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Penn State vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 63-76
37-31 26-45
Position#105
Record11-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game66.9
Penn State
USA
vs
Purdue 🏆
USA
Position#14
Record14-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game61.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Penn State v Purdue
20 Jan 2027
PENN v PURD
upcoming
05 Dec 2024
PENN81
PURD70
08 Jan 2023
PENN63
PURD76
08 Jan 2022
PENN67
PURD74
26 Feb 2021
PENN52
PURD73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A20/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
94-101 OT
94
101
-7
A30/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H07/12
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A10/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H18/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#124
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H22/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H29/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H01/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-21
35-35
42-32
28-25
35-29
36-42
35-35
23-32
47-38
27-21
42-36
55-31
33-23
44-45
27-22
33-24
44-26
39-53
34-42
35-37
142.9Avg total
75.0Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.566.9142.4+8.773%
Season at home (10)76.964.7141.6+12.290%
Season away (5)72.871.2144.0+1.640%
Last 10 (10)75.067.9142.9+7.170%
Last 5 (5)77.267.8145.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)65.168.0133.1-2.943%
vs Similar (16)67.865.3133.1+2.450%
vs Weaker (7)78.365.4143.7+12.986%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#39
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H27/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A01/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H04/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H08/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
A10/12
NCAA
Davidson
#208
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H17/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
82-49
82
49
+33
H29/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-35
29-21
34-32
45-37
42-27
47-43
54-34
31-32
34-24
22-32
28-27
41-34
41-21
33-32
42-29
40-20
24-34
40-31
33-36
38-33
137.3Avg total
75.3Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.961.4137.3+14.593%
Season at home (10)76.058.7134.7+17.390%
Season away (5)75.866.8142.6+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.362.0137.3+13.390%
Last 5 (5)72.059.4131.4+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)76.867.1143.9+9.675%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)72.764.2136.9+8.582%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +5.1+5.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +5.1+5.1
Penn StatePurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A20/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H07/12
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A10/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#124
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A05/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
37.2Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.930.962.8+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.129.863.9+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)29.132.461.5-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)37.230.467.6+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)36.029.865.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)27.632.059.6-4.429%-
vs Similar (16)31.629.861.4+1.838%-
vs Weaker (7)37.032.369.3+4.786%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#39
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A01/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H04/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H08/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A10/12
NCAA
Davidson
#208
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H17/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A06/01
NCAA
67.7Avg total
37.8Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.530.065.5+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (21)36.529.265.8+7.381%-
Last 30 away (9)33.231.865.0+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)37.829.967.7+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)33.629.463.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)36.633.570.1+3.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)35.128.763.9+6.482%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penn State wins
4
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
12/03/22Purdue v Penn State69-61
08/01/22Penn State v Purdue67-74
27/02/21Penn State v Purdue52-73
17/01/21Purdue v Penn State80-72
11/02/20Purdue v Penn State76-88
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23AMichigan69-79
01/01/23HIowa83-79
29/12/22HDelaware State60-46
22/12/22HQuinnipiac77-68
18/12/22HCanisius97-67
10/12/22AIllinois74-59
07/12/22HMichigan State58-67
30/11/22AClemson94-101 OT
26/11/22HLafayette70-57
20/11/22AColorado State68-56
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23AOhio State71-69
03/01/23HRutgers64-65
29/12/22HFlorida A&M82-49
22/12/22HNew Orleans74-53
17/12/22HDavidson69-61
10/12/22ANebraska65-62 OT
08/12/22HHofstra85-66
04/12/22HMinnesota89-70
01/12/22AFlorida State79-69
27/11/22HDuke75-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %73%90%40%
Points / game75.576.972.8
Allowed / game66.964.771.2
Point differential+8.7+12.2+1.6
Avg total142.4141.6144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%20%
Purdue
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW93%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %93%90%100%
Points / game75.976.075.8
Allowed / game61.458.766.8
Point differential+14.5+17.3+9.0
Avg total137.3134.7142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%70%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1514193%75.961.4+14.5
2 UCLA1614288%77.860.8+17.0
3 Northwestern1512380%68.858.9+9.9
4 Wisconsin1411379%68.562.4+6.1
5 Penn State1511473%75.566.9+8.7
6 Michigan State1511473%70.464.9+5.5
7 Rutgers1611569%71.556.2+15.3
8 Maryland1611569%71.863.9+7.9
9 USC1611569%71.466.2+5.2
10 Ohio State1510567%79.765.9+13.7
11 Indiana1510567%80.968.3+12.6
12 Illinois1510567%76.964.7+12.3
13 Iowa1610662%81.472.1+9.3
14 Michigan159660%74.968.7+6.3
15 Oregon169756%68.364.9+3.4
16 Nebraska169756%68.166.2+1.9
17 Washington179853%68.568.0+0.5
18 Minnesota146843%64.367.5-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State372663
Purdue314576
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