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Pesaro vs Rimini Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 94-79
22-16 35-27 15-25 22-11
Position#3
Record27-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game79.7
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record23-16
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game79.4
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Quarter-finals· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pesaro v Rimini
04 Apr 2027
PES v RIMI
upcoming
19 May 2026
PES78
RIMI91
11 May 2026
PES94
RIMI79
09 May 2026
PES89
RIMI99
22 Feb 2026
PES85
RIMI78
10 Nov 2024
PES76
RIMI82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rimini winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H08/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A21/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H25/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A29/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H03/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A08/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
90-112
90
112
-22
A12/04
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H19/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A26/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H09/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
18-14
14-17
26-12
17-26
29-18
32-23
15-8
19-26
21-17
20-21
24-22
18-18
25-18
22-23
26-30
24-21
18-22
21-16
21-24
21-18
24-12
23-25
13-22
27-30
24-30
20-22
19-30
20-17
27-24
23-19
15-13
15-21
14-18
27-20
19-25
24-11
23-30
13-31
29-27
169.0Avg total
84.8Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)82.779.7162.5+3.069%
Season at home (20)81.576.8158.2+4.775%
Season away (19)84.182.8166.9+1.363%
Last 10 (10)84.884.2169.0+0.660%
Last 5 (5)84.089.0173.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)81.082.5163.5-1.547%
vs Weaker (11)85.276.2161.4+9.0100%
This opponent (Rimini) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A21/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H25/03
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A29/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H05/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A08/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H12/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A17/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H26/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H03/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A09/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
17-13
16-22
11-18
23-16
13-31
20-18
18-21
22-30
27-30
24-11
13-21
22-16
28-22
24-21
21-22
17-25
27-17
25-23
21-19
19-24
20-20
27-14
23-17
15-16
20-26
25-22
16-25
16-32
27-17
18-17
15-14
21-16
24-22
29-17
21-35
11-24
30-23
31-13
27-29
170.0Avg total
85.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)82.779.4162.1+3.359%
Season at home (20)82.877.5160.3+5.465%
Season away (19)82.581.5164.0+1.153%
Last 10 (10)85.684.4170.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)87.084.6171.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.384.1165.4-2.838%
vs Weaker (14)83.974.4158.2+9.586%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.5-3.5
PesaroRimini
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A21/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H25/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A29/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H03/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A08/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A12/04
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H19/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/05
Serie A2
83.8Avg total
42.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.579.5+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.237.878.9+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)40.939.480.2+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.283.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.286.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.739.078.7+0.742%-
vs Weaker (11)43.437.681.0+5.782%-
This opponent (Rimini) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A21/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H25/03
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A29/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H05/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A08/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H12/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A17/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H03/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A09/05
Serie A2
85.8Avg total
42.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.481.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.440.882.2+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)41.539.981.4+1.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.585.8-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.084.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.241.682.9-0.438%-
vs Weaker (14)41.738.980.6+2.864%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.2
54.7%
50.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.3
40.1%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.816.4
78.8%
74.4%16.4
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.7
52.3%
50.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.6
35.7%
34.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.314.4
74.6%
74.4%14.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLWLWWWLWW
Rimini
WWLLWWWLLL
#3
League position
#8
-0.6
Net rating
+1.4
100.7
Offensive rating
100.6
101.3
Defensive rating
99.1
57.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
14.4%
Turnover %
11.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.1%
3-point %
35.7%
62.8%
Assist %
64.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 100.6Defence101.3 · 99.1Shooting57.0% · 52.8%3-point %40.1% · 35.7%Ball care14.4% · 11.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Rimini
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
4
Rimini wins
DateGameScore
09/05/26Pesaro v Rimini89-99
22/02/26Pesaro v Rimini85-78
26/10/25Rimini v Pesaro86-65
21/03/25Rimini v Pesaro99-81
10/11/24Pesaro v Rimini76-82
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26HRimini89-99
26/04/26ALibertas Livorno75-84
19/04/26HForli85-73
12/04/26ASebastiani Rieti90-112
08/04/26ABasket Torino81-77
03/04/26HVerona84-83
29/03/26APistoia91-89
25/03/26HFortitudo Bologna84-86
21/03/26AMestre93-75
08/03/26HJuVi Cremona76-64
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26APesaro99-89
03/05/26HLibertas Livorno95-90
26/04/26HScafati76-80
17/04/26ACividale76-89
12/04/26HUrania Milano89-75
08/04/26APistoia90-84
05/04/26HMestre95-81
29/03/26ARoseto86-92
25/03/26HVerona74-86
21/03/26AFortitudo Bologna76-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL69%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayWWWLL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %69%75%63%
Points / game82.781.584.1
Allowed / game79.776.882.8
Point differential+3.0+4.7+1.3
Avg total162.5158.2166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%35%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)80% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rimini
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeLWWLW65%
AwayLLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %59%65%53%
Points / game82.782.882.5
Allowed / game79.477.581.5
Point differential+3.3+5.4+1.1
Avg total162.1160.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Scafati38271171%83.577.5+6.0
2 Fortitudo Bologna39271269%76.671.9+4.7
3 Pesaro39271269%82.779.7+3.0
4 Verona40271368%79.573.4+6.1
5 Cividale39251464%78.674.2+4.4
6 Rimini39231659%82.779.4+3.3
7 Libertas Livorno40231757%80.274.7+5.5
8 Sebastiani Rieti40231757%79.477.2+2.1
9 Avellino Basket40231757%80.478.4+2.0
10 Brindisi39221756%77.574.6+2.9
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona39192049%75.376.9-1.6
13 Basket Torino38172145%72.673.7-1.1
14 Urania Milano38162242%79.482.6-3.1
15 Mestre37142338%78.281.5-3.3
16 Forli37132435%76.482.0-5.7
17 Cento41142734%78.280.2-2.0
18 Ruvo Di Puglia41142734%78.386.6-8.3
19 Pistoia41113027%77.783.9-6.2
20 Roseto4073318%76.684.9-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2235152294
Rimini1627251179
← all games of the day
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