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Penarol vs San Martin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 95-76
23-11 25-21 24-25 23-19
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game73.0
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#18
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game98.8
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Penarol v San Martin
27 Oct 2026
PENA95
SAN 76
12 Nov 2025
PENA75
SAN 72
27 Nov 2024
PENA87
SAN 61
03 Jun 2024
PENA70
SAN 56
01 Jun 2024
PENA66
SAN 54
14 Apr 2024
PENA69
SAN 76
12 Mar 2023
PENA77
SAN 61
01 Mar 2022
PENA91
SAN 89
07 Feb 2021
PENA92
SAN 98
05 Feb 2020
PENA95
SAN 102
01 Apr 2019
PENA112
SAN 88
02 Mar 2018
PENA69
SAN 81
31 Mar 2017
PENA80
SAN 70
12 Apr 2016
PENA98
SAN 93
18 Mar 2015
PENA81
SAN 74
19 Dec 2011
PENA95
SAN 81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Martin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
74avg 74
A15/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
75avg 74
A17/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
85avg 74
H20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
91-97
91
97
-6
81avg 74
A24/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 74
A26/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 74
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 74
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#4
W
62-57
62
57
+5
54avg 74
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 74
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 74
A17/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
20-22
29-27
14-20
18-26
17-21
21-15
25-22
25-25
22-22
23-18
17-15
30-29
13-24
21-17
27-27
25-21
18-29
20-12
15-18
22-20
18-23
25-21
22-11
19-22
23-26
10-22
16-14
17-14
13-15
14-6
18-22
18-26
27-17
26-23
13-11
28-22
17-22
26-18
21-23
162.5Avg total
81.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.373.0152.3+6.3100%
Season at home (1)62.057.0119.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)88.081.0169.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.581.0162.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)78.675.6154.2+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.581.0152.5-9.550%
vs Similar (21)83.081.1164.1+1.952%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.377.0157.3+3.357%
This opponent (San Martin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San MartinArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMartin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
W
78-67
78
67
+11
71avg 71
H13/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
79-77
79
77
+2
72avg 71
A17/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
68-89
68
89
-21
60avg 71
A20/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
95-98
95
98
-3
89avg 71
A25/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 71
A28/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
97-101
97
101
-4
85avg 71
H01/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 71
H01/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
L
123-126 OT
123
126
-3
116avg 71
A09/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 71
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#7
L
86-106
86
106
-20
78avg 71
H21/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
19-11
15-18
28-19
14-15
18-22
27-17
20-23
18-29
18-16
13-17
19-27
21-21
23-25
14-26
37-26
16-28
27-17
24-16
14-22
28-18
20-25
22-26
27-32
19-22
23-19
12-17
19-23
18-30
23-16
23-19
26-25
24-28
16-17
16-15
23-22
23-30
20-19
20-34
23-23
176.9Avg total
85.9Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.298.8189.0-8.50%
Season at home (2)79.593.5173.0-14.00%
Season away (2)101.0104.0205.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)85.991.0176.9-5.120%
Last 5 (5)91.699.2190.8-7.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.385.5162.8-8.215%
vs Similar (16)79.282.2161.4-3.038%
vs Weaker (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
PenarolSan Martin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A15/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A17/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#4
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/10
Liga A
86.0Avg total
41.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.582.4-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.340.477.6-3.129%-
Last 30 away (16)42.144.486.5-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)41.244.886.0-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.481.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (21)40.443.283.6-2.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.440.377.7-2.943%-
This opponent (San Martin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San MartinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H13/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A17/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A20/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A25/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A28/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H01/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H01/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A09/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H21/10
Liga A
83.1Avg total
40.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.241.677.8-5.417%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.339.977.2-2.527%-
Last 30 away (15)35.143.378.3-8.27%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.783.1-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.887.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.643.080.6-5.423%-
vs Similar (16)35.340.375.6-5.012%-
vs Weaker (1)32.043.075.0-11.00%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.5
55.9%
54.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
32.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws25.817.6
68.2%
72.7%17.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Martintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Martin: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.6
54.4%
54.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.6
38.1%
32.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.813.9
66.8%
72.7%13.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWLWLLWLL
San Martin
LLLLLLLLWW
#2
League position
#18
+0.7
Net rating
-6.8
111.7
Offensive rating
114.5
111.1
Defensive rating
121.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
55.5%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.0%
3-point %
38.1%
47.8%
Assist %
45.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 114.5Defence111.1 · 121.3Shooting52.5% · 55.5%3-point %32.0% · 38.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Penarol   ■ San Martin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Penarol wins
5
San Martin wins
DateGameScore
20/02/26San Martin v Penarol88-84
13/11/25Penarol v San Martin75-72
06/03/25San Martin v Penarol76-55
27/11/24Penarol v San Martin87-61
04/06/24Penarol v San Martin70-56
02/06/24Penarol v San Martin66-54
30/05/24San Martin v Penarol70-72
28/05/24San Martin v Penarol87-70
14/04/24Penarol v San Martin69-76
03/02/24San Martin v Penarol73-56
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26ASan Lorenzo92-85
14/10/26ALanus84-77
30/09/26HGimnasia62-57
03/05/26HFerro68-84
01/05/26HFerro87-75
26/04/26AFerro78-80
24/04/26AFerro91-97
20/04/26HFerro87-80
17/04/26AObera TC81-84
15/04/26ALa Union85-91
San Martinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26HOlimpico86-106
11/10/26AArgentino79-82
09/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy123-126 OT
01/10/26HInstituto de Cordoba73-81
01/05/26HBoca Juniors97-101
28/04/26ABoca Juniors81-83
25/04/26ABoca Juniors95-98
20/04/26AUnion De Santa Fe68-89
17/04/26APlatense79-77
13/04/26HOlimpico78-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.362.088.0
Allowed / game73.057.081.0
Point differential+6.3+5.0+7.0
Avg total152.3119.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Martin
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game90.279.5101.0
Allowed / game98.893.5104.0
Point differential-8.5-14.0-3.0
Avg total189.0173.0205.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa550100%85.674.0+11.6
2 Penarol330100%79.373.0+6.3
3 Atenas43175%84.881.2+3.5
4 Instituto de Cordoba43175%79.078.2+0.8
5 Gimnasia64267%79.877.5+2.3
6 Olimpico53260%88.683.8+4.8
7 Argentino53260%80.678.8+1.8
8 Independiente de Oliva21150%100.095.0+5.0
9 Racing de Chivilcoy63350%80.382.5-2.2
10 Boca Juniors52340%86.885.4+1.4
11 Ferro52340%86.288.0-1.8
12 Platense52340%80.484.8-4.4
13 San Lorenzo31233%82.381.0+1.3
14 Regatas31233%72.072.7-0.7
15 La Union31233%81.384.0-2.7
16 Lanus72529%75.080.0-5.0
17 Obera TC51420%73.481.2-7.8
18 San Martin4040%90.298.8-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2325242395
San Martin1121251976
← all games of the day
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