5
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Penarol v Racing de Chivilcoy
29 Jan 2027
PENA v RACI
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
PENA92
RACI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Racing de Chivilcoy win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
85avg 76
H20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
91-97
91
97
-6
81avg 76
A24/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 76
A26/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 76
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 76
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
62-57
62
57
+5
54avg 76
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 76
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#16
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 76
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
95-76
95
76
+19
86avg 76
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A31/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
22-22
23-18
17-15
30-29
13-24
21-17
27-27
25-21
18-29
20-12
15-18
22-20
18-23
25-21
22-11
19-22
23-26
10-22
16-14
17-14
13-15
14-6
18-22
18-26
27-17
26-23
13-11
28-22
17-22
26-18
21-23
23-11
25-21
24-25
23-19
19-15
11-23
20-21
23-19
160.6Avg total
81.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.274.6155.8+6.680%
Season at home (2)78.566.5145.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)83.080.0163.0+3.067%
Last 10 (10)81.778.9160.6+2.860%
Last 5 (5)81.274.6155.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.581.0152.5-9.550%
vs Similar (22)81.680.1161.7+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.781.8166.5+2.850%
This opponent (Racing de Chivilcoy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Racing de ChivilcoyArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChivilcoy
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
81avg 71
A31/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
82avg 71
H10/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
80-66
80
66
+14
73avg 71
H12/04
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
65avg 71
H18/04
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
126-123 OT
126
123
+3
114avg 71
H09/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
63avg 71
H11/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 71
A14/10
Liga A
La Union
#13
W
74-68 OT
74
68
+6
65avg 71
A16/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#9
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 71
H24/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
54-68
54
68
-14
39avg 71
H25/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
23-19
20-26
12-14
21-17
21-23
19-21
30-23
17-14
28-19
16-19
19-14
19-16
16-27
24-22
17-28
30-18
16-23
19-23
25-26
18-20
19-17
16-16
19-25
17-23
27-22
19-18
21-15
9-19
18-19
21-12
17-15
15-21
28-23
12-21
17-15
16-17
8-19
16-14
14-18
164.6Avg total
81.8Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.382.5162.8-2.250%
Season at home (4)81.087.2168.2-6.225%
Season away (2)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.882.8164.6-1.050%
Last 5 (5)71.274.4145.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.180.8154.9-6.825%
vs Similar (14)80.079.9159.9+0.157%
vs Weaker (4)94.094.5188.5-0.550%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
PenarolRacing de Chivilcoy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#16
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A31/10
Liga A
84.0Avg total
41.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.282.1-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.039.877.8-1.838%-
Last 30 away (17)41.444.085.4-2.641%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.784.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.276.8+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (22)39.442.381.7-2.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.841.782.5-0.850%-
This opponent (Racing de Chivilcoy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Racing de ChivilcoyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A31/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H12/04
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H18/04
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H09/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H11/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A14/10
Liga A
La Union
#13
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A16/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H24/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H25/10
Liga A
78.8Avg total
39.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.179.6-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.138.879.9+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)37.641.779.4-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.778.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.075.0-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.241.878.9-4.633%-
vs Similar (14)40.338.078.3+2.357%-
vs Weaker (4)43.842.886.5+1.050%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.5
68.4%
72.7%17.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Racing de Chivilcoytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Racing de Chivilcoy: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
54.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.9
32.7%
32.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.517.7
69.4%
72.7%17.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
LWWWWLWLLW
Racing de Chivilcoy
LLWWLWLWWL
#2
League position
#11
+4.1
Net rating
-1.3
113.4
Offensive rating
107.8
109.3
Defensive rating
109.1
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.3%
3-point %
32.7%
48.4%
Assist %
48.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 107.8Defence109.3 · 109.1Shooting52.9% · 50.2%3-point %32.3% · 32.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Penarol   ■ Racing de Chivilcoy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Penarol wins
0
Racing de Chivilcoy wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Penarol v Racing de Chivilcoy92-64
15/01/26Racing de Chivilcoy v Penarol85-91 OT
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AQuimsa73-78
28/10/26HSan Martin95-76
17/10/26ASan Lorenzo92-85
14/10/26ALanus84-77
30/09/26HGimnasia62-57
03/05/26HFerro68-84
01/05/26HFerro87-75
26/04/26AFerro78-80
24/04/26AFerro91-97
20/04/26HFerro87-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HQuimsa54-68
24/10/26HBoca Juniors72-80
16/10/26ALa Union74-68 OT
14/10/26AObera TC84-78
11/10/26HGimnasia72-78
09/10/26HSan Martin126-123 OT
18/04/26HRegatas76-93
12/04/26HSan Lorenzo80-66
10/04/26HObera TC91-84
31/03/26APlatense89-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game81.278.583.0
Allowed / game74.666.580.0
Point differential+6.6+12.0+3.0
Avg total155.8145.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Racing de Chivilcoy
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%25%100%
Points / game80.381.079.0
Allowed / game82.587.273.0
Point differential-2.2-6.2+6.0
Avg total162.8168.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%25%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa660100%84.373.8+10.5
2 Penarol54180%81.274.6+6.6
3 Atenas43175%84.881.2+3.5
4 Instituto de Cordoba43175%79.078.2+0.8
5 Gimnasia75271%78.975.1+3.7
6 Olimpico53260%88.683.8+4.8
7 Argentino53260%80.678.8+1.8
8 Independiente de Oliva21150%100.095.0+5.0
9 Boca Juniors63350%88.285.0+3.2
10 Platense63350%80.380.3+0.0
11 Racing de Chivilcoy63350%80.382.5-2.2
12 Lanus83538%75.879.0-3.2
13 La Union31233%81.384.0-2.7
14 Ferro62433%82.085.5-3.5
15 Regatas41325%74.878.2-3.5
16 San Lorenzo41325%76.280.8-4.5
17 Obera TC51420%73.481.2-7.8
18 San Martin6060%84.895.2-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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