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Penn vs Harvard Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#320
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#218
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game62.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Penn v Harvard
16 Jan 2027
PENN v HARV
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
PENN64
HARV61
22 Feb 2025
PENN78
HARV79
20 Jan 2024
PENN61
HARV70
28 Jan 2023
PENN83
HARV68
12 Feb 2022
PENN82
HARV74
31 Jan 2020
PENN75
HARV72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Harvard win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PennUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#272
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H28/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A07/03
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
62-60 OT
62
60
+2
A14/03
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
A15/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
70-105
70
105
-35
A20/03
NCAA
Illinois
#86
L
70-112
70
112
-42
A06/11
NCAA
Howard
#180
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Navy
#85
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A11/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-42
46-29
21-31
43-30
44-34
38-27
30-26
23-27
41-39
34-36
30-40
40-65
30-53
40-59
25-31
53-34
34-36
42-45
41-37
36-46
153.0Avg total
74.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.285.2160.5-10.025%
Season at home (1)78.065.0143.0+13.0100%
Season away (3)74.392.0166.3-17.70%
Last 10 (10)74.778.3153.0-3.660%
Last 5 (5)74.289.2163.4-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.984.6156.5-12.718%
vs Similar (13)76.468.7145.1+7.785%
vs Weaker (6)72.268.7140.8+3.567%
This opponent (Harvard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HarvardUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#22
L
75-76 OT
75
76
-1
H14/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A21/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
60-62 OT
60
62
-2
H14/03
NCAA
MIT
#409
W
73-45
73
45
+28
H03/11
NCAA
Chicago Maroons
#367
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A08/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#238
L
70-74 OT
70
74
-4
A11/11
NCAA
George Washington
#23
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
32-36
25-24
48-30
21-33
37-23
31-21
30-43
38-33
43-38
26-30
27-23
39-22
34-23
35-20
28-27
19-29
41-31
33-40
24-45
130.5Avg total
67.1Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)65.862.8128.5+3.050%
Season at home (1)73.045.0118.0+28.0100%
Season away (3)63.368.7132.0-5.333%
Last 10 (10)67.163.4130.5+3.750%
Last 5 (5)64.662.6127.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.577.8142.2-13.225%
vs Similar (14)69.365.8135.1+3.557%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)70.665.9136.5+4.760%
This opponent (Penn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +2.5+2.5
PennHarvard
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PennLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dartmouth
#272
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H28/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A14/03
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A15/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A20/03
NCAA
Illinois
#86
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A06/11
NCAA
Howard
#180
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H09/11
NCAA
Navy
#85
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A11/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
33.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.935.470.3-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.834.668.4-0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)35.736.171.8-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)33.036.969.9-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.039.471.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.938.972.8-5.036%-
vs Similar (13)35.334.469.7+0.946%-
vs Weaker (6)35.731.367.0+4.383%-
This opponent (Harvard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HarvardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#22
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H14/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
31-21
31
21
+10
A28/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H14/03
NCAA
MIT
#409
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H03/11
NCAA
Chicago Maroons
#367
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A08/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#238
L
19-29
19
29
-10
A11/11
NCAA
George Washington
#23
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A14/11
NCAA
58.3Avg total
30.1Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.930.662.5+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.530.164.5+4.473%-
Last 30 away (19)30.530.961.4-0.458%-
Last 10 (10)30.128.258.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)30.428.258.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.234.266.5-2.050%-
vs Similar (14)31.629.461.0+2.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)31.232.864.0-1.650%-
This opponent (Penn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Penn wins
4
Harvard wins
DateGameScore
14/03/26Harvard v Penn60-62 OT
28/02/26Penn v Harvard64-61
19/01/26Harvard v Penn64-63
22/02/25Penn v Harvard78-79 OT
20/01/25Harvard v Penn67-82
25/02/24Harvard v Penn74-70
20/01/24Penn v Harvard61-70
11/02/23Harvard v Penn72-80
28/01/23Penn v Harvard83-68
12/02/22Penn v Harvard82-74
Pennlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASaint Josephs Hawks77-83
11/11/26ANavy76-81
09/11/26HHoward78-65
06/11/26AIllinois70-112
20/03/26AIllinois70-105
15/03/26AYale88-84 OT
14/03/26AHarvard62-60 OT
07/03/26ABrown82-61
28/02/26HHarvard64-61
28/02/26HDartmouth80-71
Harvardlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGeorge Washington57-85
11/11/26ANortheastern70-74 OT
08/11/26AChicago Maroons63-47
03/11/26HMIT73-45
14/03/26HPenn60-62 OT
07/03/26HColumbia81-71
28/02/26APenn61-64
28/02/26APrinceton58-56
21/02/26ACornell73-54
14/02/26HYale75-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game75.278.074.3
Allowed / game85.265.092.0
Point differential-10.0+13.0-17.7
Avg total160.5143.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Harvard
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game65.873.063.3
Allowed / game62.845.068.7
Point differential+3.0+28.0-5.3
Avg total128.5118.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Columbia43175%85.864.0+21.8
2 Dartmouth43175%83.066.5+16.5
3 Princeton43175%68.861.2+7.5
4 Harvard42250%65.862.8+3.0
5 Cornell42250%78.275.8+2.5
6 Penn41325%75.285.2-10.0
7 Yale41325%70.280.8-10.5
8 Brown51420%68.470.2-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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