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Pesaro vs Rimini Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 04 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#5
Record5-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game71.0
ItalySerie A2Round 33· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pesaro v Rimini
04 Apr 2027
PES v RIMI
upcoming
19 May 2026
PES78
RIMI91
11 May 2026
PES94
RIMI79
09 May 2026
PES89
RIMI99
22 Feb 2026
PES85
RIMI78
10 Nov 2024
PES76
RIMI82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rimini win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
A14/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
96-94
96
94
+2
A16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
96-81
96
81
+15
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#4
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
35-27
15-25
22-11
15-26
28-26
18-27
14-14
21-26
33-19
17-31
25-18
18-20
11-27
22-21
27-23
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
24-23
21-18
15-26
27-17
23-24
23-15
16-21
21-17
13-15
27-31
22-17
24-13
22-21
20-18
13-15
21-14
15-20
21-20
18-19
17-14
165.8Avg total
84.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.276.5159.7+6.783%
Season at home (4)79.275.5154.8+3.875%
Season away (2)91.078.5169.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.281.6165.8+2.670%
Last 5 (5)80.675.6156.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (16)83.486.6170.0-3.150%
vs Weaker (14)83.776.5160.2+7.293%
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A09/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H12/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H14/06
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A27/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A11/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H18/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
W
84-67
84
67
+17
A21/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#8
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H25/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A30/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
17-23
21-13
18-31
21-20
20-21
27-11
14-18
16-30
28-16
17-15
14-22
20-21
14-18
28-13
22-7
23-23
22-11
11-21
16-18
16-28
19-4
21-22
10-24
20-16
26-23
29-17
16-20
22-20
28-16
16-14
18-17
32-25
28-14
10-14
26-20
24-16
25-12
17-22
19-21
154.5Avg total
81.1Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.671.0153.6+11.671%
Season at home (3)86.374.0160.3+12.367%
Season away (4)79.868.8148.5+11.075%
Last 10 (10)81.173.4154.5+7.760%
Last 5 (5)84.473.0157.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)82.581.2163.6+1.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.375.4160.6+9.973%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
PesaroRimini
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A14/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/10
Serie A2
87.9Avg total
44.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.683.7+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.839.282.0+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)43.442.185.6+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.187.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.082.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (16)42.141.883.9+0.444%-
vs Weaker (14)44.239.283.4+5.079%-
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A09/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H14/06
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#14
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A21/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#8
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H25/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A30/10
Serie A2
81.5Avg total
44.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.984.7+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.641.987.5+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)42.040.082.0+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)44.137.481.5+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)48.034.882.8+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)42.841.984.7+0.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.539.284.7+6.473%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.1
52.2%
51.7%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.58.7
42.4%
34.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.515.4
79.0%
70.9%15.4
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.1
50.1%
51.7%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.8
37.0%
34.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.5
72.3%
70.9%12.5
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWWWWWLWLW
Rimini
WWWWLLWLWL
#3
League position
#5
+1.9
Net rating
+6.2
106.7
Offensive rating
101.1
104.8
Defensive rating
94.9
56.4%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
10.9%
Turnover %
9.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
42.4%
3-point %
37.0%
52.6%
Assist %
51.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 101.1Defence104.8 · 94.9Shooting56.4% · 52.3%3-point %42.4% · 37.0%Ball care10.9% · 9.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Rimini
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
6
Rimini wins
DateGameScore
19/05/26Pesaro v Rimini78-91
16/05/26Rimini v Pesaro94-96
14/05/26Rimini v Pesaro93-75
11/05/26Pesaro v Rimini94-79
09/05/26Pesaro v Rimini89-99
22/02/26Pesaro v Rimini85-78
26/10/25Rimini v Pesaro86-65
21/03/25Rimini v Pesaro99-81
10/11/24Pesaro v Rimini76-82
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HBasket Torino71-73
21/10/26HCividale76-68
18/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-76
11/10/26HCaserta83-77
04/10/26HJuVi Cremona87-84
27/09/26ACento96-81
19/05/26HRimini78-91
16/05/26ARimini96-94
14/05/26ARimini75-93
11/05/26HRimini94-79
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AUrania Milano85-71
25/10/26HSebastiani Rieti96-73
21/10/26ASassari84-67
18/10/26HMestre91-76
11/10/26AFortitudo Bologna66-78
04/10/26HAvellino Basket72-73
27/09/26AMontecatini84-59
14/06/26HVerona75-83
12/06/26HVerona82-70
09/06/26AVerona76-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game83.279.291.0
Allowed / game76.575.578.5
Point differential+6.7+3.8+12.5
Avg total159.7154.8169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rimini
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game82.686.379.8
Allowed / game71.074.068.8
Point differential+11.6+12.3+11.0
Avg total153.6160.3148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno660100%81.767.0+14.7
2 Avellino Basket65183%81.073.5+7.5
3 Pesaro65183%83.276.5+6.7
4 Basket Torino54180%75.073.4+1.6
5 Rimini75271%82.671.0+11.6
6 Brindisi64267%78.873.8+5.0
7 Fortitudo Bologna64267%81.377.3+4.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti64267%75.376.5-1.2
9 Pistoia63350%78.269.8+8.3
10 Forli63350%83.379.5+3.8
11 Sassari63350%72.876.0-3.2
12 Cividale73443%70.774.4-3.7
13 Caserta52340%80.881.2-0.4
14 Mestre62433%73.578.5-5.0
15 Ruvo Di Puglia62433%79.284.3-5.2
16 Vigevano62433%77.285.3-8.2
17 Cento72529%73.683.6-10.0
18 Montecatini61517%72.084.2-12.2
19 Urania Milano71614%75.781.7-6.0
20 JuVi Cremona6060%74.881.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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