PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rimini vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 94-96
26-21 19-33 31-17 18-25
Position#8
Record24-17
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record28-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game80.0
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Quarter-finals· Palasport Flaminio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rimini v Pesaro
27 Nov 2026
RIMI v PES
upcoming
16 May 2026
RIMI94
PES96
14 May 2026
RIMI93
PES75
26 Oct 2025
RIMI86
PES65
21 Mar 2025
RIMI99
PES81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rimini winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A29/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H05/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A08/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H12/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A17/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H26/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H03/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A09/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A11/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
93-75
93
75
+18
H14/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
27-30
24-11
13-21
22-16
28-22
24-21
21-22
17-25
27-17
25-23
21-19
19-24
20-20
27-14
23-17
15-16
20-26
25-22
16-25
16-32
27-17
18-17
15-14
21-16
24-22
29-17
21-35
11-24
30-23
31-13
27-29
16-22
27-35
25-15
11-22
26-15
26-28
27-18
14-14
172.7Avg total
87.8Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)82.979.7162.5+3.259%
Season at home (21)83.377.3160.7+6.067%
Season away (20)82.382.1164.4+0.250%
Last 10 (10)87.884.9172.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)88.485.6174.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.184.1166.2-2.141%
vs Weaker (13)84.574.5159.1+10.085%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H25/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A29/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H03/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A08/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
90-112
90
112
-22
A12/04
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H19/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A26/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H09/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
A14/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
21-17
20-21
24-22
18-18
25-18
22-23
26-30
24-21
18-22
21-16
21-24
21-18
24-12
23-25
13-22
27-30
24-30
20-22
19-30
20-17
27-24
23-19
15-13
15-21
14-18
27-20
19-25
24-11
23-30
13-31
29-27
22-16
35-27
15-25
22-11
15-26
28-26
18-27
14-14
172.3Avg total
84.8Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)82.880.0162.9+2.868%
Season at home (21)82.076.9158.9+5.276%
Season away (20)83.783.3167.0+0.360%
Last 10 (10)84.887.5172.3-2.750%
Last 5 (5)83.685.6169.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)81.384.1165.4-2.842%
vs Weaker (11)85.276.2161.4+9.0100%
This opponent (Rimini) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +8.4+8.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
RiminiPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A29/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H05/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A08/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H12/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A17/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H03/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A09/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A11/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H14/05
Serie A2
90.1Avg total
44.1Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.083.0+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.241.183.4+1.156%-
Last 30 away (14)41.640.982.5+0.843%-
Last 10 (10)44.146.090.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.891.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.042.584.5-0.541%-
vs Weaker (13)41.939.080.9+2.962%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H25/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A29/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H03/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A08/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A12/04
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H19/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A14/05
Serie A2
87.2Avg total
44.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.581.2+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.538.781.2+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)41.040.281.2+0.847%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.887.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.287.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.840.581.3+0.337%-
vs Weaker (11)43.437.681.0+5.782%-
This opponent (Rimini) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.9
54.6%
50.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.2
36.2%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.615.4
74.8%
74.4%15.4
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.7
55.0%
50.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.8
41.1%
34.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.015.9
79.5%
74.4%15.9
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rimini
WLWWLLWWWL
Pesaro
LWLLWLWWWL
#8
League position
#3
+3.5
Net rating
-4.6
104.8
Offensive rating
101.9
101.4
Defensive rating
106.5
54.4%
Effective FG%
57.9%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
11.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.2%
3-point %
41.1%
62.4%
Assist %
64.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 101.9Defence101.4 · 106.5Shooting54.4% · 57.9%3-point %36.2% · 41.1%Ball care11.1% · 14.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Rimini   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Rimini wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
14/05/26Rimini v Pesaro93-75
11/05/26Pesaro v Rimini94-79
09/05/26Pesaro v Rimini89-99
22/02/26Pesaro v Rimini85-78
26/10/25Rimini v Pesaro86-65
21/03/25Rimini v Pesaro99-81
10/11/24Pesaro v Rimini76-82
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/26HPesaro93-75
11/05/26APesaro79-94
09/05/26APesaro99-89
03/05/26HLibertas Livorno95-90
26/04/26HScafati76-80
17/04/26ACividale76-89
12/04/26HUrania Milano89-75
08/04/26APistoia90-84
05/04/26HMestre95-81
29/03/26ARoseto86-92
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/26ARimini75-93
11/05/26HRimini94-79
09/05/26HRimini89-99
26/04/26ALibertas Livorno75-84
19/04/26HForli85-73
12/04/26ASebastiani Rieti90-112
08/04/26ABasket Torino81-77
03/04/26HVerona84-83
29/03/26APistoia91-89
25/03/26HFortitudo Bologna84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rimini
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %59%67%50%
Points / game82.983.382.3
Allowed / game79.777.382.1
Point differential+3.2+6.0+0.2
Avg total162.5160.7164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%48%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL68%
HomeLWWLW76%
AwayWWLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %68%76%60%
Points / game82.882.083.7
Allowed / game80.076.983.3
Point differential+2.8+5.2+0.3
Avg total162.9158.9167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)80% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Scafati38271171%83.577.5+6.0
2 Pesaro41281368%82.880.0+2.8
3 Verona42281467%79.373.4+5.9
4 Cividale41271466%79.074.3+4.7
5 Fortitudo Bologna41271466%76.272.1+4.1
6 Avellino Basket42251760%80.278.0+2.2
7 Rimini41241759%82.979.7+3.2
8 Libertas Livorno40231757%80.274.7+5.5
9 Brindisi41231856%77.374.6+2.8
10 Sebastiani Rieti42231955%79.277.7+1.5
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona39192049%75.376.9-1.6
13 Basket Torino38172145%72.673.7-1.1
14 Urania Milano38162242%79.482.6-3.1
15 Mestre37142338%78.281.5-3.3
16 Forli37132435%76.482.0-5.7
17 Cento41142734%78.280.2-2.0
18 Ruvo Di Puglia42142833%78.386.4-8.2
19 Pistoia42123029%77.883.8-6.0
20 Roseto4073318%76.684.9-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rimini2619311894
Pesaro2133172596
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.