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Pesaro vs Nardo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-70
25-17 13-30 28-13 18-10
Position#9
Record12-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game79.2
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Nardo
Italy
Position#19
Record6-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game80.8
ItalySerie A2Round 23· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
84-100
84
100
-16
73avg 72
A24/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
90-67
90
67
+23
84avg 72
H01/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
103-96 OT
103
96
+7
94avg 72
H08/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
77-74
77
74
+3
72avg 72
A14/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
92-81
92
81
+11
85avg 72
H22/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
82-61
82
61
+21
76avg 72
H29/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
86-97
86
97
-11
74avg 72
A05/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 72
H12/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
93-82
93
82
+11
84avg 72
A15/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
97-70
97
70
+27
98avg 72
H19/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
23-25
23-23
20-28
20-19
25-20
27-20
18-8
22-34
25-22
19-17
20-13
17-19
23-20
14-24
23-11
22-18
25-26
29-21
16-16
26-11
18-26
17-11
21-13
27-21
20-31
24-22
15-23
28-17
18-22
20-18
20-22
27-28
30-22
20-16
16-16
27-21
25-13
23-11
22-25
169.7Avg total
89.0Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.579.2158.7+0.355%
Season at home (12)81.974.2156.2+7.775%
Season away (10)76.685.2161.8-8.630%
Last 10 (10)89.080.7169.7+8.380%
Last 5 (5)88.877.8166.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.488.3169.7-6.943%
vs Similar (17)81.682.1163.7-0.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)78.073.2151.2+4.883%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#14
L
58-66
58
66
-8
52avg 62
A01/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
67-82
67
82
-15
49avg 62
H08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 62
H11/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
76-82 OT
76
82
-6
66avg 62
A15/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
62-85
62
85
-23
55avg 62
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 62
H29/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
60-69
60
69
-9
50avg 62
A05/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
48-81
48
81
-33
32avg 62
A12/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
78avg 62
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 62
H19/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
19-23
15-10
11-16
23-23
17-14
18-30
9-15
25-21
10-21
27-19
22-16
14-18
9-17
28-16
20-20
21-27
20-18
5-23
16-17
19-24
16-25
20-17
20-18
13-19
16-20
13-13
18-17
3-14
13-23
14-22
18-22
24-24
17-24
24-16
24-16
17-18
19-26
24-22
16-17
148.4Avg total
69.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.580.8153.3-8.427%
Season at home (11)77.680.2157.8-2.545%
Season away (11)67.381.5148.7-14.29%
Last 10 (10)69.578.9148.4-9.420%
Last 5 (5)69.679.4149.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.280.7153.9-7.633%
vs Similar (12)74.478.7153.1-4.242%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
PesaroNardo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A24/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H01/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H08/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H22/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H29/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A05/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H12/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A15/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H19/01
Serie A2
90.5Avg total
46.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.582.3-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.240.281.4+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.342.983.2-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)46.643.990.5+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.242.491.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.441.480.9-2.043%-
vs Similar (17)40.642.683.2-1.941%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.738.581.2+4.267%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#14
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A01/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A15/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H29/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A05/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
16-37
16
37
-21
A12/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/01
Serie A2
74.4Avg total
32.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.340.976.2-5.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.738.777.5+0.060%-
Last 30 away (15)31.943.175.0-11.37%-
Last 10 (10)32.841.674.4-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)31.443.474.8-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.840.975.8-6.128%-
vs Similar (12)36.040.976.9-4.942%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.2
55.2%
50.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.6
39.1%
34.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
74.4%17.2
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.815.8
46.7%
50.1%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.6
34.8%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws12.98.3
64.3%
74.4%8.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WWWLWWWWWL
Nardo
LWLLLLLWLL
#9
League position
#19
+12.0
Net rating
-12.8
118.8
Offensive rating
93.6
106.8
Defensive rating
106.4
56.8%
Effective FG%
49.2%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
19.4%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.21
39.1%
3-point %
34.8%
53.4%
Assist %
49.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 93.6Defence106.8 · 106.4Shooting56.8% · 49.2%3-point %39.1% · 34.8%Ball care15.4% · 19.4%Off. rebounds27.2% · 20.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Pesaro   ■ Nardo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
0
Nardo wins
DateGameScore
29/09/24Nardo v Pesaro78-86
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HUrania Milano97-70
15/01/25AVigevano93-82
12/01/25HBrindisi86-79
05/01/25ACividale86-97
29/12/24HFortitudo Bologna82-61
22/12/24HJuVi Cremona92-81
14/12/24AAssigeco Piacenza77-74
08/12/24HBasket Torino103-96 OT
01/12/24HCantu90-67
24/11/24ABrindisi84-100
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HUdine76-83
15/01/25HAvellino Basket89-80
12/01/25ABasket Torino48-81
05/01/25ACantu60-69
29/12/24HForli75-84
21/12/24AUrania Milano62-85
15/12/24ACento76-82 OT
11/12/24HCividale84-77
08/12/24HRimini67-82
01/12/24AOrzinuovi58-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %55%75%30%
Points / game79.581.976.6
Allowed / game79.274.285.2
Point differential+0.3+7.7-8.6
Avg total158.7156.2161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%42%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLWLWL45%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%45%9%
Points / game72.577.667.3
Allowed / game80.880.281.5
Point differential-8.4-2.5-14.2
Avg total153.3157.8148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini2217577%82.475.9+6.5
2 Udine2317674%82.774.5+8.3
3 Cantu2316770%77.572.0+5.5
4 Cividale2315865%79.677.1+2.5
5 Urania Milano2314961%76.374.2+2.1
6 Sebastiani Rieti2314961%74.472.6+1.8
7 Verona2213959%77.474.2+3.2
8 Fortitudo Bologna2213959%76.374.2+2.1
9 Avellino Basket2213959%78.178.0+0.1
10 Forli22121055%77.475.8+1.6
11 Pesaro22121055%79.579.2+0.3
12 Basket Torino22101245%76.676.3+0.3
13 Brindisi23101343%76.177.0-0.9
14 Orzinuovi2291341%77.681.1-3.5
15 JuVi Cremona2281436%79.582.5-3.0
16 Libertas Livorno2271532%73.976.3-2.4
17 Vigevano2271532%77.181.4-4.3
18 Cento2271532%70.977.5-6.6
19 Nardo2261627%72.580.8-8.4
20 Assigeco Piacenza2231914%73.980.0-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2513281884
Nardo1730131070
← all games of the day
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