Pesaro vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Feb 2011

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 83-82

27-15 19-19 17-14 20-34

Position#10

Record8-9

FormWLLWL

Points / game73.3

Allowed / game78.9

Pesaro 🏆

Caserta

Position#13

Record8-9

FormWWWLW

Points / game81.1

Allowed / game80.2

Lega ARound 18

Domestic2010-11

Meetings · Pesaro v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#15

77-58

+19

H05/12

Lega A

Cremona

#12

87-74

+13

A12/12

Lega A

Siena

61-104

104

-43

A19/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

73-78

-5

H25/12

Lega A

Brindisi

#17

66-80

-14

A02/01

Lega A

Cantu

76-75

H06/01

Lega A

Avellino

69-80

-11

H09/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

84-94

-10

A16/01

Lega A

Varese

#11

74-72

H23/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

53-85

-32

A30/01

Lega A

25-18

16-11

13-11

23-18

16-19

19-17

26-20

26-18

19-24

17-25

6-29

19-26

18-20

20-15

14-24

21-19

6-20

26-19

19-20

15-21

23-22

10-18

22-13

21-22

20-25

21-24

10-13

18-18

15-25

26-22

13-26

30-21

26-18

19-14

13-25

16-15

21-32

15-10

3-29

14-14

152.0Avg total

72.0Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	73.3	78.9	152.2	-5.6	47%
Season at home (8)	73.8	71.2	145.0	+2.5	62%
Season away (9)	72.9	85.7	158.6	-12.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	72.0	80.0	152.0	-8.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	81.2	152.4	-10.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	69.8	84.5	154.3	-14.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	78.2	77.2	155.4	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker (4)	78.2	71.5	149.8	+6.8	75%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

68-79

-11

A28/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

68-60

H02/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

84-98

-14

A05/01

Lega A

Teramo

#16

89-81

H09/01

Lega A

Treviso

90-67

+23

A15/01

Lega A

Galatasaray

#13

81-76 OT

H18/01

Eurocup

Biella

#15

83-81

A23/01

Lega A

Nymburk

#28

74-68

A25/01

Eurocup

Sassari

90-94 OT

-4

H30/01

Lega A

Estudiantes

#10

87-85

H01/02

Eurocup

17-22

13-17

27-14

11-26

18-19

13-8

17-8

20-25

21-27

23-21

18-28

22-22

19-19

23-22

29-17

18-23

22-26

19-13

30-10

19-18

18-13

19-14

20-21

12-21

18-25

27-21

15-15

23-20

13-18

28-23

17-15

16-12

32-25

19-27

10-16

20-13

25-22

22-22

14-19

26-22

160.3Avg total

81.4Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	81.1	80.2	161.3	+0.8	47%
Season at home (8)	81.4	79.1	160.5	+2.2	50%
Season away (9)	80.8	81.2	162.0	-0.4	44%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	78.9	160.3	+2.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	80.8	163.8	+2.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	76.8	83.2	160.0	-6.4	20%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	77.8	79.4	157.2	-1.5	42%
vs Weaker (6)	83.7	75.0	158.7	+8.7	83%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PesaroCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	18.7	42.2	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.9	38.8	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.3	41.2	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	24.4	45.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	23.2	42.5	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.5	40.3	-2.6	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.6	41.9	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.6	32%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.7	36.5	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	17.1	37.1	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	18.3	35.9	-0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.4	65%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.7	18.6	37.4	+0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	67%	-

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#15

41-29

+12

H05/12

Lega A

Cremona

#12

35-36

-1

A12/12

Lega A

Siena

36-49

-13

A19/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

38-35

H25/12

Lega A

Brindisi

#17

32-39

-7

A02/01

Lega A

Cantu

33-40

-7

H06/01

Lega A

Avellino

41-49

-8

H09/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

41-47

-6

A16/01

Lega A

Varese

#11

45-32

+13

H23/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

36-42

-6

A30/01

Lega A

77.6Avg total

37.8Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	37.5	77.0	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	35.8	79.3	+7.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.6	39.1	74.7	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	39.8	77.6	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	42.0	81.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.5	42.0	80.5	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	40.1	36.3	76.4	+3.8	65%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.2	36.5	74.8	+1.8	50%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

30-39

-9

A28/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

31-27

H02/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

44-48

-4

A05/01

Lega A

Teramo

#16

42-41

H09/01

Lega A

Treviso

41-39

A15/01

Lega A

Galatasaray

#13

37-27

+10

H18/01

Eurocup

Biella

#15

45-46

-1

A23/01

Lega A

Nymburk

#28

41-41

A25/01

Eurocup

Sassari

51-52

-1

H30/01

Lega A

Estudiantes

#10

47-44

H01/02

Eurocup

81.3Avg total

40.9Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	39.2	78.4	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	37.7	78.6	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	40.6	78.3	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	40.4	81.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	42.0	86.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.0	40.0	79.0	-1.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	39.8	40.3	80.1	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.8	35.0	72.8	+2.8	67%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	19.3	36.5	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	18.7	36.2	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	20.0	36.7	-3.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.9	21.0	34.9	-7.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.2	21.2	33.4	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	11.7	22.3	34.0	-10.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.8	18.7	36.5	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.0	35.6	-0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.4	16.7	32.1	-1.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.3	36.0	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	17.2	32.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	17.5	17.7	35.2	-0.3	37%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.2	15.8	33.0	+1.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	20.2	39.8	-0.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.4	20.1	38.4	-1.7	35%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	17.8	18.7	36.5	-0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	28.7	24.2	52.8	+4.5	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	39.0	74.7	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.0	38.9	74.9	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	39.1	74.5	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	40.2	74.4	-6.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	39.2	71.2	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	31.3	42.5	73.8	-11.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	36.1	38.8	74.8	-2.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.0	35.0	75.0	+5.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	38.3	76.1	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.0	37.1	74.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	39.5	78.1	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	36.5	74.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	34.8	69.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.8	43.2	81.0	-5.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	35.3	36.4	71.7	-1.1	37%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.8	40.0	85.8	+5.8	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pesaro wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
31/10/10	Caserta v Pesaro	89-91 OT
07/03/10	Pesaro v Caserta	81-89
07/11/09	Caserta v Pesaro	95-81
01/03/09	Pesaro v Caserta	91-84
10/12/08	Caserta v Pesaro	68-83

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/01/11	A	Virtus Roma	53-85
23/01/11	H	Varese	74-72
16/01/11	A	Olimpia Milano	84-94
09/01/11	H	Avellino	69-80
06/01/11	H	Cantu	76-75
02/01/11	A	Brindisi	66-80
25/12/10	H	Sutor Montegranaro	73-78
19/12/10	A	Siena	61-104
12/12/10	A	Cremona	87-74
05/12/10	H	Biella	77-58

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/02/11	H	Estudiantes	87-85
30/01/11	H	Sassari	90-94 OT
25/01/11	A	Nymburk	74-68
23/01/11	A	Biella	83-81
18/01/11	H	Galatasaray	81-76 OT
15/01/11	A	Treviso	90-67
09/01/11	H	Teramo	89-81
05/01/11	A	Olimpia Milano	84-98
02/01/11	H	Virtus Roma	68-60
28/12/10	A	Avellino	68-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro

Lega A 2010-11

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	47%
Home	WLWLW	62%
Away	WLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	47%	62%	33%
Points / game	73.3	73.8	72.9
Allowed / game	78.9	71.2	85.7
Point differential	-5.6	+2.5	-12.8
Avg total	152.2	145.0	158.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	25%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (4)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Caserta

Lega A 2010-11

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	47%
Home	WWWWL	50%
Away	WLLWW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	47%	50%	44%
Points / game	81.1	81.4	80.8
Allowed / game	80.2	79.1	81.2
Point differential	+0.8	+2.2	-0.4
Avg total	161.3	160.5	162.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	12%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	18%	25%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	17	16	1	94%	84.7	72.2	+12.5
2	Olimpia Milano	18	13	5	72%	82.1	77.7	+4.4
3	Cantu	17	12	5	71%	76.6	71.2	+5.4
4	Avellino	17	9	8	53%	79.5	76.5	+3.0
5	Sutor Montegranaro	17	9	8	53%	83.1	81.9	+1.2
6	Virtus Bologna	17	9	8	53%	78.2	77.5	+0.6
7	Virtus Roma	17	8	9	47%	78.2	75.2	+3.0
8	Caserta	17	8	9	47%	81.1	80.2	+0.8
9	Pesaro	17	8	9	47%	73.3	78.9	-5.6
10	Sassari	18	8	10	44%	81.2	83.5	-2.3
11	Biella	18	8	10	44%	81.4	84.2	-2.7
12	Treviso	17	7	10	41%	75.1	74.6	+0.5
13	Varese	17	7	10	41%	80.7	83.5	-2.8
14	Cremona	17	6	11	35%	78.8	79.6	-0.8
15	Brindisi	17	5	12	29%	71.6	80.5	-8.9
16	Teramo	18	5	13	28%	74.2	81.9	-7.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pesaro	27	19	17	20	83
Caserta	15	19	14	34	82

← all games of the day

Pesaro vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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