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Tasmania JackJumpers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 88-94
22-14 17-26 23-31 26-23
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game99.6
Allowed / game95.4
vs
Position#5
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game91.1
AustraliaNBLRound 5· MyState Bank Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide
16 Jan 2027
TASM v ADEL
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
TASM v ADEL
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
TASM88
ADEL94
13 Nov 2025
TASM86
ADEL97
10 Jan 2025
TASM104
ADEL103
04 Feb 2024
TASM109
ADEL86
02 Dec 2023
TASM94
ADEL59
12 Jan 2023
TASM98
ADEL82
28 Jan 2022
TASM76
ADEL71
09 Dec 2021
TASM80
ADEL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tasmania JackJumpers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tasmania JackJumpersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H01/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
114-70
114
70
+44
H06/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
104-120
104
120
-16
A14/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
70-103
70
103
-33
H18/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A05/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
W
96-91
96
91
+5
H21/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A23/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H01/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
109-99 OT
109
99
+10
A03/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
122-112
122
112
+10
A09/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
28-25
25-24
13-18
33-14
24-17
30-17
27-22
34-32
22-35
23-35
25-18
18-26
16-28
17-27
19-22
17-15
14-25
24-16
13-26
15-24
23-28
36-22
22-17
16-32
28-13
22-21
21-27
23-14
29-21
16-19
16-28
17-23
23-24
34-18
17-26
32-22
35-25
24-26
31-39
188.6Avg total
94.5Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)99.695.4195.0+4.280%
Season at home (2)90.086.5176.5+3.5100%
Season away (3)106.0101.3207.3+4.767%
Last 10 (10)94.594.1188.6+0.460%
Last 5 (5)99.695.4195.0+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)90.189.8179.9+0.242%
vs Similar (10)85.490.7176.1-5.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)94.587.0181.5+7.550%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
93-106
93
106
-13
A29/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
92-91
92
91
+1
H01/04
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
101-113 OT
101
113
-12
A05/04
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
97-95
97
95
+2
A19/09
NBL
Perth
#3
L
97-98
97
98
-1
A24/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
92-114
92
114
-22
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A11/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
22-28
17-21
23-33
22-24
24-29
26-21
20-17
31-29
24-27
21-13
19-26
25-23
24-25
26-22
22-25
20-30
28-18
29-22
20-28
32-17
20-17
15-17
16-18
21-35
14-30
32-27
25-22
19-23
23-25
15-12
15-28
21-31
17-25
21-20
32-20
18-18
23-26
20-12
23-22
185.0Avg total
90.2Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.091.1179.1-3.143%
Season at home (3)82.084.3166.3-2.333%
Season away (4)92.596.2188.8-3.850%
Last 10 (10)90.294.8185.0-4.640%
Last 5 (5)84.489.0173.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)91.597.6189.1-6.147%
vs Similar (10)89.189.1178.2+0.050%
vs Weaker (5)97.689.4187.0+8.260%
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
Tasmania JackJumpersAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tasmania JackJumpersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H01/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H06/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
56-67
56
67
-11
A14/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H18/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A05/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H21/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A23/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H01/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A03/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
67-47
67
47
+20
A09/10
NBL
93.7Avg total
47.2Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.845.890.6-1.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.744.490.1+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)43.947.191.0-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)47.246.593.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)48.245.293.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)47.246.593.8+0.850%-
vs Similar (10)41.946.688.5-4.730%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.843.688.4+1.125%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A29/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H01/04
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A05/04
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A19/09
NBL
Perth
#3
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A24/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
35-65
35
65
-30
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A11/10
NBL
96.3Avg total
45.9Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.448.393.6-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.947.192.0-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)45.849.595.3-3.747%-
Last 10 (10)45.950.496.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.649.491.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)46.950.597.5-3.640%-
vs Similar (10)43.144.787.8-1.640%-
vs Weaker (5)45.248.693.8-3.460%-
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tasmania JackJumperstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tasmania JackJumpers: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.9
51.2%
56.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.7
33.7%
34.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws25.720.3
79.0%
73.7%20.3
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.1
55.1%
56.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.910.9
33.1%
34.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.214.7
72.8%
73.7%14.7
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tasmania JackJumpers
WWWLWLLLWW
Adelaide
WLLLWLWLWL
#2
League position
#5
-6.7
Net rating
-4.8
98.1
Offensive rating
99.6
104.9
Defensive rating
104.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.6%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
12.1%
Turnover %
11.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.7%
3-point %
33.1%
58.8%
Assist %
72.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 99.6Defence104.9 · 104.4Shooting50.9% · 52.6%3-point %33.7% · 33.1%Ball care12.1% · 11.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Tasmania JackJumpers   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Tasmania JackJumpers wins
3
Adelaide wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/26AIllawarra Hawks122-112
03/10/26ABrisbane Bullets109-99 OT
01/10/26HMelbourne United84-82
23/09/26ACairns Taipans87-93
21/09/26HSouth East Melbourne96-91
05/03/26AMelbourne United68-82
18/02/26HIllawarra Hawks70-103
14/02/26ASouth East Melbourne104-120
06/02/26HBrisbane Bullets114-70
01/02/26HNew Zealand Breakers91-89
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26ASydney84-78
07/10/26HMelbourne United91-96
04/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers72-88
02/10/26AIllawarra Hawks92-114
27/09/26HCairns Taipans83-69
24/09/26APerth97-98
19/09/26AMelbourne United97-95
05/04/26ASydney101-113 OT
01/04/26HSydney92-91
29/03/26ASydney93-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tasmania JackJumpers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game99.690.0106.0
Allowed / game95.486.5101.3
Point differential+4.2+3.5+4.7
Avg total195.0176.5207.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %20%0%33%
Adelaide
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game88.082.092.5
Allowed / game91.184.396.2
Point differential-3.1-2.3-3.8
Avg total179.1166.3188.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tasmania JackJumpers54180%99.695.4+4.2
2 Perth54180%93.292.4+0.8
3 Sydney53260%100.890.8+10.0
4 New Zealand Breakers74357%92.187.7+4.4
5 Cairns Taipans74357%91.695.0-3.4
6 Melbourne United63350%93.089.8+3.2
7 Brisbane Bullets63350%95.797.3-1.7
8 Adelaide73443%88.091.1-3.1
9 South East Melbourne72529%93.995.4-1.6
10 Illawarra Hawks71614%99.7108.0-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tasmania JackJumpers2217232688
Adelaide1426312394
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