Caserta vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Jan 2011

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 68-60

18-19 13-8 17-8 20-25

Position#13

Record4-7

FormWWWLL

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game80.3

Caserta 🏆

Virtus Roma

Position#9

Record5-6

FormWWWLW

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game76.8

Lega ARound 12

Domestic2010-11

Meetings · Caserta v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Anwil Wloclawek

#34

87-79

H23/11

Eurocup

Cantu

73-65

H27/11

Lega A

Alba Berlin

73-79

-6

H30/11

Eurocup

Cremona

#12

63-72

-9

A04/12

Lega A

Alba Berlin

62-79

-17

A07/12

Eurocup

Varese

#11

92-80

+12

H12/12

Lega A

Krasnye Krylya

#29

94-67

+27

H14/12

Eurocup

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

89-87 OT

A18/12

Lega A

Anwil Wloclawek

#34

71-81

-10

A21/12

Eurocup

Avellino

68-79

-11

A28/12

Lega A

18-24

9-12

0-0

60-43

17-19

23-17

14-16

19-13

21-27

16-13

21-23

15-16

20-18

19-20

9-18

14-20

14-30

17-10

17-19

31-23

24-19

16-21

21-17

22-15

28-14

21-19

23-19

26-26

14-10

16-19

19-20

16-17

19-16

17-24

19-24

17-22

13-17

27-14

11-26

154.0Avg total

77.2Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	79.5	80.3	159.7	-0.8	36%
Season at home (5)	80.8	79.6	160.4	+1.2	40%
Season away (6)	78.3	80.8	159.2	-2.5	33%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	76.8	154.0	+0.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	78.8	161.6	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	71.4	83.2	154.6	-11.8	20%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	76.1	78.2	154.2	-2.1	42%
vs Weaker (6)	81.0	71.2	152.2	+9.8	83%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bamberg

#23

68-67

A25/11

Euroleague

Cremona

#12

70-84

-14

H28/11

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#27

95-83

+12

H02/12

Euroleague

Varese

#11

89-92

-3

H05/12

Lega A

Real Madrid

50-72

-22

A09/12

Euroleague

Teramo

#16

74-53

+21

A12/12

Lega A

Unicaja

#28

81-75

H15/12

Euroleague

Biella

#15

102-100

102

100

A19/12

Lega A

Olympiacos

82-89

-7

A23/12

Euroleague

Sassari

92-80

+12

H28/12

Lega A

19-9

12-21

22-21

15-16

17-21

21-17

17-25

15-21

22-24

19-21

25-21

29-17

18-21

14-28

17-14

40-29

11-14

11-16

17-24

11-18

14-13

23-7

21-13

16-20

20-15

22-25

20-20

19-15

27-30

22-19

21-21

32-30

22-22

17-23

14-19

29-25

26-20

17-30

22-15

27-15

159.8Avg total

80.3Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	78.8	76.8	155.6	+2.0	45%
Season at home (6)	81.2	78.0	159.2	+3.2	50%
Season away (5)	76.0	75.4	151.4	+0.6	40%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	79.5	159.8	+0.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	79.4	165.6	+6.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	64.8	80.2	145.0	-15.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	74.8	74.8	149.6	-0.1	53%
vs Weaker (7)	82.3	76.1	158.4	+6.1	57%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.2	20.2	37.4	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	18.7	35.9	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	19.1	37.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	18.3	34.8	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	18.2	34.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	16.7	18.5	35.2	-1.8	37%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.4	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	17.0	35.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	18.7	35.8	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	16.6	34.6	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	15.2	34.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	17.7	18.2	35.9	-0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.7	15.2	33.8	+3.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	19.2	35.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.7	38.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.0	23.5	37.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.3	20.3	38.6	-2.0	43%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Anwil Wloclawek

#34

27-36

-9

H23/11

Eurocup

Cantu

40-36

H27/11

Lega A

Alba Berlin

37-40

-3

H30/11

Eurocup

Cremona

#12

35-34

A04/12

Lega A

Alba Berlin

28-50

-22

A07/12

Eurocup

Varese

#11

55-42

+13

H12/12

Lega A

Krasnye Krylya

#29

50-29

+21

H14/12

Eurocup

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

40-36

A18/12

Lega A

Anwil Wloclawek

#34

35-33

A21/12

Eurocup

Avellino

30-39

-9

A28/12

Lega A

75.2Avg total

37.7Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	37.2	75.0	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.3	36.1	75.4	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.0	38.5	74.5	-2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	37.5	75.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	35.8	77.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.6	39.6	75.2	-4.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	38.7	37.6	76.3	+1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.7	33.8	70.5	+2.8	67%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bamberg

#23

31-30

A25/11

Euroleague

Cremona

#12

38-38

H28/11

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#27

41-45

-4

H02/12

Euroleague

Varese

#11

32-49

-17

H05/12

Lega A

Real Madrid

22-30

-8

A09/12

Euroleague

Teramo

#16

37-20

+17

A12/12

Lega A

Unicaja

#28

42-40

H15/12

Euroleague

Biella

#15

49-49

A19/12

Lega A

Olympiacos

39-45

-6

A23/12

Euroleague

Sassari

43-50

-7

H28/12

Lega A

77.0Avg total

37.4Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.6	38.5	73.1	-3.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.1	39.5	75.6	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.1	37.5	70.7	-4.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	39.6	77.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	40.8	82.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.5	41.8	72.2	-11.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	34.5	37.3	71.8	-2.8	37%	-
vs Weaker (7)	37.4	39.9	77.3	-2.4	29%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.8	18.8	34.6	-3.1	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	16.6	33.4	+0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	37%	-
vs Weaker (6)	15.2	15.2	30.3	+0.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.6	38.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	18.5	37.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.5	19.8	34.2	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.3	15.6	35.9	+4.7	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.5	42.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.0	23.4	41.4	-5.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	29.2	22.2	51.3	+7.0	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.7	39.9	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	17.7	40.4	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.6	43.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.0	45.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	18.8	38.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.6	20.7	45.3	+3.9	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	39.4	76.8	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.9	39.7	76.6	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	39.0	77.1	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	38.1	76.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	40.6	78.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.8	43.6	79.4	-7.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	35.7	38.9	74.6	-3.2	26%	-
vs Weaker (6)	44.3	37.3	81.7	+7.0	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	37.4	77.9	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	36.3	77.7	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	38.5	78.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	39.9	82.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	38.6	82.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.2	38.5	72.8	-4.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	40.3	37.5	77.8	+2.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.9	36.3	81.1	+8.6	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
25/05/10	Virtus Roma v Caserta	74-83
23/05/10	Caserta v Virtus Roma	78-76
21/05/10	Caserta v Virtus Roma	70-65
16/05/10	Caserta v Virtus Roma	85-69
24/01/10	Virtus Roma v Caserta	83-64
25/01/09	Caserta v Virtus Roma	74-79
12/10/08	Virtus Roma v Caserta	83-81 OT

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/10	A	Avellino	68-79
21/12/10	A	Anwil Wloclawek	71-81
18/12/10	A	Sutor Montegranaro	89-87 OT
14/12/10	H	Krasnye Krylya	94-67
12/12/10	H	Varese	92-80
07/12/10	A	Alba Berlin	62-79
04/12/10	A	Cremona	63-72
30/11/10	H	Alba Berlin	73-79
27/11/10	H	Cantu	73-65
23/11/10	H	Anwil Wloclawek	87-79

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/10	H	Sassari	92-80
23/12/10	A	Olympiacos	82-89
19/12/10	A	Biella	102-100
15/12/10	H	Unicaja	81-75
12/12/10	A	Teramo	74-53
09/12/10	A	Real Madrid	50-72
05/12/10	H	Varese	89-92
02/12/10	H	Spirou Charleroi	95-83
28/11/10	H	Cremona	70-84
25/11/10	A	Bamberg	68-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2010-11

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	36%
Home	LLLWW	40%
Away	LWLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	36%	40%	33%
Points / game	79.5	80.8	78.3
Allowed / game	80.3	79.6	80.8
Point differential	-0.8	+1.2	-2.5
Avg total	159.7	160.4	159.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	20%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	18%	20%	17%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2010-11

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	45%
Home	LWLLW	50%
Away	LLLWW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	45%	50%	40%
Points / game	78.8	81.2	76.0
Allowed / game	76.8	78.0	75.4
Point differential	+2.0	+3.2	+0.6
Avg total	155.6	159.2	151.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	50%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	11	10	1	91%	87.3	71.8	+15.5
2	Olimpia Milano	11	9	2	82%	82.9	77.0	+5.9
3	Cantu	11	8	3	73%	78.7	72.2	+6.5
4	Virtus Bologna	11	6	5	55%	78.6	77.9	+0.7
5	Varese	11	6	5	55%	81.9	83.9	-2.0
6	Pesaro	11	6	5	55%	74.9	77.7	-2.8
7	Treviso	11	5	6	45%	77.6	73.7	+3.9
8	Virtus Roma	11	5	6	45%	78.8	76.8	+2.0
9	Avellino	11	5	6	45%	79.5	78.6	+0.9
10	Cremona	11	5	6	45%	81.2	80.9	+0.3
11	Sutor Montegranaro	11	5	6	45%	83.0	83.2	-0.2
12	Biella	11	5	6	45%	81.1	84.5	-3.5
13	Caserta	11	4	7	36%	79.5	80.3	-0.8
14	Sassari	11	4	7	36%	79.1	85.1	-6.0
15	Teramo	11	3	8	27%	72.7	81.7	-9.0
16	Brindisi	11	2	9	18%	68.0	79.5	-11.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	18	13	17	20	68
Virtus Roma	19	8	8	25	60

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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