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Perth vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 98-97
30-20 18-28 22-29 28-20
Position#3
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game100.0
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide
Australia
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game95.0
AustraliaNBLRound 2· RAC Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Perth v Adelaide
28 Jan 2027
PERT v ADEL
upcoming
24 Sep 2026
PERT98
ADEL97
20 Feb 2026
PERT86
ADEL74
07 Dec 2025
PERT94
ADEL95
07 Feb 2025
PERT112
ADEL104
17 Jan 2025
PERT110
ADEL103
04 Nov 2023
PERT99
ADEL88
06 Oct 2023
PERT82
ADEL75
14 Jan 2023
PERT112
ADEL97
24 Nov 2022
PERT82
ADEL96
14 Apr 2022
PERT70
ADEL82
03 Dec 2021
PERT85
ADEL73
22 Mar 2021
PERT92
ADEL82
14 Mar 2021
PERT97
ADEL88
15 Feb 2020
PERT94
ADEL79
01 Dec 2019
PERT88
ADEL99
15 Feb 2019
PERT93
ADEL85
25 Jan 2019
PERT100
ADEL81
09 Mar 2018
PERT88
ADEL89
02 Feb 2018
PERT111
ADEL90
08 Dec 2017
PERT88
ADEL79
14 Jan 2017
PERT84
ADEL95
05 Nov 2016
PERT106
ADEL103
14 Feb 2016
PERT100
ADEL84
04 Dec 2015
PERT90
ADEL72
16 Jan 2015
PERT102
ADEL106
14 Dec 2014
PERT97
ADEL76
13 Apr 2014
PERT93
ADEL59
07 Apr 2014
PERT92
ADEL85
14 Feb 2014
PERT85
ADEL61
11 Oct 2013
PERT83
ADEL80
08 Feb 2013
PERT73
ADEL67
16 Nov 2012
PERT65
ADEL69
04 Dec 2011
PERT84
ADEL96
28 Oct 2011
PERT92
ADEL100
20 Feb 2011
PERT82
ADEL62
29 Jan 2011
PERT65
ADEL66
19 Dec 2009
PERT70
ADEL82
17 Oct 2009
PERT110
ADEL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
106-99
106
99
+7
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
A15/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H20/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
94-111
94
111
-17
A04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H07/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
104-105
104
105
-1
A11/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
79-100
79
100
-21
H19/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
23-24
32-20
26-25
22-22
28-18
18-19
30-25
29-19
22-18
25-18
18-20
29-28
16-27
19-24
20-23
19-17
29-17
17-24
21-16
29-35
18-29
17-22
30-25
22-19
22-34
23-10
28-14
24-22
20-26
31-25
29-32
23-22
23-21
13-17
16-29
24-19
13-30
25-16
17-35
183.1Avg total
91.5Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.0100.0179.0-21.00%
Season at home (1)79.0100.0179.0-21.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.591.6183.1-0.150%
Last 5 (5)89.496.4185.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.2100.8185.0-16.60%
vs Similar ◀ (13)90.588.9179.4+1.546%
vs Weaker (12)96.281.8177.9+14.4100%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
107-111
107
111
-4
H22/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
104-97
104
97
+7
H10/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
108-96
108
96
+12
H17/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
68-112
68
112
-44
A21/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H27/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
93-106
93
106
-13
A29/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
92-91
92
91
+1
H01/04
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
101-113 OT
101
113
-12
A05/04
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
97-95
97
95
+2
A19/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
29-19
28-34
25-30
25-27
25-21
27-27
27-22
30-19
27-25
20-39
15-18
28-17
31-28
24-19
25-32
23-31
16-28
17-31
12-22
25-30
28-22
15-25
23-12
31-24
22-28
17-21
23-33
22-24
24-29
26-21
20-17
31-29
24-27
21-13
19-26
25-23
24-25
26-22
22-25
196.4Avg total
95.3Scored
101.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)97.095.0192.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)97.095.0192.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)95.3101.1196.4-5.850%
Last 5 (5)94.898.8193.6-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)92.397.9190.2-5.547%
vs Similar ◀ (9)94.292.8187.0+1.467%
vs Weaker (6)95.079.3174.3+15.783%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
PerthAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A15/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H20/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H07/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A11/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H19/09
NBL
93.7Avg total
46.0Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.644.491.0+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.941.788.6+5.275%-
Last 30 away (14)46.147.593.6-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)46.047.793.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.651.495.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.847.890.6-5.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)47.545.192.6+2.554%-
vs Weaker (12)47.142.289.3+4.875%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H22/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H10/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H17/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A21/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H27/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A29/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H01/04
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A05/04
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A19/09
NBL
101.9Avg total
51.5Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.347.093.2-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.546.492.9+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)46.147.593.6-1.456%-
Last 10 (10)51.550.4101.9+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)51.252.2103.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)47.949.697.5-1.747%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.146.189.2-3.044%-
vs Weaker (6)47.041.788.7+5.383%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.2
54.0%
56.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.6
34.0%
34.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.115.5
73.5%
73.7%15.5
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.4
55.0%
56.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.7
35.0%
34.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.916.1
80.9%
73.7%16.1
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LLLWLWLWWW
Adelaide
WLWLWLWLWL
#3
League position
#5
-2.9
Net rating
-7.3
96.9
Offensive rating
99.2
99.7
Defensive rating
106.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.9%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.0%
3-point %
35.0%
61.1%
Assist %
69.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 99.2Defence99.7 · 106.5Shooting52.7% · 53.9%3-point %34.0% · 35.0%Ball care13.3% · 13.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Perth   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Perth wins
2
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
20/02/26Perth v Adelaide86-74
28/12/25Adelaide v Perth95-84
07/12/25Perth v Adelaide94-95
09/11/25Adelaide v Perth87-94
07/02/25Perth v Adelaide112-104
17/01/25Perth v Adelaide110-103
28/12/24Adelaide v Perth92-116
08/12/24Adelaide v Perth105-115
28/12/23Adelaide v Perth82-100
04/11/23Perth v Adelaide99-88
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/09/26HSouth East Melbourne79-100
14/03/26HSydney75-89
11/03/26ASydney104-105
07/03/26HMelbourne United95-77
04/03/26ASouth East Melbourne94-111
20/02/26HAdelaide86-74
15/02/26ASydney84-102
13/02/26HBrisbane Bullets94-75
06/02/26HCairns Taipans98-84
31/01/26AIllawarra Hawks106-99
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/09/26AMelbourne United97-95
05/04/26ASydney101-113 OT
01/04/26HSydney92-91
29/03/26ASydney93-106
27/03/26HSydney91-89
21/03/26ASydney68-112
17/03/26HSouth East Melbourne108-96
14/03/26ASouth East Melbourne92-101
10/03/26HSouth East Melbourne104-97
22/02/26HNew Zealand Breakers107-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game100.0100.0-
Point differential-21.0-21.0-
Avg total179.0179.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Adelaide
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game97.0-97.0
Allowed / game95.0-95.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total192.0-192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney110100%111.090.0+21.0
2 Brisbane Bullets110100%88.085.0+3.0
3 Adelaide110100%97.095.0+2.0
4 Melbourne United21150%90.579.0+11.5
5 New Zealand Breakers21150%90.084.5+5.5
6 Tasmania JackJumpers21150%91.592.0-0.5
7 Cairns Taipans21150%91.599.0-7.5
8 South East Melbourne31233%84.087.0-3.0
9 Illawarra Hawks1010%81.095.0-14.0
10 Perth1010%79.0100.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth3018222898
Adelaide2028292097
← all games of the day
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