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Pesaro vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-67
31-14 20-19 15-16 17-18
Position#15
Record8-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game80.3
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#13
Record10-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game81.4
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Pesaro v Caserta
11 Oct 2026
PES83
KAS77
15 Apr 2017
PES83
KAS67
26 Mar 2016
PES71
KAS72
10 May 2015
PES80
KAS70
20 Oct 2013
PES84
KAS93
25 Nov 2012
PES63
KAS77
04 Mar 2012
PES75
KAS81
06 Feb 2011
PES83
KAS82
07 Mar 2010
PES81
KAS89
01 Mar 2009
PES91
KAS84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
65-66
65
66
-1
88avg 97
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
78-73
78
73
+5
103avg 97
H05/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
62-79
62
79
-17
85avg 97
A12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
76-71
76
71
+5
95avg 97
H26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
83avg 97
A05/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
78-93
78
93
-15
104avg 97
A12/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
106avg 97
H19/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
114avg 97
A26/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
63-73
63
73
-10
90avg 97
H02/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
no box
A09/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
16-18
23-13
14-17
22-15
12-26
23-15
21-17
21-16
15-25
11-17
15-21
10-23
20-11
22-21
24-16
22-22
14-20
14-18
11-25
22-23
29-19
18-25
9-26
23-27
22-17
15-29
21-18
24-21
29-29
15-20
23-27
17-14
16-16
14-20
16-23
22-25
22-20
9-20
28-16
157.0Avg total
74.9Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.780.3155.0-5.731%
Season at home (13)73.674.5148.2-0.938%
Season away (13)75.786.2161.8-10.523%
Last 10 (10)74.982.1157.0-7.230%
Last 5 (5)81.489.4170.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.482.4157.8-7.020%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.778.2152.9-3.547%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
106avg 104
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
105avg 104
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
64-77
64
77
-13
89avg 104
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
101avg 104
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
66-76
66
76
-10
92avg 104
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
79-85
79
85
-6
107avg 104
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
98avg 104
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
86avg 104
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
62-64
62
64
-2
87avg 104
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
110avg 104
H09/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
22-19
19-19
18-20
14-20
16-22
16-15
33-18
22-29
18-11
11-18
13-19
20-17
15-20
19-17
20-24
13-23
19-17
22-12
12-24
10-21
19-12
28-24
22-28
17-15
19-21
17-21
18-17
21-13
12-10
11-24
14-14
15-6
13-17
16-19
18-22
24-14
21-24
9-25
29-13
146.8Avg total
71.6Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.281.4159.5-3.238%
Season at home (13)79.577.7157.2+1.854%
Season away (13)76.885.1161.9-8.223%
Last 10 (10)71.675.2146.8-3.620%
Last 5 (5)70.672.0142.6-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.685.5163.1-7.89%
vs Similar ◀ (19)77.678.8156.5-1.253%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
PesaroCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H05/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A05/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A12/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H19/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A26/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H02/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/04
Lega A
79.5Avg total
39.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.476.9-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.935.270.1-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.043.783.7-3.720%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.579.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.287.4+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.140.178.2-2.140%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.838.775.5-1.927%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/04
Lega A
71.0Avg total
35.1Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.177.0-3.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.439.177.5-0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)35.141.376.4-6.214%-
Last 10 (10)35.135.971.0-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)34.230.664.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.842.579.4-5.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)36.938.775.6-1.826%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.416.8
46.2%
51.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.6
33.9%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
74.0%14.9
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.916.6
49.0%
51.1%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.2
31.4%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
74.0%13.9
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLLLLLWLWL
Caserta
WLLLLLLLWL
#15
League position
#13
-14.5
Net rating
-4.2
97.3
Offensive rating
92.0
111.8
Defensive rating
96.2
48.0%
Effective FG%
48.2%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
18.1%
Turnover %
22.8%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.9%
3-point %
31.4%
49.6%
Assist %
43.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.3 · 92.0Defence111.8 · 96.2Shooting48.0% · 48.2%3-point %33.9% · 31.4%Ball care18.1% · 22.8%Off. rebounds22.4% · 25.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Pesaro   ■ Caserta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Caserta wins
DateGameScore
18/12/16Caserta v Pesaro82-87
26/03/16Pesaro v Caserta71-72
06/12/15Caserta v Pesaro73-69
10/05/15Pesaro v Caserta80-70
11/01/15Caserta v Pesaro80-73
26/01/14Caserta v Pesaro100-88
20/10/13Pesaro v Caserta84-93 OT
24/03/13Caserta v Pesaro66-77
25/11/12Pesaro v Caserta63-77
04/03/12Pesaro v Caserta75-81
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/17ABrindisi94-93 OT
02/04/17HCremona63-73
26/03/17ATrento91-97
19/03/17HReggiana81-91
12/03/17AVarese78-93
05/03/17AVenezia61-85
26/02/17HSassari76-71
12/02/17AAvellino62-79
05/02/17HCantu78-73
29/01/17HTorino65-66
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/17HTorino83-76
02/04/17ABrescia62-64
26/03/17HVenezia58-61
19/03/17ACapo d'Orlando71-74
12/03/17HCantu79-85
04/03/17ATrento66-76
26/02/17HOlimpia Milano74-78
13/02/17APistoia64-77
05/02/17HCremona79-75
29/01/17HVarese80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeLWWLL38%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %31%38%23%
Points / game74.773.675.7
Allowed / game80.374.586.2
Point differential-5.7-0.9-10.5
Avg total155.0148.2161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)38% (8)60% (5)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWLLLW54%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%54%23%
Points / game78.279.576.8
Allowed / game81.477.785.1
Point differential-3.2+1.8-8.2
Avg total159.5157.2161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)43% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2721678%85.879.4+6.4
2 Venezia2617965%80.877.7+3.1
3 Avellino26161062%79.976.4+3.5
4 Trento26151158%77.173.3+3.8
5 Sassari26151158%76.373.4+2.9
6 Reggiana26151158%81.580.6+1.0
7 Capo d'Orlando26141254%76.476.5-0.2
8 Pistoia26131350%76.777.0-0.3
9 Brindisi27131448%83.782.1+1.6
10 Brescia26121446%79.480.6-1.2
11 Torino26121446%81.584.7-3.2
12 Varese26111542%77.079.7-2.7
13 Caserta26101638%78.281.4-3.2
14 Cantu26101638%78.282.0-3.8
15 Pesaro2681831%74.780.3-5.7
16 Cremona2671927%77.880.0-2.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro3120151783
Caserta1419161867
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