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Rimini vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 93-75
26-15 26-28 27-18 14-14
Position#8
Record23-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game79.8
Rimini 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#3
Record28-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game79.7
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Quarter-finals· Palasport Flaminio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rimini v Pesaro
27 Nov 2026
RIMI v PES
upcoming
16 May 2026
RIMI94
PES96
14 May 2026
RIMI93
PES75
26 Oct 2025
RIMI86
PES65
21 Mar 2025
RIMI99
PES81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rimini winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H25/03
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A29/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H05/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A08/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H12/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A17/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H26/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H03/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A09/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A11/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
13-31
20-18
18-21
22-30
27-30
24-11
13-21
22-16
28-22
24-21
21-22
17-25
27-17
25-23
21-19
19-24
20-20
27-14
23-17
15-16
20-26
25-22
16-25
16-32
27-17
18-17
15-14
21-16
24-22
29-17
21-35
11-24
30-23
31-13
27-29
16-22
27-35
25-15
11-22
171.9Avg total
85.9Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)82.679.8162.4+2.857%
Season at home (20)82.877.5160.3+5.465%
Season away (20)82.382.1164.4+0.250%
Last 10 (10)85.986.0171.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)85.088.4173.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.284.7165.9-3.535%
vs Weaker (13)84.574.5159.1+10.085%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mestre
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A21/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H25/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A29/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H03/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A08/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
90-112
90
112
-22
A12/04
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H19/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A26/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H09/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H11/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
29-18
32-23
15-8
19-26
21-17
20-21
24-22
18-18
25-18
22-23
26-30
24-21
18-22
21-16
21-24
21-18
24-12
23-25
13-22
27-30
24-30
20-22
19-30
20-17
27-24
23-19
15-13
15-21
14-18
27-20
19-25
24-11
23-30
13-31
29-27
22-16
35-27
15-25
22-11
172.3Avg total
86.6Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)83.079.7162.7+3.370%
Season at home (21)82.076.9158.9+5.276%
Season away (19)84.182.8166.9+1.363%
Last 10 (10)86.685.7172.3+0.960%
Last 5 (5)86.689.4176.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)82.283.0165.2-0.847%
vs Weaker (11)85.276.2161.4+9.0100%
This opponent (Rimini) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +7.7+7.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
RiminiPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H25/03
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A29/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H05/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A08/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H12/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A17/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H03/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A09/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A11/05
Serie A2
88.9Avg total
42.5Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.082.6+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.641.082.6+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)41.641.082.6+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)42.546.488.9-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.446.688.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.442.583.9-1.235%-
vs Weaker (13)41.939.080.9+2.962%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mestre
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A21/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H25/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A29/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H03/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A08/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A12/04
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H19/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H11/05
Serie A2
86.7Avg total
44.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.980.7+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.738.581.2+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)40.939.480.2+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.086.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.244.891.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.939.680.6+1.342%-
vs Weaker (11)43.437.681.0+5.782%-
This opponent (Rimini) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.9
52.4%
50.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.7
37.3%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.714.0
74.9%
74.4%14.0
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.1
55.5%
50.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.8
41.1%
34.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.916.9
80.9%
74.4%16.9
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rimini
LWWLLWWWLL
Pesaro
WLLWLWWWLW
#8
League position
#3
-0.1
Net rating
-0.2
102.7
Offensive rating
103.6
102.8
Defensive rating
103.8
53.9%
Effective FG%
58.2%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
11.3%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.3%
3-point %
41.1%
64.1%
Assist %
63.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 103.6Defence102.8 · 103.8Shooting53.9% · 58.2%3-point %37.3% · 41.1%Ball care11.3% · 13.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Rimini   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rimini wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
11/05/26Pesaro v Rimini94-79
09/05/26Pesaro v Rimini89-99
22/02/26Pesaro v Rimini85-78
26/10/25Rimini v Pesaro86-65
21/03/25Rimini v Pesaro99-81
10/11/24Pesaro v Rimini76-82
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/26APesaro79-94
09/05/26APesaro99-89
03/05/26HLibertas Livorno95-90
26/04/26HScafati76-80
17/04/26ACividale76-89
12/04/26HUrania Milano89-75
08/04/26APistoia90-84
05/04/26HMestre95-81
29/03/26ARoseto86-92
25/03/26HVerona74-86
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/26HRimini94-79
09/05/26HRimini89-99
26/04/26ALibertas Livorno75-84
19/04/26HForli85-73
12/04/26ASebastiani Rieti90-112
08/04/26ABasket Torino81-77
03/04/26HVerona84-83
29/03/26APistoia91-89
25/03/26HFortitudo Bologna84-86
21/03/26AMestre93-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rimini
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeLWWLW65%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %57%65%50%
Points / game82.682.882.3
Allowed / game79.877.582.1
Point differential+2.8+5.4+0.2
Avg total162.4160.3164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW70%
HomeLWWLW76%
AwayWWWLL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %70%76%63%
Points / game83.082.084.1
Allowed / game79.776.982.8
Point differential+3.3+5.2+1.3
Avg total162.7158.9166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)80% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Scafati38271171%83.577.5+6.0
2 Pesaro40281270%83.079.7+3.3
3 Fortitudo Bologna40271368%76.572.0+4.5
4 Verona41271466%79.373.5+5.8
5 Cividale40261465%78.774.2+4.5
6 Avellino Basket41241759%80.378.2+2.1
7 Libertas Livorno40231757%80.274.7+5.5
8 Brindisi40231757%77.574.5+3.0
9 Rimini40231757%82.679.8+2.8
10 Sebastiani Rieti41231856%79.277.4+1.9
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona39192049%75.376.9-1.6
13 Basket Torino38172145%72.673.7-1.1
14 Urania Milano38162242%79.482.6-3.1
15 Mestre37142338%78.281.5-3.3
16 Forli37132435%76.482.0-5.7
17 Cento41142734%78.280.2-2.0
18 Ruvo Di Puglia42142833%78.386.4-8.2
19 Pistoia42123029%77.883.8-6.0
20 Roseto4073318%76.684.9-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rimini2626271493
Pesaro1528181475
← all games of the day
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