Perth and Tasmania JackJumpers will clash on 12 November 2026 in the NBL, a game that feels almost evenly matched as neither side holds a clear advantage. Perth, 5-6 overall, averages 94.1 points and concedes 98.1, sits seventh in the standings, while at home they are 5-4, scoring 94.4 and allowing 96.4. Their last five games have yielded only one win, with recent losses to Cairns, Brisbane and Illawarra. Tasmania JackJumpers, 8-3 overall, outscore opponents 94.1 to 89.5 and occupy second place; on the road they are 3-1, averaging 104.0 points and conceding 98.2, and their last five games include four wins, including a 98-89 victory over South East Melbourne. In head-to-head history the teams have met ten times, Perth winning six and Tasmania four, with Perth's last win 94-85 on 21 December 2025. Pythia rates Tasmania 54% to Perth's 46% for a projected 93-92 finish, with a 48% chance the home side will cover the 1.0 line and a 48% chance the over 184.5 will be reached, while a 5% overtime probability lingers. Tasmania's recent 98-89 win over South East Melbourne suggests they may edge the game.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 94.1 | 98.1 | 192.2 | -4.0 | 45% |
| Season at home (9) | 94.4 | 96.4 | 190.9 | -2.0 | 56% |
| Season away (2) | 92.5 | 105.5 | 198.0 | -13.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 95.6 | 97.9 | 193.5 | -2.3 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 97.6 | 103.0 | 200.6 | -5.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 89.7 | 99.8 | 189.5 | -10.2 | 17% |
| vs Similar (15) | 91.9 | 91.3 | 183.1 | +0.6 | 53% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 98.0 | 85.6 | 183.6 | +12.4 | 89% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 94.1 | 89.5 | 183.6 | +4.5 | 73% |
| Season at home (7) | 88.4 | 84.6 | 173.0 | +3.9 | 71% |
| Season away (4) | 104.0 | 98.2 | 202.2 | +5.8 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 93.9 | 89.4 | 183.3 | +4.5 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.8 | 82.8 | 172.6 | +7.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 84.8 | 86.4 | 171.2 | -1.6 | 40% |
| vs Similar (13) | 87.0 | 89.4 | 176.4 | -2.4 | 54% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 101.7 | 89.0 | 190.7 | +12.7 | 71% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.9 | 46.9 | 92.8 | -1.1 | 47% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (19) | 45.6 | 44.5 | 90.1 | +1.2 | 53% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (11) | 46.3 | 51.2 | 97.5 | -4.9 | 36% | 73% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.0 | 50.9 | 95.9 | -5.9 | 20% | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.6 | 54.8 | 99.4 | -10.2 | 0% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 44.3 | 50.8 | 95.2 | -6.5 | 17% | 67% |
| vs Similar (15) | 45.8 | 47.3 | 93.1 | -1.5 | 47% | 67% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 47.0 | 43.7 | 90.7 | +3.3 | 67% | 44% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.6 | 44.4 | 89.0 | +0.2 | 40% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 45.0 | 42.9 | 87.9 | +2.1 | 47% | 27% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 44.2 | 45.9 | 90.1 | -1.7 | 33% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 48.2 | 42.8 | 91.0 | +5.4 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 48.0 | 42.8 | 90.8 | +5.2 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 42.5 | 43.8 | 86.3 | -1.3 | 40% | 20% |
| vs Similar (13) | 44.1 | 45.2 | 89.2 | -1.1 | 38% | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 48.6 | 43.9 | 92.4 | +4.7 | 43% | 43% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmania JackJumpers +5.5 | 70.9% | 1.48 | 1.51 | 1.50 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.45 | +9.5pp | Lost |
| Tasmania JackJumpers over 79.5 | 89.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +9.5 | 81.9% | 1.25 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | +8.6pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +7.5 | 76.9% | 1.34 | 1.36 | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.32 | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +6.5 | 74.0% | 1.41 | 1.44 | 1.42 | 1.41 | 1.38 | 1.38 | +8.1pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +8.5 | 79.5% | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Perth under 103.5 | 87.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers over 73.5 | 96.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Perth under 102.5 | 85.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers over 77.5 | 92.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers over 75.5 | 95.1% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +8 | 78.9% | 1.31 | 1.33 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers over 71.5 | 97.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Perth under 99.5 | 77.7% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Perth under 105.5 | 90.6% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +9 | 81.5% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Perth under 101.5 | 82.9% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Perth under 112.5 | 97.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Perth under 109.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +11.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Perth under 111.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers over 80.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +6 | 73.1% | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Push |
| Perth under 110.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers over 81.5 | 85.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Perth under 113.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers over 72.5 | 97.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +7 | 76.2% | 1.35 | 1.37 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +21.5 | 96.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Perth under 107.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Perth under 97.5 | 71.8% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| Perth over 72.5 | 96.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 113.5 | 97.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers over 86.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers over 84.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Perth under 104.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers over 78.5 | 91.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Perth over 71.5 | 97.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers over 82.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 111.5 | 96.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 112.5 | 96.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers over 83.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Perth under 100.5 | 80.4% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Perth over 70.5 | 97.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +16.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Perth over 74.5 | 95.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Perth under 108.5 | 94.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +19.5 | 95.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 109.5 | 94.5% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Perth under 106.5 | 92.0% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +18.5 | 95.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Perth over 73.5 | 96.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +23.5 | 97.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Perth over 75.5 | 94.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Perth +21.5 | 95.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Perth under 98.5 | 74.9% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers over 85.5 | 75.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +14.5 | 90.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Perth over 76.5 | 92.7% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 108.5 | 93.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 103.5 | 85.1% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 107.5 | 92.1% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Under 209.5 | 92.8% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Perth +20.5 | 94.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +24.5 | 98.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Perth over 80.5 | 85.6% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 101.5 | 80.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Over 159.5 | 93.1% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 104.5 | 87.2% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Under 204.5 | 88.4% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Perth over 78.5 | 89.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Perth +23.5 | 96.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Perth +25.5 | 97.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 106.5 | 90.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 105.5 | 89.0% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 102.5 | 82.8% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers +13.5 | 89.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Under 199.5 | 82.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Perth over 77.5 | 91.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Perth +18.5 | 93.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Under 194.5 | 73.7% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Perth over 79.5 | 87.7% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Perth +16.5 | 90.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 100.5 | 77.6% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 99.5 | 74.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Perth over 81.5 | 83.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Perth +15.5 | 89.3% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Perth over 84.5 | 74.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Over 164.5 | 88.0% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Perth +11.5 | 81.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Perth over 82.5 | 80.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Perth over 83.5 | 77.9% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Tasmania JackJumpers under 98.5 | 71.5% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Over 169.5 | 80.8% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| Perth +10.5 | 79.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Perth +13.5 | 85.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Perth over 85.5 | 71.7% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Over 174.5 | 71.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Perth +9.5 | 76.8% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -0.0pp | Won |
| Perth +8 | 73.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Perth +9 | 76.1% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -0.5pp | Won |
| Perth +8.5 | 74.0% | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.22 | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
| Perth +7.5 | 70.9% | 1.27 | 1.32 | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | -2.2pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.8 | 20.3 | 56.4% | 40.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.2 | 10.9 | 34.2% | 32.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.6 | 14.0 | 74.0% | 14.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.7 | 23.1 | 56.4% | 46.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.7 | 10.0 | 34.2% | 30.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 27.0 | 19.2 | 74.0% | 19.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/12/25 | Tasmania JackJumpers v Perth | 85-94 |
| 21/11/25 | Perth v Tasmania JackJumpers | 101-95 |
| 29/10/25 | Tasmania JackJumpers v Perth | 84-95 |
| 20/09/25 | Perth v Tasmania JackJumpers | 72-75 |
| 12/01/25 | Tasmania JackJumpers v Perth | 73-105 |
| 07/11/24 | Perth v Tasmania JackJumpers | 88-82 |
| 06/10/24 | Tasmania JackJumpers v Perth | 84-79 OT |
| 13/03/24 | Perth v Tasmania JackJumpers | 84-100 |
| 11/03/24 | Tasmania JackJumpers v Perth | 102-94 |
| 08/03/24 | Perth v Tasmania JackJumpers | 89-81 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Cairns Taipans | 92-100 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Brisbane Bullets | 104-109 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Illawarra Hawks | 98-105 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Sydney | 91-99 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Melbourne United | 103-102 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Sydney | 81-102 |
| 10/10/26 | H | New Zealand Breakers | 100-84 |
| 02/10/26 | H | South East Melbourne | 92-88 |
| 26/09/26 | H | New Zealand Breakers | 97-93 |
| 24/09/26 | H | Adelaide | 98-97 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | New Zealand Breakers | 79-77 |
| 01/11/26 | A | South East Melbourne | 98-89 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Sydney | 68-71 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Brisbane Bullets | 106-85 |
| 18/10/26 | H | New Zealand Breakers | 98-92 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Adelaide | 88-94 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Illawarra Hawks | 122-112 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Brisbane Bullets | 109-99 OT |
| 01/10/26 | H | Melbourne United | 84-82 |
| 23/09/26 | A | Cairns Taipans | 87-93 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 45% |
| Home | WWLLL | 56% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 9 | 2 |
| Win % | 45% | 56% | 0% |
| Points / game | 94.1 | 94.4 | 92.5 |
| Allowed / game | 98.1 | 96.4 | 105.5 |
| Point differential | -4.0 | -2.0 | -13.0 |
| Avg total | 192.2 | 190.9 | 198.0 |
| Over 182.5 | 82% | 78% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 9% | 11% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 80% (5) | 100% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWW | 73% |
| Home | LWWLW | 71% |
| Away | LWWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 7 | 4 |
| Win % | 73% | 71% | 75% |
| Points / game | 94.1 | 88.4 | 104.0 |
| Allowed / game | 89.5 | 84.6 | 98.2 |
| Point differential | +4.5 | +3.9 | +5.8 |
| Avg total | 183.6 | 173.0 | 202.2 |
| Over 182.5 | 55% | 43% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 27% | 14% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 75% (4) | 75% (4) | - |
| Overtime % | 9% | 0% | 25% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 99.0 | 89.1 | +9.9 | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 94.1 | 89.5 | +4.5 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 98.0 | 91.7 | +6.3 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 92.9 | 92.5 | +0.5 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 93.0 | 97.0 | -4.0 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 94.9 | 99.2 | -4.3 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 94.1 | 98.1 | -4.0 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 36% | 97.3 | 104.3 | -7.0 | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 98.2 | 97.8 | +0.4 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 89.4 | 89.9 | -0.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 24 | 26 | 29 | 98 | |
| 21 | 27 | 16 | 28 | 92 |
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