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Perth vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 92-88
26-24 22-22 22-21 22-21
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game96.7
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
South East Melbourne
Australia
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game87.0
AustraliaNBLRound 3· RAC Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Perth v South East Melbourne
02 Oct 2026
PERT92
SOUT88
19 Sep 2026
PERT79
SOUT100
28 Jan 2026
PERT101
SOUT93
18 Dec 2025
PERT76
SOUT77
11 Feb 2025
PERT122
SOUT105
31 Jan 2025
PERT100
SOUT99
15 Nov 2024
PERT97
SOUT84
20 Sep 2024
PERT106
SOUT98
13 Jan 2024
PERT100
SOUT79
17 Nov 2022
PERT103
SOUT96
28 Oct 2022
PERT90
SOUT91
24 Apr 2022
PERT100
SOUT102
03 Mar 2021
PERT93
SOUT92
29 Jan 2021
PERT89
SOUT90
24 Jan 2021
PERT88
SOUT76
17 Jan 2020
PERT97
SOUT71
25 Oct 2019
PERT110
SOUT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South East Melbourne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
91avg 82
H13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
65avg 82
A15/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
83avg 82
H20/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
94-111
94
111
-17
93avg 82
A04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
94avg 82
H07/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
104-105
104
105
-1
95avg 82
A11/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 82
H14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
79-100
79
100
-21
49avg 82
H19/09
NBL
Adelaide
#4
W
98-97
98
97
+1
97avg 82
H24/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
97-93
97
93
+4
90avg 82
H26/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
22-18
25-18
18-20
29-28
16-27
19-24
20-23
19-17
29-17
17-24
21-16
29-35
18-29
17-22
30-25
22-19
22-34
23-10
28-14
24-22
20-26
31-25
29-32
23-22
23-21
13-17
16-29
24-19
13-30
25-16
17-35
30-20
18-28
22-29
28-20
22-26
25-25
29-22
21-20
182.9Avg total
90.6Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.396.7188.0-5.367%
Season at home (3)91.396.7188.0-5.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.692.3182.9-1.750%
Last 5 (5)90.696.8187.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)84.2100.8185.0-16.60%
vs Similar (14)91.689.4181.0+2.157%
vs Weaker (11)96.381.5177.8+14.7100%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
88-114
88
114
-26
68avg 88
H08/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
120-104
120
104
+16
118avg 88
H14/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
91-95
91
95
-4
78avg 88
A19/02
NBL
Perth
#5
W
111-94
111
94
+17
103avg 88
H04/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
97-104
97
104
-7
81avg 88
A10/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
101-92
101
92
+9
88avg 88
H14/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
96-108
96
108
-12
78avg 88
A17/03
NBL
Perth
#5
W
100-79
100
79
+21
96avg 88
A19/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
79avg 88
A21/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
61-86
61
86
-25
38avg 88
H24/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
25-22
23-30
11-29
32-34
35-22
35-23
18-25
23-33
19-19
30-16
19-27
35-29
29-18
22-17
25-30
27-25
21-25
27-27
22-27
19-30
25-27
39-20
18-15
17-28
28-31
19-24
32-25
19-24
30-13
16-25
35-17
24-15
28-23
22-36
17-22
14-16
21-29
22-24
4-17
192.8Avg total
95.6Scored
97.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.087.0171.0-3.033%
Season at home (1)61.086.0147.0-25.00%
Season away (2)95.587.5183.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)95.697.2192.8-1.640%
Last 5 (5)89.892.2182.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)91.0105.7196.7-14.733%
vs Similar (7)95.993.6189.4+2.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)103.393.0196.3+10.470%
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
PerthSouth East Melbourne
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A15/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H20/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H07/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A11/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H19/09
NBL
Adelaide
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H24/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H26/09
NBL
93.9Avg total
45.7Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.044.891.8+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)47.042.689.6+4.467%-
Last 30 away (12)46.948.295.1-1.242%-
Last 10 (10)45.748.293.9-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.447.892.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.847.890.6-5.020%-
vs Similar (14)47.645.693.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker (11)48.042.490.4+5.682%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H08/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H14/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A19/02
NBL
Perth
#5
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H04/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A10/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H14/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A17/03
NBL
Perth
#5
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A19/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A21/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/09
NBL
99.6Avg total
50.0Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.248.098.3+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.049.1102.1+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)47.847.194.9+0.744%-
Last 10 (10)50.049.699.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.292.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.353.3102.7-4.00%-
vs Similar (7)49.347.096.3+2.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)50.747.698.3+3.155%-
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.3
54.1%
56.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.6
34.4%
34.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.216.2
76.4%
74.0%16.2
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.124.1
54.6%
56.4%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.711.0
30.0%
34.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.714.2
80.2%
74.0%14.2
They take 80.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WWLLLWLWLW
South East Melbourne
LLWLWLWLWL
#5
League position
#8
-3.7
Net rating
+2.6
97.2
Offensive rating
102.3
101.0
Defensive rating
99.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
14.1%
Turnover %
9.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.4%
3-point %
30.0%
61.5%
Assist %
56.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 102.3Defence101.0 · 99.7Shooting53.0% · 50.2%3-point %34.4% · 30.0%Ball care14.1% · 9.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Perth   ■ South East Melbourne
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Perth wins
5
South East Melbourne wins
DateGameScore
19/09/26Perth v South East Melbourne79-100
04/03/26South East Melbourne v Perth111-94
28/01/26Perth v South East Melbourne101-93
10/01/26South East Melbourne v Perth97-107
18/12/25Perth v South East Melbourne76-77
02/11/25South East Melbourne v Perth94-89
11/02/25Perth v South East Melbourne122-105
31/01/25Perth v South East Melbourne100-99
15/11/24Perth v South East Melbourne97-84
03/11/24South East Melbourne v Perth100-76
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26HNew Zealand Breakers97-93
24/09/26HAdelaide98-97
19/09/26HSouth East Melbourne79-100
14/03/26HSydney75-89
11/03/26ASydney104-105
07/03/26HMelbourne United95-77
04/03/26ASouth East Melbourne94-111
20/02/26HAdelaide86-74
15/02/26ASydney84-102
13/02/26HBrisbane Bullets94-75
South East Melbournelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/26HMelbourne United61-86
21/09/26ATasmania JackJumpers91-96
19/09/26APerth100-79
17/03/26AAdelaide96-108
14/03/26HAdelaide101-92
10/03/26AAdelaide97-104
04/03/26HPerth111-94
19/02/26AMelbourne United91-95
14/02/26HTasmania JackJumpers120-104
08/02/26HSydney88-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game91.391.3-
Allowed / game96.796.7-
Point differential-5.3-5.3-
Avg total188.0188.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%-
South East Melbourne
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game84.061.095.5
Allowed / game87.086.087.5
Point differential-3.0-25.0+8.0
Avg total171.0147.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney330100%108.389.3+19.0
2 Tasmania JackJumpers32167%89.088.7+0.3
3 Brisbane Bullets32167%89.791.0-1.3
4 Perth32167%91.396.7-5.3
5 New Zealand Breakers42250%92.885.2+7.5
6 Adelaide42250%92.294.0-1.8
7 Melbourne United31233%87.780.7+7.0
8 South East Melbourne31233%84.087.0-3.0
9 Illawarra Hawks41325%97.5102.8-5.2
10 Cairns Taipans41325%81.894.8-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth2622222292
South East Melbourne2422212188
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