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Penarol vs Racing de Chivilcoy Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 92-64
17-19 14-20 31-10 30-15
Position#11
Record14-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.7
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#14
Record9-19
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game81.9
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penarol v Racing de Chivilcoy
29 Jan 2027
PENA v RACI
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
PENA92
RACI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Racing de Chivilcoy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
L
83-84
83
84
-1
72avg 72
A13/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
no box
A15/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
77-73
77
73
+4
74avg 72
H22/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 72
H24/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
66-89
66
89
-23
56avg 72
A03/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
87-74
87
74
+13
82avg 72
A05/02
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
69-74
69
74
-5
60avg 72
H15/02
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
78avg 72
A20/02
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
82avg 72
A22/02
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
79-72
79
72
+7
76avg 72
H07/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
19-13
33-29
13-17
15-26
20-21
18-18
23-11
27-19
18-22
19-16
13-16
20-25
11-16
14-18
28-22
16-20
25-25
13-19
12-25
20-13
25-24
24-19
18-18
19-24
15-15
20-15
15-20
19-18
32-29
16-28
17-13
23-14
17-17
29-20
17-16
23-24
20-12
19-15
17-21
158.2Avg total
79.5Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.280.7160.9-0.554%
Season at home (14)79.178.1157.1+1.064%
Season away (12)81.683.8165.3-2.242%
Last 10 (10)79.578.7158.2+0.850%
Last 5 (5)81.075.0156.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.585.0159.5-10.550%
vs Similar ◀ (21)81.480.7162.0+0.757%
vs Weaker (5)89.676.0165.6+13.660%
This opponent (Racing de Chivilcoy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Racing de ChivilcoyArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChivilcoy
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
no box
H15/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A18/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
78-90
78
90
-12
62avg 67
A20/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
65-75
65
75
-10
57avg 67
A26/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
82-73
82
73
+9
80avg 67
H30/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
68avg 67
H13/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
74-77
74
77
-3
56avg 67
A19/02
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
90-98
90
98
-8
82avg 67
A04/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
79avg 67
H07/03
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
A11/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
21-20
18-18
11-23
13-27
19-19
26-14
15-18
20-28
17-20
21-22
20-20
13-22
17-22
22-20
13-11
17-21
18-25
26-10
21-17
27-22
22-23
14-25
21-16
14-30
23-8
21-20
16-19
23-23
24-28
23-21
20-26
22-21
22-20
25-19
20-24
20-19
24-21
20-21
17-19
163.3Avg total
80.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.681.9160.5-3.332%
Season at home (12)78.980.8159.7-1.833%
Season away (16)78.482.8161.2-4.431%
Last 10 (10)80.183.2163.3-3.130%
Last 5 (5)83.685.0168.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.582.3157.7-6.827%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.380.8161.1-0.540%
vs Weaker (2)83.088.5171.5-5.50%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
PenarolRacing de Chivilcoy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H22/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H24/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A03/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A05/02
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/02
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A20/02
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A22/02
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/03
Liga A
80.4Avg total
40.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.383.5+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.640.682.3+1.047%-
Last 30 away (13)42.942.285.2+0.746%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.280.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.080.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.246.589.8-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)41.741.182.8+0.552%-
vs Weaker (5)43.638.081.6+5.640%-
This opponent (Racing de Chivilcoy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Racing de ChivilcoyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H15/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A18/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A26/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H30/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H13/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A19/02
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A04/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H07/03
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A11/03
Liga A
83.6Avg total
40.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.042.381.3-3.236%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.841.881.7-2.042%-
Last 30 away (16)38.442.681.1-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.483.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.087.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.544.582.1-7.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.740.680.3-0.933%-
vs Weaker (2)42.542.585.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.9
54.3%
53.7%35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.3
36.7%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.115.1
71.6%
71.5%15.1
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Racing de Chivilcoytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Racing de Chivilcoy: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.1 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.6
52.4%
53.7%41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.2
30.1%
32.9%21.7
🏀 Free throws20.313.9
68.3%
71.5%13.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/9 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWLLWLLWWL
Racing de Chivilcoy
WWLLLWLLLL
#11
League position
#14
+2.4
Net rating
-9.7
111.2
Offensive rating
106.6
108.8
Defensive rating
116.3
54.7%
Effective FG%
49.6%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.7%
3-point %
30.1%
48.4%
Assist %
39.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 106.6Defence108.8 · 116.3Shooting54.7% · 49.6%3-point %36.7% · 30.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Penarol   ■ Racing de Chivilcoy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penarol wins
0
Racing de Chivilcoy wins
DateGameScore
15/01/26Racing de Chivilcoy v Penarol85-91 OT
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HPlatense79-72
22/02/26ARegatas86-67
20/02/26ASan Martin84-88
15/02/26HArgentino69-74
05/02/26AOlimpico87-74
03/02/26AQuimsa66-89
24/01/26HObras Sanitarias73-81
22/01/26HGimnasia77-73
15/01/26ARacing de Chivilcoy91-85 OT
13/01/26AArgentino83-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26AFerro81-80
07/03/26HIndependiente de Oliva89-84
04/03/26AArgentino90-98
19/02/26AGimnasia74-77
13/02/26HBoca Juniors84-86
30/01/26HOlimpico82-73
26/01/26AObras Sanitarias65-75
20/01/26ALa Union78-90
18/01/26AObera TC73-78
15/01/26HPenarol85-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW54%
HomeLWLLW64%
AwayWLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %54%64%42%
Points / game80.279.181.6
Allowed / game80.778.183.8
Point differential-0.5+1.0-2.2
Avg total160.9157.1165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Racing de Chivilcoy
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW32%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %32%33%31%
Points / game78.678.978.4
Allowed / game81.980.882.8
Point differential-3.3-1.8-4.4
Avg total160.5159.7161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)20% (5)33% (9)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ferro2718967%85.282.8+2.4
2 Independiente de Oliva2617965%86.180.2+5.9
3 Quimsa28181064%82.175.5+6.6
4 Gimnasia29181162%81.175.8+5.2
5 Obera TC26161062%80.676.0+4.6
6 Obras Sanitarias25151060%81.378.6+2.7
7 La Union29171259%80.679.1+1.4
8 Regatas26151158%76.774.2+2.5
9 Boca Juniors27151256%81.377.8+3.4
10 Penarol26141254%80.280.7-0.5
11 Instituto de Cordoba28151354%75.975.4+0.5
12 San Martin29131645%74.975.7-0.8
13 Union De Santa Fe25111444%81.584.1-2.6
14 Olimpico28111739%78.479.2-0.8
15 Platense27101737%81.384.5-3.3
16 Atenas2591636%74.879.7-4.8
17 San Lorenzo28101836%78.982.9-4.0
18 Racing de Chivilcoy2891932%78.681.9-3.3
19 Argentino2762122%73.889.3-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol1714313092
Racing de Chivilcoy1920101564
← all games of the day
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