Perth vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Perth host Illawarra Hawks in the NBL. Pythia makes Perth the favourite at 80% and projects 103-94, about 198 points in all (over 195.5: 54%). On the market's main spread (Perth -7.5) Pythia gives Perth 57% to cover. Overtime chance: 4%. Perth are 5-3 this season (92.6 scored, 95.6 allowed a game), form WWLWL; Illawarra Hawks are 2-8 this season (95.2 scored, 105.1 allowed a game), form LLWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost

79.5%fair 1.26

Best odds1.33

Implied74.0%

Edge+5.5pp

Illawarra Hawks winWon

20.5%fair 4.88

Best odds3.68

Implied26.0%

Edge-5.5pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 29 Oct 18:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPerth

Date

Competition

Sydney

104-105

104

105

-1

95avg 83

A11/03

NBL

Sydney

75-89

-14

65avg 83

H14/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

79-100

100

-21

49avg 83

H19/09

NBL

Adelaide

98-97

97avg 83

H24/09

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

97-93

90avg 83

H26/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

92-88

88avg 83

H02/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

100-84

100

+16

75avg 83

H10/10

NBL

Sydney

81-102

102

-21

73avg 83

A17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

103-102

103

102

95avg 83

H23/10

NBL

Sydney

91-99

-8

81avg 83

H28/10

NBL

24-22

20-26

31-25

29-32

23-22

23-21

13-17

16-29

24-19

13-30

25-16

17-35

30-20

18-28

22-29

28-20

22-26

25-25

29-22

21-20

26-24

22-22

22-21

21-22

20-16

29-28

30-18

21-31

22-21

20-24

18-26

25-26

21-22

31-31

26-23

17-33

25-26

28-21

21-19

187.9Avg total

92.0Scored

95.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	92.6	95.6	188.2	-3.0	62%
Season at home (7)	94.3	94.7	189.0	-0.4	71%
Season away (1)	81.0	102.0	183.0	-21.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	92.0	95.9	187.9	-3.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	93.4	95.0	188.4	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	87.6	99.4	187.0	-11.9	22%
vs Similar (12)	92.1	88.9	181.0	+3.2	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	96.7	80.8	177.4	+15.9	100%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHawks

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

81-95

-14

71avg 89

A20/09

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

95-103

103

-8

82avg 89

A25/09

NBL

Sydney

100-121

100

121

-21

87avg 89

A27/09

NBL

Adelaide

114-92

114

+22

117avg 89

H02/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

96-113

113

-17

87avg 89

A04/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

112-122

112

122

-10

102avg 89

H09/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

100-110

100

110

-10

94avg 89

H11/10

NBL

Melbourne United

91-89

80avg 89

A18/10

NBL

Sydney

82-108

108

-26

70avg 89

H22/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

81-98

-17

61avg 89

H24/10

NBL

24-28

23-26

14-22

20-19

18-25

24-25

24-23

29-30

27-31

18-34

26-33

29-23

35-21

30-14

27-32

22-25

23-23

18-36

32-26

23-28

22-32

25-35

26-24

39-31

27-28

23-29

27-29

23-24

21-27

35-16

22-22

13-24

19-20

17-28

16-34

30-26

16-25

19-30

27-14

19-29

200.3Avg total

95.2Scored

105.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	95.2	105.1	200.3	-9.9	20%
Season at home (5)	97.8	106.0	203.8	-8.2	20%
Season away (5)	92.6	104.2	196.8	-11.6	20%
Last 10 (10)	95.2	105.1	200.3	-9.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	105.4	198.6	-12.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	95.0	104.7	199.6	-9.7	25%
vs Similar (6)	97.8	94.7	192.5	+3.2	50%
vs Weaker (4)	96.2	82.8	179.0	+13.5	75%

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 190.5Actual: Over 190.5

Over 190.5

65.9%

@ 1.65+7.9pp

Under 190.5

34.1%

@ 2.20-7.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.65

1xBet

1.60

Betano

1.57

Marathon Be

1.53

Under

Bet365

2.20

Betano

2.20

1xBet

2.17

Marathon Be

2.17

Over/Under 195.5 · main lineActual: Over 195.5

Over 195.5

54.2%

@ 2.10+3.6pp

Under 195.5

45.8%

@ 1.93-3.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.10

Betano

1.95

1xBet

1.92

Marathon Be

1.92

Pinnacle

1.89

Under

Pinnacle

1.93

WilliamHill

1.91

1xBet

1.88

Marathon Be

1.88

BetVictor

1.83

Over/Under 200.5Actual: Over 200.5

Over 200.5

42.1%

@ 2.65+6.2pp

Under 200.5

57.9%

@ 1.50-6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.65

Betano

2.52

Under

Marathon Be

1.50

Bet365

1.45

Betano

1.44

📊 3. Team Totals

Perth total 96.5Actual: Perth over 96.5

Over 96.5

75.5%

@ 1.54+12.8pp

Under 96.5

24.5%

@ 2.62-12.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.54

Betano

1.42

Under

Betano

2.62

Bet365

2.35

Perth total 100.5 · main lineActual: Perth under 100.5

Over 100.5

61.5%

@ 1.87+10.2pp

Under 100.5

38.5%

@ 2.05-10.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.87

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.72

Under

1xBet

2.05

Marathon Be

1.91

BetVictor

1.91

Bet365

1.87

Betano

1.87

Perth total 104.5Actual: Perth under 104.5

Over 104.5

45.8%

@ 2.60+9.4pp

Under 104.5

54.2%

@ 1.45-9.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.60

Betano

2.47

Under

Bet365

1.45

Betano

1.45

Illawarra Hawks total 89.5Actual: Illawarra Hawks over 89.5

Over 89.5

66.6%

@ 1.60+6.2pp

Under 89.5

33.4%

@ 2.55-6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.60

Bet365

1.54

Betano

1.44

Under

Betano

2.55

Bet365

2.35

1xBet

2.20

Illawarra Hawks total 93.5 · main lineActual: Illawarra Hawks over 93.5

Over 93.5

51.4%

@ 1.90+0.6pp

Under 93.5

48.6%

@ 1.98-0.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.90

Betano

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

BetVictor

1.78

1xBet

1.77

Under

1xBet

1.98

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.89

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.85

Illawarra Hawks total 97.5Actual: Illawarra Hawks over 97.5

Over 97.5

36.3%

@ 2.65+0.6pp

Under 97.5

63.7%

@ 1.44-0.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.65

Betano

2.52

Under

Betano

1.44

Bet365

1.43

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Perth -10.5Actual: Illawarra Hawks +10.5

PERT -10.5

45.9%

@ 2.35+3.7pp

ILLA +10.5

54.1%

@ 1.64-3.7pp

Best 5 market prices

PERT

Bet365

2.35

Betano

2.32

1xBet

2.28

Marathon Be

2.28

Pinnacle

2.25

ILLA

Pinnacle

1.64

Bet365

1.57

1xBet

1.54

Marathon Be

1.54

Betano

1.52

Spread Perth -7.5 · main lineActual: Illawarra Hawks +7.5

PERT -7.5

56.9%

@ 1.95+6.9pp

ILLA +7.5

43.1%

@ 1.91-6.9pp

Best 5 market prices

PERT

Bet365

1.95

Betfair

1.91

Pinnacle

1.91

1xBet

1.90

Marathon Be

1.90

ILLA

Pinnacle

1.91

1xBet

1.90

Marathon Be

1.90

Bet365

1.87

BetVictor

1.85

Spread Perth -4.5Actual: Illawarra Hawks +4.5

PERT -4.5

67.7%

@ 1.65+10.1pp

ILLA +4.5

32.3%

@ 2.35-10.1pp

Best 5 market prices

PERT

Pinnacle

1.65

Bet365

1.56

1xBet

1.55

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.55

ILLA

Bet365

2.35

1xBet

2.26

Marathon Be

2.26

Betano

2.25

Pinnacle

2.24

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PerthIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 48.5
Last 30 (30)	24.4	22.6	47.0	+1.8	67%	47%
Last 30 at home (19)	23.6	21.9	45.5	+1.7	63%	37%
Last 30 away (11)	25.7	23.8	49.5	+1.9	73%	64%
Last 10 (10)	23.3	24.5	47.8	-1.2	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	27.2	49.2	-5.2	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	23.8	25.7	49.4	-1.9	56%	67%
vs Similar (12)	24.9	22.3	47.2	+2.6	67%	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	24.2	19.9	44.1	+4.3	78%	33%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 48.5
Last 30 (30)	23.4	24.3	47.7	-1.0	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	24.0	23.8	47.8	+0.2	40%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	24.9	47.6	-2.1	33%	47%
Last 10 (10)	23.2	26.0	49.2	-2.8	10%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	26.4	47.4	-5.4	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	23.1	24.9	47.9	-1.8	30%	45%
vs Similar (6)	25.5	25.2	50.7	+0.3	50%	67%
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	20.5	42.2	+1.2	50%	25%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 48.5
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.7	44.4	-1.0	47%	20%
Last 30 at home (19)	22.1	21.5	43.6	+0.5	53%	21%
Last 30 away (11)	21.1	24.7	45.8	-3.6	36%	18%
Last 10 (10)	20.9	23.7	44.6	-2.8	30%	20%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.9	23.7	43.6	-3.8	22%	11%
vs Similar (12)	21.8	22.6	44.4	-0.8	50%	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.3	21.9	45.2	+1.4	67%	22%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 48.5
Last 30 (30)	23.6	25.5	49.2	-1.9	33%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	25.2	47.3	-3.1	33%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	25.1	25.9	51.0	-0.7	33%	80%
Last 10 (10)	23.2	27.3	50.5	-4.1	20%	80%
Last 5 (5)	23.8	27.6	51.4	-3.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	22.9	26.6	49.5	-3.7	25%	65%
vs Similar (6)	25.7	22.8	48.5	+2.8	50%	50%
vs Weaker (4)	24.0	24.2	48.2	-0.2	50%	50%

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

44-48

-4

A11/03

NBL

Sydney

46-43

H14/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

37-49

-12

H19/09

NBL

Adelaide

48-48

H24/09

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-51

-4

H26/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

48-46

H02/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-38

H10/10

NBL

Sydney

43-52

-9

A17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

46-48

-2

H23/10

NBL

Sydney

42-59

-17

H28/10

NBL

92.4Avg total

44.2Scored

48.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 100.5
Last 30 (30)	46.1	45.3	91.4	+0.8	53%	13%
Last 30 at home (19)	45.6	43.4	89.1	+2.2	58%	5%
Last 30 away (11)	46.8	48.5	95.4	-1.7	45%	27%
Last 10 (10)	44.2	48.2	92.4	-4.0	30%	10%
Last 5 (5)	44.0	48.6	92.6	-4.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	43.7	49.3	93.0	-5.7	22%	11%
vs Similar (12)	46.8	44.9	91.7	+1.8	58%	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	47.6	41.8	89.3	+5.8	78%	11%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

47-54

-7

A20/09

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

42-50

-8

A25/09

NBL

Sydney

45-65

-20

A27/09

NBL

Adelaide

65-35

+30

H02/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

41-59

-18

A04/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

47-67

-20

H09/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

50-57

-7

H11/10

NBL

Melbourne United

56-43

+13

A18/10

NBL

Sydney

36-48

-12

H22/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

35-55

-20

H24/10

NBL

99.7Avg total

46.4Scored

53.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 100.5
Last 30 (30)	47.0	49.9	96.9	-2.9	30%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	46.1	49.0	95.1	-2.9	27%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	47.9	50.7	98.6	-2.9	33%	47%
Last 10 (10)	46.4	53.3	99.7	-6.9	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	44.8	54.0	98.8	-9.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	46.0	51.5	97.5	-5.5	25%	40%
vs Similar (6)	51.2	48.0	99.2	+3.2	50%	50%
vs Weaker (4)	45.8	44.8	90.5	+1.0	25%	0%

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Illawarra Hawks win

PERT win

no forecast

@ 1.44

ILLA win

no forecast

@ 3.08

1st half Spread Perth -4.5 · main lineActual: Illawarra Hawks +4.5

PERT -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

ILLA +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Over/Under 100.5 · main lineActual: Under 100.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.20

Under

no forecast

@ 1.89

Perth 1st half total 52 · main lineActual: Perth under 52

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.89

Illawarra Hawks 1st half total 47.5 · main lineActual: Illawarra Hawks over 47.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half: PERT + total 98.5

PERT & over

no forecast

@ 2.85

PERT & under

no forecast

@ 2.70

1st half: Draw + total 98.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: ILLA + total 98.5

ILLA & over

no forecast

@ 5.75

ILLA & under

no forecast

@ 5.50

1st half Over/Under 99Actual: Under 99

Over

no forecast

@ 1.89

Under

no forecast

@ 2.14

1st half Spread Perth -5.5Actual: Illawarra Hawks +5.5

PERT -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.12

ILLA +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Perth -3.5Actual: Illawarra Hawks +3.5

PERT -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

ILLA +3.5

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half Over/Under 102.5Actual: Under 102.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.60

Under

no forecast

@ 1.60

1st half Over/Under 97.5Actual: Under 97.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Spread Perth -6.5Actual: Illawarra Hawks +6.5

PERT -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

ILLA +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

1st half Spread Perth -2.5Actual: Illawarra Hawks +2.5

PERT -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.75

ILLA +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Illawarra Hawks (regulation)

PERT

no forecast

@ 1.47

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

ILLA

no forecast

@ 3.12

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47
Last 30 (30)	23.4	21.9	45.3	+1.5	50%	47%
Last 30 at home (19)	23.6	21.6	45.2	+1.9	47%	53%
Last 30 away (11)	23.2	22.4	45.5	+0.8	55%	36%
Last 10 (10)	25.0	23.4	48.4	+1.6	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	26.0	25.0	51.0	+1.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	23.3	23.4	46.8	-0.1	44%	44%
vs Similar (12)	21.1	23.2	44.2	-2.1	33%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	26.7	18.7	45.3	+8.0	78%	44%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47
Last 30 (30)	24.4	23.9	48.3	+0.5	47%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	24.3	47.5	-1.0	40%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	25.5	23.5	49.0	+2.1	53%	53%
Last 10 (10)	24.1	25.9	50.0	-1.8	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	23.6	24.6	48.2	-1.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	23.3	24.8	48.0	-1.4	40%	55%
vs Similar (6)	25.3	23.8	49.2	+1.5	50%	67%
vs Weaker (4)	28.5	19.5	48.0	+9.0	75%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47
Last 30 (30)	22.6	22.4	45.0	+0.2	63%	40%
Last 30 at home (19)	21.8	22.6	44.4	-0.8	58%	42%
Last 30 away (11)	24.0	22.2	46.2	+1.8	73%	36%
Last 10 (10)	22.8	24.3	47.1	-1.5	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.4	44.8	+2.0	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.6	26.7	47.2	-6.1	33%	44%
vs Similar (12)	24.2	20.8	45.1	+3.4	75%	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.4	20.3	42.8	+2.1	78%	33%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 47
Last 30 (30)	23.4	24.9	48.3	-1.5	37%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	24.8	25.3	50.1	-0.5	33%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	24.4	46.4	-2.4	40%	53%
Last 10 (10)	24.7	25.9	50.6	-1.2	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	24.8	26.8	51.6	-2.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	24.3	26.8	51.0	-2.4	35%	75%
vs Similar (6)	21.3	22.8	44.2	-1.5	33%	17%
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	50%	0%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 95.5
Last 30 (30)	46.0	44.3	90.4	+1.7	60%	33%
Last 30 at home (19)	45.4	44.2	89.6	+1.2	58%	32%
Last 30 away (11)	47.2	44.5	91.7	+2.6	64%	36%
Last 10 (10)	47.8	47.7	95.5	+0.1	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	49.4	46.4	95.8	+3.0	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	43.9	50.1	94.0	-6.2	44%	33%
vs Similar (12)	45.3	44.0	89.3	+1.3	50%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	49.1	39.0	88.1	+10.1	89%	33%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 95.5
Last 30 (30)	47.8	48.7	96.5	-0.9	37%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	48.1	49.6	97.7	-1.5	40%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	47.5	47.9	95.4	-0.3	33%	47%
Last 10 (10)	48.8	51.8	100.6	-3.0	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	48.4	51.4	99.8	-3.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	47.6	51.5	99.1	-3.9	30%	60%
vs Similar (6)	46.7	46.7	93.3	+0.0	33%	33%
vs Weaker (4)	50.5	38.0	88.5	+12.5	75%	25%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

PERT win + total 194.5

🔒 Pro

ILLA win + total 194.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PERT leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ILLA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (PERT:ILLA): PERT wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Perth over 94.5	81.2%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+15.2pp	Won
Perth over 92.5	86.1%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+14.6pp	Won
Over 184	79.6%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+14.2pp	Won
Over 181.5	83.2%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+12.9pp	Won
Perth over 96.5	75.5%	1.48	Bet365 1.54	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	+12.8pp	Won
Perth over 95.5	78.5%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+12.4pp	Won
Perth over 93.5	83.8%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+12.3pp	Won
Perth -3.5	71.1%	1.50	Pinnacle 1.61	1xBet 1.49	Bet365 1.49	Betano 1.47	Marathon Bet 1.45	+12.3pp	Lost
Perth over 89.5	91.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+12.1pp	Won
Perth over 91.5	88.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Perth over 97.5	72.2%	1.54	1xBet 1.58	Bet365 1.54	Betano 1.50	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Over 185	77.8%	1.42	Bet365 1.42	-	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Over 184.5	78.2%	1.39	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
Over 176.5	89.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Won
Perth over 87.5	94.2%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Perth over 90.5	89.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Perth -4	70.1%	1.53	Pinnacle 1.60	1xBet 1.52	Bet365 1.51	Marathon Bet 1.49	-	+10.8pp	Lost
Over 187	73.9%	1.46	Bet365 1.48	Marathon Bet 1.43	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
Over 182.5	81.6%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Over 186	75.9%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 86.5	76.6%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 84.5	82.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Over 185.5	76.3%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
Over 188	71.8%	1.48	Bet365 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.44	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Perth over 88.5	93.0%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Over 187.5	72.4%	1.48	1xBet 1.58	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.43	Betano 1.42	-	+9.9pp	Won
Over 186.5	74.4%	1.45	1xBet 1.53	Bet365 1.45	Marathon Bet 1.41	Betano 1.40	-	+9.8pp	Won
Over 183.5	80.0%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Over 188.5	70.3%	1.51	1xBet 1.55	Bet365 1.55	Betano 1.47	Marathon Bet 1.46	-	+9.5pp	Won
Over 177.5	88.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Perth over 85.5	96.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Over 178.5	87.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Perth over 86.5	95.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Over 171.5	94.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Perth over 83.5	97.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Perth over 84.5	96.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Over 173.5	92.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Perth over 82.5	98.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Perth -1.5	77.4%	1.34	Betano 1.35	Bet365 1.33	Marathon Bet 1.33	-	-	+8.3pp	Lost
Perth over 81.5	98.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Perth -2.5	73.9%	1.40	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.38	-	-	+8.2pp	Lost
Over 166.5	97.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Over 172.5	93.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Perth (regulation)	77.3%	1.33	Betano 1.34	1xBet 1.32	Marathon Bet 1.32	-	-	+8.0pp	Lost
Perth over 79.5	99.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Perth -3	73.2%	1.42	Bet365 1.43	Marathon Bet 1.40	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Lost
Perth -2	76.6%	1.35	Bet365 1.36	Marathon Bet 1.33	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Lost
Perth over 78.5	99.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 85.5	79.6%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Over 167.5	96.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 87.5	73.5%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Perth over 80.5	98.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 82.5	86.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 88.5	70.1%	1.47	Bet365 1.54	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Over 168.5	96.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Perth -1	79.1%	1.34	Marathon Bet 1.39	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Lost
Illawarra Hawks over 80.5	90.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 74.5	97.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 72.5	98.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 76.5	95.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 70.5	98.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 78.5	93.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 71.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Perth +1.5	81.4%	1.23	Betano 1.26	Marathon Bet 1.22	Bet365 1.20	-	-	+6.1pp	Lost
Perth win	79.5%	1.31	WilliamHill 1.33	1xBet 1.32	Marathon Bet 1.31	Bet365 1.31	Betano 1.31	+5.5pp	Lost
Perth +11.5	95.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 83.5	84.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 81.5	88.9%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 79.5	92.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Perth under 119.5	94.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Perth under 120.5	95.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks under 112.5	95.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Overtime: no	96.2%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	-
Perth +16.5	98.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks under 111.5	94.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Perth under 124.5	98.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Perth +6.5	90.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Lost
Illawarra Hawks +28.5	94.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks +33.5	97.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Perth under 118.5	93.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks under 110.5	93.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks under 107.5	89.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks under 103.5	81.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Lost
Illawarra Hawks under 108.5	91.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks under 105.5	86.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Perth under 116.5	90.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks +23.5	89.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks under 102.5	79.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Lost
Illawarra Hawks under 101.5	76.7%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Lost
Illawarra Hawks +16.5	73.9%	1.27	Betano 1.29	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks under 106.5	88.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Perth under 114.5	86.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks under 104.5	84.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Lost
Illawarra Hawks +18.5	79.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Under 217.5	88.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks under 99.5	70.6%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Lost
Under 213.5	83.3%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks +16	73.1%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Perth under 112.5	81.5%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Under 216.5	87.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Won
Under 212.5	81.9%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Won
Perth under 109.5	72.6%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
Perth under 110.5	75.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks +15.5	71.0%	1.27	Bet365 1.28	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks under 100.5	73.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Lost
Illawarra Hawks +15	70.0%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	-3.2pp	Won
Under 208.5	75.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-3.2pp	Won
Under 211.5	80.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-4.1pp	Won
Under 207.5	73.2%	1.21	Bet365 1.21	-	-	-	-	-4.3pp	Won
Under 206.5	71.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-7.1pp	Won
Perth +1	81.0%	1.23	Marathon Bet 1.23	-	-	-	-	-	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.7 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	20.4	54.0%	56.4%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.4	11.2	35.7%	34.3%	33.6
🏀 Free throws	16.4	13.5	82.3%	74.1%	13.5

They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 94.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.7 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.0	25.4	56.4%	56.4%	50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.6	10.6	33.5%	34.3%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	16.8	11.9	70.8%	74.1%	11.9

They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	23.9	60.5%	56.4%	47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	10.9	35.0%	34.3%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.1	74.2%	74.1%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	26.4	59.1%	56.4%	52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	10.9	37.3%	34.3%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	24.9	19.5	78.3%	74.1%	19.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	21.9	53.8%	56.4%	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	9.9	35.3%	34.3%	29.8
🏀 Free throws	20.4	15.3	75.0%	74.1%	15.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.8	26.9	56.2%	56.4%	53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	9.5	33.8%	34.3%	28.4
🏀 Free throws	18.8	14.0	74.4%	74.1%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	22.9	54.2%	56.4%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	9.6	33.3%	34.3%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	17.5	12.7	72.9%	74.1%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.9	24.9	54.1%	56.4%	49.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	10.6	34.9%	34.3%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	24.1	18.9	78.2%	74.1%	18.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Perth

LWLWWWWLLL

Illawarra Hawks

LLWLLLWLLL

League position

#10

-7.5

Net rating

-11.0

98.3

Offensive rating

99.1

105.8

Defensive rating

110.1

53.8%

Effective FG%

53.9%

57.0%

Opp. effective FG%

57.8%

14.0%

Turnover %

11.4%

0.24

Free-throw rate

0.22

35.7%

3-point %

33.5%

64.2%

Assist %

58.3%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ Perth ■ Illawarra Hawks

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
31/01/26	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	99-106
16/01/26	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	92-87
25/10/25	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	84-85
02/10/25	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	92-84
22/12/24	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	120-88
06/12/24	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	111-121
01/11/24	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	113-105
15/02/24	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	108-92
25/01/24	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	77-95
08/12/23	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	100-82

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/26	H	Sydney	91-99
23/10/26	H	Melbourne United	103-102
17/10/26	A	Sydney	81-102
10/10/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	100-84
02/10/26	H	South East Melbourne	92-88
26/09/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	97-93
24/09/26	H	Adelaide	98-97
19/09/26	H	South East Melbourne	79-100
14/03/26	H	Sydney	75-89
11/03/26	A	Sydney	104-105

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/10/26	H	Brisbane Bullets	81-98
22/10/26	H	Sydney	82-108
18/10/26	A	Melbourne United	91-89
11/10/26	H	Cairns Taipans	100-110
09/10/26	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	112-122
04/10/26	A	South East Melbourne	96-113
02/10/26	H	Adelaide	114-92
27/09/26	A	Sydney	100-121
25/09/26	A	Brisbane Bullets	95-103
20/09/26	A	New Zealand Breakers	81-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	62%
Home	WWWWL	71%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	7	1
Win %	62%	71%	0%
Points / game	92.6	94.3	81.0
Allowed / game	95.6	94.7	102.0
Point differential	-3.0	-0.4	-21.0
Avg total	188.2	189.0	183.0
Over 195.5	12%	14%	0%
Win by 10+	12%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (4)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	20%
Home	WLLLL	20%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	20%	20%	20%
Points / game	95.2	97.8	92.6
Allowed / game	105.1	106.0	104.2
Point differential	-9.9	-8.2	-11.6
Avg total	200.3	203.8	196.8
Over 195.5	60%	60%	60%
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	10	7	3	70%	97.9	88.1	+9.8
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	9	6	3	67%	95.3	91.0	+4.3
3	Perth	8	5	3	62%	92.6	95.6	-3.0
4	Cairns Taipans	11	6	5	55%	92.2	96.5	-4.4
5	Melbourne United	10	5	5	50%	96.7	92.5	+4.2
6	Adelaide	10	5	5	50%	91.2	93.5	-2.3
7	South East Melbourne	9	4	5	44%	97.8	93.9	+3.9
8	Brisbane Bullets	9	4	5	44%	93.6	97.6	-4.0
9	New Zealand Breakers	10	4	6	40%	92.2	90.6	+1.6
10	Illawarra Hawks	10	2	8	20%	95.2	105.1	-9.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Perth	19	25	25	29	98
Illawarra Hawks	24	27	27	27	105

← all games of the day

Perth vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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