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Perth Lynx W vs Geelong United W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 95-77
24-18 28-12 25-20 18-27
Position#2
Record14-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game79.3
Perth Lynx W 🏆
Australia
vs
Geelong United W
Australia
Position#8
Record6-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game82.5
AustraliaNBL WRound 15· Bendat Basketball Centre
Women2024-25
Meetings · Perth Lynx W v Geelong United W
07 Feb 2025
PERT95
GEEL77
23 Dec 2024
PERT96
GEEL71
07 Dec 2023
PERT62
GEEL93
02 Dec 2022
PERT73
GEEL88
02 Nov 2022
PERT88
GEEL104
06 Apr 2022
PERT75
GEEL76
03 Mar 2022
PERT v GEEL
upcoming
17 Jan 2022
PERT77
GEEL80
16 Nov 2020
PERT56
GEEL62
15 Dec 2019
PERT68
GEEL66
10 Jan 2019
PERT74
GEEL60
16 Nov 2018
PERT69
GEEL89
05 Jan 2018
PERT69
GEEL78
23 Dec 2017
PERT84
GEEL66
12 Feb 2017
PERT87
GEEL81
06 Nov 2016
PERT90
GEEL59
30 Jan 2016
PERT80
GEEL59
14 Feb 2015
PERT61
GEEL64
01 Nov 2014
PERT53
GEEL68
13 Dec 2013
PERT56
GEEL87
01 Nov 2013
PERT52
GEEL74
02 Nov 2012
PERT50
GEEL78
18 Nov 2011
PERT82
GEEL90
14 Jan 2011
PERT81
GEEL95
15 Oct 2010
PERT86
GEEL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong United W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
87-63
87
63
+24
78avg 80
H12/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
71-68
71
68
+3
55avg 80
A19/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
96-71
96
71
+25
95avg 80
H23/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 80
A29/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
94-76
94
76
+18
92avg 80
H05/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
73avg 80
A12/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
73avg 80
A15/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
78avg 80
H18/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
105-83
105
83
+22
93avg 80
A25/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
69-87
69
87
-18
53avg 80
A01/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
37-20
20-14
10-19
22-16
12-22
17-14
20-16
23-19
22-17
21-17
30-18
18-23
21-23
27-18
23-16
21-14
21-21
28-16
24-25
23-18
15-19
22-16
20-24
30-23
23-22
17-20
16-30
18-21
23-33
18-12
27-12
28-24
24-23
39-10
14-26
15-28
24-18
19-16
11-25
164.1Avg total
86.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.479.3165.7+7.174%
Season at home (9)88.175.7163.8+12.478%
Season away (10)84.882.6167.4+2.270%
Last 10 (10)86.377.8164.1+8.580%
Last 5 (5)85.284.0169.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.884.8168.6-1.060%
vs Similar (10)86.089.2175.2-3.230%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.479.1167.5+9.387%
This opponent (Geelong United W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong United WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
71-96
71
96
-25
57avg 60
A23/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
61-85
61
85
-24
36avg 60
A29/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
69-89
69
89
-20
49avg 60
A05/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
64avg 60
A08/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 60
H12/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
90-70
90
70
+20
81avg 60
H17/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
73-95
73
95
-22
62avg 60
A19/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
70-89
70
89
-19
59avg 60
A25/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
60-81
60
81
-21
52avg 60
H29/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
77-91
77
91
-14
64avg 60
H01/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
17-22
17-21
18-30
14-24
19-19
14-21
14-21
15-27
20-18
9-23
25-21
9-18
21-18
21-15
25-19
18-23
19-15
16-22
24-20
22-27
24-19
32-16
12-8
22-25
15-16
13-25
23-29
20-23
19-23
20-21
11-22
18-17
22-30
15-17
5-17
25-28
16-18
13-24
23-21
157.0Avg total
72.4Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.082.5154.5-10.532%
Season at home (10)72.777.2149.9-4.540%
Season away (9)71.288.3159.6-17.122%
Last 10 (10)72.484.6157.0-12.220%
Last 5 (5)74.085.2159.2-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.082.5154.5-10.532%
vs Similar (9)78.474.7153.1+3.844%
vs Weaker (2)68.072.0140.0-4.050%
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.8-2.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.8-2.8
Perth Lynx WGeelong United W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H12/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H23/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A29/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H05/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A15/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H18/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A25/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A01/02
NBL W
85.4Avg total
44.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.444.590.0+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.542.889.3+3.862%-
Last 30 away (17)44.645.990.5-1.335%-
Last 10 (10)44.041.485.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.645.890.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.442.086.4+2.460%-
vs Similar (10)45.048.193.1-3.120%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.143.089.1+3.160%-
This opponent (Geelong United W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong United WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A23/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A29/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A05/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A08/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H17/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A19/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A25/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H29/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H01/02
NBL W
80.7Avg total
37.4Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.441.979.4-4.523%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.241.080.2-1.833%-
Last 30 away (15)35.742.978.5-7.213%-
Last 10 (10)37.443.380.7-5.90%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.285.8-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.242.979.1-6.811%-
vs Similar (9)39.939.179.0+0.856%-
vs Weaker (2)38.545.083.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perth Lynx Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth Lynx W: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.719.0
45.6%
46.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.19.6
28.2%
32.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.618.3
77.5%
75.1%18.3
They take 75.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Geelong United Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Geelong United W: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.720.9
42.1%
46.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.05.9
24.6%
32.2%17.7
🏀 Free throws17.111.9
69.6%
75.1%11.9
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth Lynx W
LWWLWWWWWW
Geelong United W
LLLLWLWLLL
#2
League position
#8
+9.7
Net rating
-15.8
101.7
Offensive rating
88.2
92.0
Defensive rating
104.0
44.1%
Effective FG%
40.4%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
20.0%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
28.2%
3-point %
24.6%
64.0%
Assist %
58.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 88.2Defence92.0 · 104.0Shooting44.1% · 40.4%3-point %28.2% · 24.6%Ball care15.7% · 20.0%Off. rebounds31.9% · 34.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Perth Lynx W   ■ Geelong United W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Perth Lynx W wins
6
Geelong United W wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Geelong United W v Perth Lynx W77-80
23/12/24Perth Lynx W v Geelong United W96-71
24/01/24Geelong United W v Perth Lynx W90-76
07/12/23Perth Lynx W v Geelong United W62-93
03/12/23Geelong United W v Perth Lynx W63-80
29/01/23Geelong United W v Perth Lynx W82-91
02/12/22Perth Lynx W v Geelong United W73-88
02/11/22Perth Lynx W v Geelong United W88-104
09/04/22Geelong United W v Perth Lynx W84-66
06/04/22Perth Lynx W v Geelong United W75-76
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AAdelaide Lightning W69-87
25/01/25ASydney W105-83
18/01/25HSouthside W86-78
15/01/25ABendigo W86-95
12/01/25AGeelong United W80-77
05/01/25HAdelaide Lightning W94-76
29/12/24ACanberra Capitals W89-80
23/12/24HGeelong United W96-71
19/12/24ABendigo W71-68
12/12/24HCanberra Capitals W87-63
Geelong United Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HCanberra Capitals W77-91
29/01/25HBendigo W60-81
25/01/25ATownsville W70-89
19/01/25ABendigo W73-95
17/01/25HSydney W90-70
12/01/25HPerth Lynx W77-80
08/01/25ASouthside W76-70
05/01/25ACanberra Capitals W69-89
29/12/24ATownsville W61-85
23/12/24APerth Lynx W71-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL74%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayWWLWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%78%70%
Points / game86.488.184.8
Allowed / game79.375.782.6
Point differential+7.1+12.4+2.2
Avg total165.7163.8167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong United W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL32%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%40%22%
Points / game72.072.771.2
Allowed / game82.577.288.3
Point differential-10.5-4.5-17.1
Avg total154.5149.9159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W2018290%85.772.2+13.5
2 Townsville W1914574%81.572.1+9.4
3 Perth Lynx W1914574%86.479.3+7.1
4 Sydney W1871139%78.883.5-4.7
5 Canberra Capitals W1971237%79.485.2-5.8
6 Adelaide Lightning W1961332%71.876.4-4.6
7 Geelong United W1961332%72.082.5-10.5
8 Southside W1941521%80.285.5-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth Lynx W2428251895
Geelong United W1812202777
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