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Perth vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 11:45
Final 97-93
22-26 25-25 29-22 21-20
Position#3
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game98.5
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game84.5
AustraliaNBLRound 2· RAC Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Perth v New Zealand Breakers
15 Jan 2027
PERT v NEW
upcoming
10 Oct 2026
PERT100
NEW 84
26 Sep 2026
PERT97
NEW 93
15 Nov 2025
PERT88
NEW 75
01 Dec 2024
PERT123
NEW 112
04 Feb 2024
PERT78
NEW 89
10 Nov 2023
PERT94
NEW 76
10 Jan 2023
PERT93
NEW 90
07 Apr 2022
PERT89
NEW 80
20 Mar 2022
PERT95
NEW 85
09 May 2021
PERT98
NEW 84
18 Apr 2021
PERT78
NEW 83
12 Mar 2021
PERT85
NEW 75
25 Jan 2020
PERT80
NEW 79
17 Nov 2019
PERT88
NEW 77
25 Nov 2018
PERT91
NEW 86
03 Nov 2018
PERT92
NEW 78
27 Jan 2018
PERT90
NEW 73
12 Nov 2017
PERT82
NEW 88
13 Nov 2016
PERT86
NEW 87
14 Oct 2016
PERT75
NEW 73
06 Mar 2016
PERT75
NEW 52
02 Mar 2016
PERT82
NEW 76
27 Nov 2015
PERT86
NEW 80
16 Oct 2015
PERT83
NEW 80
15 Feb 2015
PERT87
NEW 89
10 Oct 2014
PERT70
NEW 80
17 Jan 2014
PERT97
NEW 72
06 Dec 2013
PERT95
NEW 91
12 Apr 2013
PERT66
NEW 70
22 Mar 2013
PERT73
NEW 58
22 Nov 2012
PERT89
NEW 64
20 Apr 2012
PERT87
NEW 86
04 Mar 2012
PERT99
NEW 101
23 Dec 2011
PERT86
NEW 62
10 Apr 2011
PERT89
NEW 93
14 Nov 2010
PERT114
NEW 74
08 Jan 2010
PERT76
NEW 72
08 Nov 2009
PERT94
NEW 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
A15/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H20/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
94-111
94
111
-17
A04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H07/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
104-105
104
105
-1
A11/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
79-100
79
100
-21
H19/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
98-97
98
97
+1
H24/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
28-18
18-19
30-25
29-19
22-18
25-18
18-20
29-28
16-27
19-24
20-23
19-17
29-17
17-24
21-16
29-35
18-29
17-22
30-25
22-19
22-34
23-10
28-14
24-22
20-26
31-25
29-32
23-22
23-21
13-17
16-29
24-19
13-30
25-16
17-35
30-20
18-28
22-29
28-20
182.1Avg total
90.7Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.598.5187.0-10.050%
Season at home (2)88.598.5187.0-10.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.791.4182.1-0.750%
Last 5 (5)90.293.6183.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)84.2100.8185.0-16.60%
vs Similar (14)91.089.5180.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (11)96.381.5177.8+14.7100%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
110-112 OT
110
112
-2
H23/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
97-95
97
95
+2
H30/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A01/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
83-114
83
114
-31
H05/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
106-95
106
95
+11
H07/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A14/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
115-84
115
84
+31
H19/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
111-107
111
107
+4
A22/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A22/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
22-25
27-22
22-23
28-21
21-27
22-25
26-22
22-25
25-28
24-25
18-13
20-17
32-35
15-34
16-28
33-25
28-25
23-30
22-15
29-16
21-23
21-20
18-33
24-24
37-20
27-22
27-18
28-25
19-29
34-28
30-25
28-24
26-23
22-14
19-20
26-19
18-18
19-28
22-23
193.9Avg total
98.0Scored
95.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.084.5174.5+5.550%
Season at home (1)95.081.0176.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)85.088.0173.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)98.095.9193.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)99.090.4189.4+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)85.998.7184.6-12.820%
vs Similar (11)95.487.9183.3+7.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)97.489.0186.4+8.456%
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
PerthNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A15/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H20/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H07/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A11/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H19/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H24/09
NBL
93.1Avg total
46.0Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.944.691.6+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.042.189.1+4.971%-
Last 30 away (13)46.848.094.8-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)46.047.193.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.848.292.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.847.890.6-5.020%-
vs Similar (14)47.645.392.9+2.350%-
vs Weaker (11)48.042.490.4+5.682%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H30/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A01/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H05/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H07/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A14/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H19/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A22/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A22/09
NBL
98.1Avg total
50.9Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.545.893.3+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.645.293.8+3.469%-
Last 30 away (17)46.646.392.9+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)50.947.298.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)51.244.295.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.850.192.9-7.330%-
vs Similar (11)47.842.990.7+4.973%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)52.244.796.9+7.678%-
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.2
55.0%
56.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.5
33.6%
34.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
73.7%15.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 98.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.126.9
57.1%
56.0%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.2
37.6%
34.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.917.1
74.7%
73.7%17.1
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WLLLWLWLWW
New Zealand Breakers
LWWWLWLLWL
#3
League position
#9
-3.6
Net rating
+1.1
96.8
Offensive rating
106.0
100.3
Defensive rating
104.9
53.0%
Effective FG%
56.8%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
14.0%
Turnover %
11.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.6%
3-point %
37.6%
62.0%
Assist %
51.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 106.0Defence100.3 · 104.9Shooting53.0% · 56.8%3-point %33.6% · 37.6%Ball care14.0% · 11.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Perth   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Perth wins
2
New Zealand Breakers wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/26HAdelaide98-97
19/09/26HSouth East Melbourne79-100
14/03/26HSydney75-89
11/03/26ASydney104-105
07/03/26HMelbourne United95-77
04/03/26ASouth East Melbourne94-111
20/02/26HAdelaide86-74
15/02/26ASydney84-102
13/02/26HBrisbane Bullets94-75
06/02/26HCairns Taipans98-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/26ABrisbane Bullets85-88
20/09/26HIllawarra Hawks95-81
22/02/26AAdelaide111-107
19/02/26HCairns Taipans115-84
14/02/26AAdelaide89-92
07/02/26HIllawarra Hawks106-95
05/02/26HSouth East Melbourne83-114
01/02/26ATasmania JackJumpers89-91
30/01/26HMelbourne United97-95
23/01/26HAdelaide110-112 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game88.588.5-
Allowed / game98.598.5-
Point differential-10.0-10.0-
Avg total187.0187.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game90.095.085.0
Allowed / game84.581.088.0
Point differential+5.5+14.0-3.0
Avg total174.5176.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney110100%111.090.0+21.0
2 Brisbane Bullets220100%95.590.0+5.5
3 Melbourne United21150%90.579.0+11.5
4 New Zealand Breakers21150%90.084.5+5.5
5 Adelaide21150%97.096.5+0.5
6 Tasmania JackJumpers21150%91.592.0-0.5
7 Cairns Taipans21150%91.599.0-7.5
8 Perth21150%88.598.5-10.0
9 South East Melbourne31233%84.087.0-3.0
10 Illawarra Hawks2020%88.099.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth2225292197
New Zealand Breakers2625222093
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