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Penn State vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 81-70
40-24 41-46
Position#185
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#72
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penn State v Purdue
20 Jan 2027
PENN v PURD
upcoming
05 Dec 2024
PENN81
PURD70
08 Jan 2023
PENN63
PURD76
08 Jan 2022
PENN67
PURD74
26 Feb 2021
PENN52
PURD73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#347
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H14/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A15/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
108-66
108
66
+42
H05/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#280
W
103-54
103
54
+49
H08/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H13/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H16/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H21/11
NCAA
Fordham
#313
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H25/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A26/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-22
33-35
27-32
32-29
54-23
54-43
43-28
60-26
45-38
47-24
37-29
49-35
41-47
61-42
42-34
43-32
36-38
31-37
38-28
49-36
151.3Avg total
85.5Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.267.5158.8+23.888%
Season at home (7)94.766.4161.1+28.3100%
Season away (1)67.075.0142.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)85.565.8151.3+19.780%
Last 5 (5)85.471.6157.0+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.583.2152.7-13.717%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.572.6150.1+4.956%
vs Weaker (8)88.263.2151.5+25.0100%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#94
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H06/04
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A09/04
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
90-73
90
73
+17
H04/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H09/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A20/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
80-45
80
45
+35
H23/11
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A28/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
28-21
30-36
30-39
49-33
41-40
37-24
35-26
45-34
47-50
42-40
45-38
28-35
30-41
39-24
41-21
33-32
38-29
42-34
38-44
142.3Avg total
75.3Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.868.1146.9+10.688%
Season at home (6)83.568.0151.5+15.5100%
Season away (2)64.568.5133.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)75.367.0142.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)75.267.6142.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.079.5155.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.069.4147.4+8.688%
vs Weaker (20)81.067.0148.0+14.090%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +12.0+12.02nd half: +2.4+2.4
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +12.0+12.02nd half: +2.4+2.4
Penn StatePurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#347
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H14/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A15/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H05/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#280
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H08/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H13/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H16/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H21/11
NCAA
Fordham
#313
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H01/12
NCAA
71.5Avg total
39.6Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.534.671.1+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.933.172.9+6.879%-
Last 30 away (11)30.637.267.8-6.518%-
Last 10 (10)39.631.971.5+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.274.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.044.376.3-12.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.533.269.8+3.262%-
vs Weaker (8)39.929.969.8+10.088%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#94
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H06/04
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A09/04
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H04/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H12/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/11
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A20/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H23/11
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A28/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/11
NCAA
70.1Avg total
38.0Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.632.472.1+7.280%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.132.273.3+8.990%-
Last 30 away (10)36.732.969.6+3.860%-
Last 10 (10)38.032.170.1+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.069.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.535.072.5+2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.834.573.2+4.275%-
vs Weaker (20)40.231.471.6+8.985%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penn State wins
8
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Purdue v Penn State95-78
12/03/23Purdue v Penn State67-65
01/02/23Purdue v Penn State80-60
08/01/23Penn State v Purdue63-76
12/03/22Purdue v Penn State69-61
08/01/22Penn State v Purdue67-74
27/02/21Penn State v Purdue52-73
17/01/21Purdue v Penn State80-72
11/02/20Purdue v Penn State76-88
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HBuffalo87-64
26/11/24AClemson67-75
25/11/24HFordham85-66
21/11/24HIPFW102-89
16/11/24HVirginia Tech86-64
13/11/24HSt. Francis (PA)92-62
08/11/24HUMBC Retrievers103-54
05/11/24HBinghamton108-66
15/03/24AIndiana59-61
14/03/24HMichigan66-57
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24HOle Miss80-78
28/11/24ANC State71-61
23/11/24HMarshall80-45
20/11/24AMarquette58-76
16/11/24HAlabama87-78
12/11/24HYale92-84
09/11/24HNorthern Kentucky72-50
04/11/24HTexas A&M-CC90-73
09/04/24AUconn60-75
06/04/24HNC State63-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %88%100%0%
Points / game91.294.767.0
Allowed / game67.566.475.0
Point differential+23.8+28.3-8.0
Avg total158.8161.1142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Purdue
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %88%100%50%
Points / game78.883.564.5
Allowed / game68.168.068.5
Point differential+10.6+15.5-4.0
Avg total146.9151.5133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon990100%79.967.7+12.2
2 Maryland98189%86.358.7+27.7
3 Wisconsin98189%82.969.0+13.9
4 UCLA87188%78.253.1+25.1
5 Penn State87188%91.267.5+23.8
6 Michigan87188%79.160.6+18.5
7 Iowa87188%86.571.9+14.6
8 Purdue87188%78.868.1+10.6
9 Illinois76186%89.161.4+27.7
10 Nebraska76186%83.368.0+15.3
11 Michigan State97278%81.670.1+11.4
12 Indiana86275%80.870.9+9.9
13 Washington75271%70.067.1+2.9
14 Northwestern96367%73.364.4+8.9
15 Ohio State85362%82.566.2+16.2
16 Rutgers85362%81.475.0+6.4
17 Minnesota106460%65.262.0+3.2
18 USC95456%71.971.7+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State404181
Purdue244670
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