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Sebastiani Rieti vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 112-90
30-27 30-24 22-20 30-19
Position#10
Record20-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#3
Record26-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game78.3
ItalySerie A2Round 36· PalaSojourner
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Pesaro
28 Feb 2027
SEBA v PES
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SEBA112
PES90
12 Oct 2024
SEBA86
PES80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Sebastiani Rieti
5.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.6
78.6▲ 1.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.7
75.8▼ 0.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
57%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.9
16.8▼ 0.1
🔥 Form · Pesaro
5.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.6
86.6▲ 4.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.9
82.0▲ 3.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
65%▲ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.2
19.2▲ 1.0
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mestre
#15
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
H08/02
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H15/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A22/02
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H08/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A14/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A21/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H25/03
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A29/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H04/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A08/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
20-15
14-18
16-19
25-27
23-14
11-21
23-16
19-22
17-14
9-28
20-15
15-19
17-17
34-13
23-35
16-25
19-20
16-14
20-27
25-21
10-26
22-23
24-20
26-16
15-13
21-11
18-13
25-16
24-14
20-27
15-18
10-26
19-21
24-21
23-13
21-19
18-21
17-17
16-23
156.8Avg total
78.2Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)78.877.1155.9+1.757%
Season at home (17)79.572.8152.3+6.871%
Season away (18)78.181.2159.2-3.144%
Last 10 (10)78.278.6156.8-0.450%
Last 5 (5)78.675.8154.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.578.3154.8-1.833%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.175.3149.4-1.143%
vs Weaker (10)87.682.5170.1+5.180%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A07/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A11/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A15/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H22/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H08/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A21/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H25/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A29/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H03/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A08/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
27-16
14-21
24-26
17-26
24-16
21-23
21-17
13-20
14-23
29-19
23-22
22-17
24-17
19-23
20-21
18-21
18-14
14-17
26-12
17-26
29-18
32-23
15-8
19-26
21-17
20-21
24-22
18-18
25-18
22-23
26-30
24-21
18-22
21-16
21-24
21-18
24-12
23-25
13-22
162.8Avg total
83.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)82.578.3160.8+4.274%
Season at home (18)80.875.7156.6+5.178%
Season away (17)84.381.1165.4+3.271%
Last 10 (10)83.679.2162.8+4.480%
Last 5 (5)86.682.0168.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.479.9159.3-0.553%
vs Weaker (13)86.176.7162.8+9.4100%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
Sebastiani RietiPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mestre
#15
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/02
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H15/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/02
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A14/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A21/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H25/03
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A29/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H04/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A08/04
Serie A2
77.6Avg total
38.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.277.2-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.539.177.6-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.439.476.8-1.925%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.877.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.677.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.341.881.2-2.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.938.073.9-2.136%-
vs Weaker (10)40.039.479.4+0.650%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A07/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A11/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A15/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A21/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H25/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A29/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H03/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A08/04
Serie A2
78.5Avg total
40.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.479.0+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.538.178.6+2.450%-
Last 30 away (14)40.638.979.5+1.857%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.778.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.282.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.838.276.9+0.641%-
vs Weaker (13)42.938.881.7+4.269%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.3
50.9%
50.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.7
33.2%
34.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.916.5
69.0%
74.4%16.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.3
54.5%
50.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.6
41.9%
34.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.214.2
78.0%
74.4%14.2
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
LLWWLLWLWW
Pesaro
WWWLWWWLWW
#10
League position
#3
+0.6
Net rating
+4.2
92.4
Offensive rating
101.7
91.8
Defensive rating
97.5
50.5%
Effective FG%
58.1%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.3%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.2%
3-point %
41.9%
62.2%
Assist %
64.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 101.7Defence91.8 · 97.5Shooting50.5% · 58.1%3-point %33.2% · 41.9%Ball care16.3% · 14.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sebastiani Rieti wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
21/12/25Pesaro v Sebastiani Rieti91-73
09/03/25Pesaro v Sebastiani Rieti78-85
12/10/24Sebastiani Rieti v Pesaro86-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26ALibertas Livorno72-80
04/04/26HScafati76-81
29/03/26ARuvo Di Puglia84-75
25/03/26HJuVi Cremona80-53
21/03/26ABrindisi81-90
14/03/26AAvellino Basket71-86
08/03/26HRoseto89-84
22/02/26AFortitudo Bologna65-79
15/02/26HVerona82-78
08/02/26HMestre82-80 OT
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26ABasket Torino81-77
03/04/26HVerona84-83
29/03/26APistoia91-89
25/03/26HFortitudo Bologna84-86
21/03/26AMestre93-75
08/03/26HJuVi Cremona76-64
22/02/26HRimini85-78
15/02/26AScafati79-84
11/02/26ACividale83-82
07/02/26ACento80-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %57%71%44%
Points / game78.879.578.1
Allowed / game77.172.881.2
Point differential+1.7+6.8-3.1
Avg total155.9152.3159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%41%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)75% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %9%6%11%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %74%78%71%
Points / game82.580.884.3
Allowed / game78.375.781.1
Point differential+4.2+5.1+3.2
Avg total160.8156.6165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)80% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro3526974%82.578.3+4.2
2 Scafati35241169%83.277.6+5.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna35231266%76.272.8+3.4
4 Brindisi34221265%78.273.8+4.4
5 Cividale36231364%78.674.3+4.2
6 Verona35221363%78.673.6+4.9
7 Rimini34201459%82.178.6+3.4
8 Avellino Basket34201459%81.479.2+2.2
9 Libertas Livorno35201557%78.873.2+5.6
10 Sebastiani Rieti35201557%78.877.1+1.7
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona34161847%74.577.1-2.6
13 Basket Torino35161946%73.174.1-1.0
14 Urania Milano34151944%79.481.4-2.1
15 Mestre34142041%78.381.0-2.7
16 Forli34122235%76.481.4-5.1
17 Ruvo Di Puglia34102429%76.986.8-9.9
18 Cento35102529%77.381.1-3.8
19 Pistoia3582723%76.583.3-6.7
20 Roseto3472721%78.484.8-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sebastiani Rieti30302230112
Pesaro2724201990
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